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Nicolás Romero weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Temperatures in Nicolás Romero stay within a narrow band all year, with the monthly means just 5.8°C apart. Rainfall leans toward the stretch from May to October. Nicolás Romero weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+1.1°Chigh near average

22° / 9°Today
21° / 9°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+2.7°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–490frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 1 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 1 in the 1940s13days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 0 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 0 in the 1940s+2.7°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 19 mmhigh 20°low 6°February, rain 18 mmhigh 22°low 6°March, rain 23 mmhigh 24°low 8°April, rain 43 mmhigh 25°low 10°May, rain 66 mmhigh 25°low 11°June, rain 109 mmhigh 24°low 12°July, rain 107 mmhigh 22°low 12°August, rain 98 mmhigh 22°low 12°September, rain 113 mmhigh 21°low 12°October, rain 61 mmhigh 21°low 10°November, rain 23 mmhigh 21°low 8°December, rain 16 mmhigh 20°low 6°wettest month September, 113 mm · 696 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Partly cloudy

Right now

22.2°

20°feels like
42%humidity
9°dew point
12 km/hfrom NE
UV index3.5
sunrise06:33sunset18:10day length11h 37m
TodayPartly cloudy22°9°
WedOvercast18°12°
ThuOvercast17°11°
FriPartly cloudy22°9°
SatOvercast21°10°
SunOvercast19°11°
MonMostly clear22°9°

On this date: October 20

Today (forecast)
22° / 9°
Average for October 20
21° / 9°

High near average · +1.1°C

  • Highest since 1940: 26.1° · 2012
  • Lowest since 1940: −0.2° · 1955
  • One year ago: 23° / 12°

Every October 20 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 20 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Nicolás Romero is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 19.64°N, 99.31°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
19.64°N, 99.31°W
Time zone
America/Mexico City
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

26 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.5°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

May brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 25.2°C and nights around 11.4°C. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 20.1°C and overnight lows sit around 5.6°C. Freezing temperatures almost never occur.

Nicolás Romero picks up roughly 696 mm a year, with a peak of 113 mm in September and as little as 16 mm in December.

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Nicolás Romero has risen by 2.7°C between its first decade and its last. Days above 30°C have grown noticeably more frequent, from around 0 a year in the first decade to about 13 in the last.

Climate graph (climograph)

May is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 6°C. Wettest month: September (~113 mm). Whole year averages ~696 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Nicolás Romero month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightHighestLowest
January20.1°5.6°19 mm10.9 h26.4° (2024)−6.0° (1956)
February22.0°6.4°18 mm11.4 h29.6° (2013)−4.4° (1976)
March24.4°8.2°23 mm11.9 h31.4° (2020)−1.8° (1987)
April25.4°10.2°43 mm12.5 h33.0° (1998)1.9° (1978)
May25.2°11.4°66 mm12.9 h33.3° (1998)5.6° (1985)
June23.6°12.4°109 mm13.2 h33.0° (2024)5.3° (1956)
July22.1°11.9°107 mm13.1 h28.5° (1998)6.6° (1954)
August22.4°11.9°98 mm12.7 h27.9° (1982)6.7° (1950)
September21.5°11.8°113 mm12.1 h28.8° (2023)1.8° (1979)
October21.1°9.9°61 mm11.5 h28.3° (1977)−1.5° (1952)
November20.9°7.5°23 mm11.1 h28.8° (2023)−3.9° (1953)
December20.0°6.1°16 mm10.8 h27.0° (1997)−2.4° (1954)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +2.7°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.35°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Mar–May is warming fastest: +0.38°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 0.0 early in the record → 13.0 recently. Frost days: 1 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 1998, coldest in 1956: 33.3°C / −6.0°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~696 mm/year on average. Last decade: +10% vs that average. Long-term trend: +26 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Nicolás Romero

Which is the warmest month in Nicolás Romero?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Nicolás Romero is May (mean daily temperature of about 17.9°C) and the coolest is January (about 12.1°C).
How does today's temperature in Nicolás Romero compare to the historical average?
On October 20, 2026, Nicolás Romero is forecast to reach a high of 22.2°C and a low of 9.1°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 21.1°C and a low of 9.5°C, so today's high is 1.1°C warmer than that average.
How much has Nicolás Romero warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Nicolás Romero is about 2.7°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Nicolás Romero?
Nicolás Romero receives about 696 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with September typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Nicolás Romero?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Nicolás Romero is about 15.3°C. The warmest month is May and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Nicolás Romero by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Nicolás Romero (°C, full record since 1940): January 20°/6°, February 22°/6°, March 24°/8°, April 25°/10°, May 25°/11°, June 24°/12°, July 22°/12°, August 22°/12°, September 21°/12°, October 21°/10°, November 21°/8°, December 20°/6°.
What is the weather like in Nicolás Romero in summer?
In summer, June through August, Nicolás Romero is wet and pleasantly warm. Daytime highs sit at 22–24°C and nights at 12°C; June is the warmest month. About 105 mm of rain a month. No season is wetter.
What is the weather like in Nicolás Romero in winter?
December to February is winter in Nicolás Romero, and it is dry and mild. Afternoons run 20–22°C and nights 6°C; January is the coldest month. Rain is steady at around 18 mm a month. No season is drier.
What is the weather like in Nicolás Romero in spring?
Spring in Nicolás Romero (March to May) is pleasantly warm. Expect 24–25°C by day and 8–11°C at night, with April the warmest month. Rain rises from 23 mm in March to 66 mm in May.
What is the weather like in Nicolás Romero in autumn?
In autumn, September through November, Nicolás Romero is mild. Daytime highs sit at 21°C and nights at 8–12°C; November is the coldest month. Rain eases through the season, 113 mm in September to 23 mm in November.

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