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Guelmim weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Average temperatures in Guelmim follow a clear seasonal rhythm, rising and falling by 12.4°C over the course of the year. Precipitation is scarce in every season. Guelmim weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+6.6°Chigh well above average

33° / 19°Today
27° / 16°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.0°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49117days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 104 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 104 in the 1940s+1.0°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 18 mmhigh 20°low 9°February, rain 21 mmhigh 21°low 10°March, rain 20 mmhigh 24°low 12°April, rain 11 mmhigh 24°low 13°May, rain 5 mmhigh 26°low 15°June, rain 2 mmhigh 28°low 17°July, rain 1 mmhigh 34°low 19°August, rain 2 mmhigh 34°low 20°September, rain 5 mmhigh 31°low 19°October, rain 11 mmhigh 28°low 17°November, rain 21 mmhigh 24°low 13°December, rain 25 mmhigh 20°low 10°wettest month December, 25 mm · 142 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Clear

Right now

24.7°

25°feels like
53%humidity
14°dew point
7 km/hfrom E
UV index1.6
sunrise07:48sunset18:59day length11h 11m
TodayMostly clear33°19°
TuePartly cloudy31°21°
WedOvercast32°21°
ThuPartly cloudy30°19°
FriPartly cloudy31°17°
SatMostly clear32°19°
SunOvercast30°19°

On this date: October 26

Today (forecast)
33° / 19°
Average for October 26
27° / 16°

High well above average · +6.6°C

  • Highest since 1940: 36.1° · 2001
  • Lowest since 1940: 8.7° · 1974
  • One year ago: 29° / 14°

Every October 26 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 26 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Guelmim is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 28.99°N, 10.06°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
28.99°N, 10.06°W
Time zone
Africa/Casablanca
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

23 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +2.8°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in August, at around 34.1°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 20.1°C. In a typical recent year, around 115 days reach 30°C or more. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 19.7°C and overnight lows sit around 8.9°C. Freezing temperatures almost never occur.

Guelmim averages only about 142 mm a year, and what little falls comes mostly around December.

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Guelmim has risen by 1.0°C between its first decade and its last. The last decade has also run drier, about 35% below the long-term precipitation average.

Climate graph (climograph)

August is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 12°C. Wettest month: December (~25 mm). Whole year averages ~142 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 16 rainy days a year: most in December (~3), fewest in July (almost none).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Guelmim month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January19.7°8.9°18 mm210.3 h29.6° (2021)−0.2° (2005)
February21.4°10.3°21 mm211.0 h34.2° (2024)1.6° (2005)
March23.7°12.1°20 mm211.8 h38.9° (2023)3.5° (1972)
April24.4°13.2°11 mm112.7 h40.7° (2006)5.3° (1979)
May26.2°14.9°5 mm013.4 h44.6° (2015)8.0° (1951)
June28.1°16.7°2 mm013.8 h46.2° (1970)10.5° (1965)
July33.7°19.4°1 mm013.7 h48.1° (1979)13.7° (1972)
August34.1°20.1°2 mm013.0 h49.7° (2023)12.8° (1981)
September30.8°18.6°5 mm112.2 h45.6° (1983)11.1° (1943)
October27.9°16.6°11 mm111.3 h41.9° (2021)8.1° (1951)
November23.9°13.4°21 mm210.5 h35.4° (1985)2.3° (1943)
December20.2°10.0°25 mm310.2 h29.7° (2010)1.1° (1946)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.0°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.17°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.29°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 104.2 early in the record → 116.5 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2023, coldest in 2005: 49.7°C / −0.2°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~142 mm/year on average. Last decade: −35% vs that average. Long-term trend: −4 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Guelmim

Which is the warmest month in Guelmim?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Guelmim is August (mean daily temperature of about 26.3°C) and the coolest is January (about 13.9°C).
How does today's temperature in Guelmim compare to the historical average?
On October 26, 2026, Guelmim is forecast to reach a high of 33.3°C and a low of 19.0°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 26.7°C and a low of 15.7°C, so today's high is 6.6°C warmer than that average.
How much has Guelmim warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Guelmim is about 1.0°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Guelmim?
Guelmim receives about 142 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with December typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Guelmim?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Guelmim is about 19.8°C. The warmest month is August and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Guelmim by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Guelmim (°C, full record since 1940): January 20°/9°, February 21°/10°, March 24°/12°, April 24°/13°, May 26°/15°, June 28°/17°, July 34°/19°, August 34°/20°, September 31°/19°, October 28°/17°, November 24°/13°, December 20°/10°.
What is the weather like in Guelmim in summer?
In summer, June through August, Guelmim is dry and hot. It warms from 28°C by day and 17°C at night in June to 34°C and 20°C in August. Hardly any rain falls.
What is the weather like in Guelmim in winter?
Winter in Guelmim (December to February) is mild. Daytime highs sit at 20–21°C and nights at 9–10°C; January is the coldest month. Rain is steady at around 21 mm a month, spread over roughly 2 days. No season is wetter.
What is the weather like in Guelmim in spring?
In spring, March through May, Guelmim is dry and pleasantly warm. Afternoons run 24–26°C and nights 12–15°C; May is the warmest month. Rain falls off from 20 mm in March to 5 mm in May.
What is the weather like in Guelmim in autumn?
September to November is autumn in Guelmim, and it is dry and warm. It cools from 31°C by day and 19°C at night in September to 24°C and 13°C in November. Rain picks up through the season: 1 rainy day and 5 mm in September, 2 days and 21 mm in November.
How many days a year does it rain in Guelmim?
On long-term average, Guelmim has about 16 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 142 mm.

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