WeatherJourney.com

Jaraguá weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Temperatures in Jaraguá stay within a narrow band all year, with the monthly means just 6.2°C apart. Rainfall leans toward the stretch from October to March. Jaraguá weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−1.4°Chigh near average

23° / 13°Today
24° / 16°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.4°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4948days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 4 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 4 in the 1940s+1.4°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 211 mmhigh 27°low 19°February, rain 181 mmhigh 27°low 19°March, rain 160 mmhigh 26°low 18°April, rain 76 mmhigh 24°low 16°May, rain 67 mmhigh 22°low 14°June, rain 50 mmhigh 21°low 13°July, rain 49 mmhigh 21°low 12°August, rain 43 mmhigh 23°low 13°September, rain 86 mmhigh 24°low 14°October, rain 132 mmhigh 24°low 16°November, rain 147 mmhigh 25°low 16°December, rain 200 mmhigh 26°low 18°wettest month January, 211 mm · 1,404 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Mostly clear

Right now

13.3°

13°feels like
91%humidity
12°dew point
4 km/hfrom SE
UV index0.1
sunrise05:28sunset18:14day length12h 46m
TodayOvercast23°13°
ThuOvercast23°15°
FriLight rain22°17°
SatShowers21°19°
SunOvercast20°13°
MonOvercast16°13°
TueOvercast20°13°

On this date: October 21

Today (forecast)
23° / 13°
Average for October 21
24° / 16°

High near average · −1.4°C

  • Highest since 1940: 34.2° · 2007
  • Lowest since 1940: 8.7° · 1981
  • One year ago: 21° / 10°

Every October 21 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 21 on record (n = 86). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Jaraguá is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 23.44°S, 46.74°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
23.44°S, 46.74°W
Time zone
America/Sao Paulo
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

18 of the last 30 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +0.7°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in February, at around 26.8°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 18.7°C. On about 45 nights a year, the temperature never drops below 20°C. In July, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 21.4°C and nights dip to 11.9°C.

The yearly total for Jaraguá comes to about 1,404 mm; monthly amounts range from 43 mm in August up to 211 mm in January. A typical year brings rain or snow on around 137 days.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Jaraguá now averages 1.4°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. The count of days past 30°C has risen from roughly 4 a year to 50 between the record's first and last decades.

Climate graph (climograph)

February is the warmest month, July the coolest: a yearly swing of 6°C. Wettest month: January (~211 mm). Whole year averages ~1,404 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 137 rainy days a year: most in January (~20), fewest in August (~4).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Jaraguá month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January26.6°18.6°211 mm2013.3 h34.2° (2015)11.3° (1980)
February26.8°18.7°181 mm1812.8 h35.5° (2014)12.7° (1991)
March26.1°18.1°160 mm1612.2 h32.5° (2025)11.4° (1961)
April24.4°16.3°76 mm911.5 h31.5° (1996)6.2° (1971)
May22.3°13.9°67 mm610.9 h31.1° (2024)4.0° (1979)
June21.3°12.5°50 mm510.6 h28.3° (2010)1.3° (1981)
July21.4°11.9°49 mm510.7 h29.1° (1983)2.0° (2021)
August23.1°12.8°43 mm411.2 h33.0° (2005)3.1° (1984)
September24.2°14.3°86 mm811.9 h36.4° (1961)5.0° (2002)
October24.5°15.7°132 mm1312.6 h36.7° (2020)7.3° (1974)
November24.9°16.4°147 mm1413.2 h35.9° (2023)8.8° (1949)
December25.7°17.8°200 mm1913.4 h33.8° (2025)10.9° (1951)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.4°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.21°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.27°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 4.2 early in the record → 47.8 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2020, coldest in 1981: 36.7°C / 1.3°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~1,404 mm/year on average. Last decade: −14% vs that average. Long-term trend: −30 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Jaraguá

Which is the warmest month in Jaraguá?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Jaraguá is February (mean daily temperature of about 22.2°C) and the coolest is July (about 16.0°C).
How does today's temperature in Jaraguá compare to the historical average?
On October 21, 2026, Jaraguá is forecast to reach a high of 22.9°C and a low of 13.1°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 24.3°C and a low of 15.5°C, so today's high is 1.4°C cooler than that average.
How much has Jaraguá warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Jaraguá is about 1.4°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Jaraguá?
Jaraguá receives about 1,404 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with January typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Jaraguá?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Jaraguá is about 19.3°C. The warmest month is February and the coolest is July.
What are the average temperatures in Jaraguá by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Jaraguá (°C, full record since 1940): January 27°/19°, February 27°/19°, March 26°/18°, April 24°/16°, May 22°/14°, June 21°/13°, July 21°/12°, August 23°/13°, September 24°/14°, October 24°/16°, November 25°/16°, December 26°/18°.
What is the weather like in Jaraguá in summer?
In summer, December through February, Jaraguá is wet and warm. Daytime highs sit at 26–27°C and nights at 18–19°C; February is the warmest month. Rain falls on about 19 days a month, adding up to around 198 mm. It is the wettest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Jaraguá in winter?
In winter, June through August, Jaraguá is mild. Afternoons run 21–23°C and nights 12–13°C; July is the coldest month. Rain is steady at around 48 mm a month, spread over roughly 5 days. It is the driest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Jaraguá in spring?
September to November is spring in Jaraguá, and it is wet and pleasantly warm. Expect 24–25°C by day and 14–16°C at night, with November the warmest month. Rain rises from 86 mm on 8 days in September to 147 mm on 14 days in November.
What is the weather like in Jaraguá in autumn?
Autumn in Jaraguá (March to May) is wet and pleasantly warm. March is still 26°C by day and 18°C at night; by May it is down to 22°C and 14°C. Rain falls off from 160 mm on 16 days in March to 67 mm on 6 days in May.
How many days a year does it rain in Jaraguá?
On long-term average, Jaraguá has about 137 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 1,404 mm.

Weather in nearby cities