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Várzea Paulista weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Temperature-wise, the seasons in Várzea Paulista are gentle: monthly means drift only 6.3°C over the whole year. The heavier rain months run from October to March. Várzea Paulista weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−7.6°Chigh well below average

19° / 14°Today
26° / 17°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.5°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4968days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 7 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 7 in the 1940s+1.5°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 253 mmhigh 27°low 19°February, rain 210 mmhigh 28°low 19°March, rain 175 mmhigh 27°low 18°April, rain 87 mmhigh 25°low 16°May, rain 75 mmhigh 23°low 14°June, rain 55 mmhigh 22°low 12°July, rain 50 mmhigh 22°low 12°August, rain 45 mmhigh 24°low 13°September, rain 93 mmhigh 25°low 15°October, rain 157 mmhigh 26°low 16°November, rain 172 mmhigh 26°low 17°December, rain 241 mmhigh 27°low 18°wettest month January, 253 mm · 1,614 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Fog

Right now

18.2°

21°feels like
96%humidity
18°dew point
3 km/hfrom SE
UV index0.0
sunrise05:25sunset18:16day length12h 52m
TodayOvercast19°14°
TueOvercast22°13°
WedLight rain19°15°
ThuLight rain21°18°
FriOvercast24°19°
SatPartly cloudy25°18°
SunPartly cloudy28°15°

On this date: October 26

Today (forecast)
19° / 14°
Average for October 26
26° / 17°

High well below average · −7.6°C

  • Highest since 1940: 32.8° · 2008
  • Lowest since 1940: 11.2° · 1955
  • One year ago: 32° / 17°

Every October 26 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 26 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Várzea Paulista is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 23.21°S, 46.83°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
23.21°S, 46.83°W
Time zone
America/Sao Paulo
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

18 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +0.8°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

February brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 27.5°C and nights around 19.0°C. On about 55 nights a year, the temperature never drops below 20°C. At the other extreme, July brings afternoon highs of about 22.2°C and typical overnight lows of 11.7°C. Frost is essentially unknown.

The yearly total for Várzea Paulista comes to about 1,614 mm; monthly amounts range from 45 mm in August up to 253 mm in January.

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Várzea Paulista has risen by 1.5°C between its first decade and its last. Days above 30°C have grown noticeably more frequent, from around 7 a year in the first decade to about 70 in the last.

Climate graph (climograph)

February is the warmest month, July the coolest: a yearly swing of 6°C. Wettest month: January (~253 mm). Whole year averages ~1,614 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Várzea Paulista month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightHighestLowest
January27.3°18.9°253 mm13.3 h35.6° (2015)11.8° (1980)
February27.5°19.0°210 mm12.8 h35.7° (2014)13.2° (1991)
March26.9°18.3°175 mm12.2 h33.1° (2009)11.1° (1965)
April25.3°16.5°87 mm11.5 h32.2° (2016)5.8° (1971)
May23.0°14.0°75 mm10.9 h31.4° (2024)3.7° (1968)
June22.2°12.4°55 mm10.6 h29.0° (2010)0.4° (1979)
July22.2°11.7°50 mm10.7 h29.6° (1983)1.6° (2021)
August24.0°12.8°45 mm11.2 h33.0° (2005)3.4° (1987)
September25.3°14.6°93 mm11.9 h36.8° (1961)4.0° (2002)
October25.6°16.2°157 mm12.6 h37.4° (2020)7.8° (1974)
November25.9°16.9°172 mm13.1 h36.2° (2023)8.8° (1956)
December26.5°18.2°241 mm13.4 h35.1° (2013)11.1° (1970)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.5°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.22°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.27°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 6.7 early in the record → 67.6 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2020, coldest in 1979: 37.4°C / 0.4°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~1,614 mm/year on average. Last decade: −17% vs that average. Long-term trend: −42 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Várzea Paulista

Which is the warmest month in Várzea Paulista?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Várzea Paulista is February (mean daily temperature of about 22.7°C) and the coolest is July (about 16.4°C).
How does today's temperature in Várzea Paulista compare to the historical average?
On October 26, 2026, Várzea Paulista is forecast to reach a high of 18.6°C and a low of 13.8°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 26.2°C and a low of 17.1°C, so today's high is 7.6°C cooler than that average.
How much has Várzea Paulista warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Várzea Paulista is about 1.5°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Várzea Paulista?
Várzea Paulista receives about 1,614 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with January typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Várzea Paulista?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Várzea Paulista is about 19.9°C. The warmest month is February and the coolest is July.
What are the average temperatures in Várzea Paulista by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Várzea Paulista (°C, full record since 1940): January 27°/19°, February 28°/19°, March 27°/18°, April 25°/16°, May 23°/14°, June 22°/12°, July 22°/12°, August 24°/13°, September 25°/15°, October 26°/16°, November 26°/17°, December 27°/18°.
What is the weather like in Várzea Paulista in summer?
December to February is summer in Várzea Paulista, and it is wet and warm. Daytime highs sit at 27–28°C and nights at 18–19°C; February is the warmest month. About 235 mm of rain a month. No season is wetter.
What is the weather like in Várzea Paulista in winter?
Winter in Várzea Paulista (June to August) is pleasantly warm. Afternoons run 22–24°C and nights 12–13°C; July is the coldest month. Rain is steady at around 50 mm a month. It is the driest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Várzea Paulista in spring?
September to November is spring in Várzea Paulista, and it is wet and pleasantly warm. Expect 25–26°C by day and 15–17°C at night, with November the warmest month. Rain picks up through the season, 93 mm in September to 172 mm in November.
What is the weather like in Várzea Paulista in autumn?
March to May is autumn in Várzea Paulista, and it is wet and pleasantly warm. It cools from 27°C by day and 18°C at night in March to 23°C and 14°C in May. Rain falls off from 175 mm in March to 75 mm in May.

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