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Ecatepec de Morelos weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Temperature-wise, the seasons in Ecatepec de Morelos are gentle: monthly means drift only 5.7°C over the whole year. Rainfall is strongly seasonal: the bulk of the year's rain falls between June and October. Ecatepec de Morelos weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−2.1°Chigh below average

20° / 11°Today
22° / 10°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+2.7°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4913days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 0 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 0 in the 1940s+2.7°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 12 mmhigh 21°low 7°February, rain 10 mmhigh 22°low 8°March, rain 11 mmhigh 25°low 9°April, rain 23 mmhigh 26°low 11°May, rain 36 mmhigh 26°low 12°June, rain 122 mmhigh 24°low 13°July, rain 148 mmhigh 23°low 12°August, rain 143 mmhigh 23°low 12°September, rain 139 mmhigh 22°low 12°October, rain 66 mmhigh 22°low 10°November, rain 18 mmhigh 22°low 8°December, rain 10 mmhigh 21°low 7°wettest month July, 148 mm · 737 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

11.0°

9°feels like
86%humidity
9°dew point
12 km/hfrom NE
UV index0.0
sunrise06:31sunset18:10day length11h 39m
TodayOvercast20°11°
MonPartly cloudy23°10°
TueMostly clear24°9°
WedOvercast20°11°
ThuOvercast22°10°
FriOvercast23°9°
SatLight rain18°11°

On this date: October 18

Today (forecast)
20° / 11°
Average for October 18
22° / 10°

High below average · −2.1°C

  • Record high: 27.2° · 2012
  • Record low: 3.8° · 1952
  • One year ago: 23° / 12°

Every October 18 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 18 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Ecatepec de Morelos is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 19.60°N, 99.06°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
19.60°N, 99.06°W
Time zone
America/Mexico City
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

27 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.3°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The warmest month is May, with typical afternoon highs of 25.9°C and nights around 12.4°C. At the other extreme, January brings afternoon highs of about 20.7°C and typical overnight lows of 6.6°C. Freezing temperatures almost never occur.

In total, Ecatepec de Morelos averages about 737 mm of precipitation a year; July is usually the wettest month (148 mm) and February the driest (10 mm).

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Ecatepec de Morelos has risen by 2.7°C between its first decade and its last. Recent years have brought more rain as well. The last decade sits roughly 14% over the long-term average.

Climate graph (climograph)

May is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 6°C. Wettest month: July (~148 mm). Whole year averages ~737 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Ecatepec de Morelos month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightRecord highRecord low
January20.7°6.6°12 mm10.9 h26.9° (2009)−5.0° (1956)
February22.5°7.6°10 mm11.4 h29.9° (2013)−2.9° (1976)
March24.7°9.5°11 mm11.9 h31.7° (2020)−0.5° (2013)
April25.7°11.3°23 mm12.5 h32.3° (2024)3.9° (2025)
May25.9°12.4°36 mm12.9 h33.2° (2024)6.8° (2014)
June24.3°13.2°122 mm13.2 h33.1° (2024)5.9° (1956)
July22.8°12.4°148 mm13.1 h30.4° (1998)7.2° (1947)
August22.9°12.4°143 mm12.7 h28.6° (2001)7.2° (1961)
September22.1°12.3°139 mm12.1 h29.0° (2023)2.9° (1979)
October21.8°10.5°66 mm11.5 h28.7° (1977)−0.4° (1952)
November21.5°8.4°18 mm11.1 h28.3° (2023)−2.0° (1953)
December20.6°7.0°10 mm10.8 h26.3° (2012)−0.4° (1955)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +2.7°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.35°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Mar–May is warming fastest: +0.38°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 0.1 early in the record → 13.2 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 2024, all-time low in 1956: 33.2°C / −5.0°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~737 mm/year on average. Last decade: +14% vs that average. Long-term trend: +24 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Ecatepec de Morelos

Which is the warmest month in Ecatepec de Morelos?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Ecatepec de Morelos is May (mean daily temperature of about 19.0°C) and the coolest is January (about 13.3°C).
How does today's temperature in Ecatepec de Morelos compare to the historical average?
On October 18, 2026, Ecatepec de Morelos is forecast to reach a high of 19.6°C and a low of 10.8°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 21.7°C and a low of 10.1°C, so today's high is 2.1°C cooler than that average.
How much has Ecatepec de Morelos warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Ecatepec de Morelos is about 2.7°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Ecatepec de Morelos?
Ecatepec de Morelos receives about 737 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with July typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Ecatepec de Morelos?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Ecatepec de Morelos is about 16.2°C. The warmest month is May and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Ecatepec de Morelos by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Ecatepec de Morelos (°C, full record since 1940): January 21°/7°, February 22°/8°, March 25°/9°, April 26°/11°, May 26°/12°, June 24°/13°, July 23°/12°, August 23°/12°, September 22°/12°, October 22°/10°, November 22°/8°, December 21°/7°.
What is the weather like in Ecatepec de Morelos in summer?
Summer in Ecatepec de Morelos (June to August) is wet and pleasantly warm. Expect 23–24°C by day and 12–13°C at night, with June the warmest month. About 138 mm of rain a month. No season is wetter.
What is the weather like in Ecatepec de Morelos in winter?
In winter, December through February, Ecatepec de Morelos is dry and mild. Daytime highs sit at 21–22°C and nights at 7–8°C; January is the coldest month. Rain is steady at around 11 mm a month. It is the driest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Ecatepec de Morelos in spring?
March to May is spring in Ecatepec de Morelos, and it is pleasantly warm. Afternoons run 25–26°C and nights 9–12°C; May is the warmest month. Rain picks up through the season, 11 mm in March to 36 mm in May.
What is the weather like in Ecatepec de Morelos in autumn?
Autumn in Ecatepec de Morelos (September to November) is mild. Expect 22°C by day and 8–12°C at night, with November the coldest month. Rain falls off from 139 mm in September to 18 mm in November.

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