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El Kelaa des Srarhna weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Average temperatures in El Kelaa des Srarhna follow a clear seasonal rhythm, rising and falling by 17.0°C over the course of the year. This is a dry climate by most measures, though not a rainless one. El Kelaa des Srarhna weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+5.6°Chigh well above average

31° / 15°Today
26° / 14°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.9°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–490frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 1 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 1 in the 1940s159days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 126 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 126 in the 1940s+1.9°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 34 mmhigh 17°low 6°February, rain 36 mmhigh 19°low 8°March, rain 42 mmhigh 22°low 10°April, rain 40 mmhigh 24°low 12°May, rain 23 mmhigh 28°low 15°June, rain 9 mmhigh 32°low 18°July, rain 6 mmhigh 36°low 21°August, rain 8 mmhigh 36°low 21°September, rain 15 mmhigh 32°low 19°October, rain 28 mmhigh 27°low 15°November, rain 37 mmhigh 22°low 11°December, rain 35 mmhigh 18°low 7°wettest month March, 42 mm · 314 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Clear

Right now

28.7°

27°feels like
26%humidity
7°dew point
5 km/hfrom N
UV index5.5
sunrise07:41sunset18:45day length11h 04m
TodayClear31°15°
TueOvercast26°17°
WedPartly cloudy30°17°
ThuOvercast27°20°
FriOvercast29°20°
SatOvercast29°17°
SunClear29°16°

On this date: October 26

Today (forecast)
31° / 15°
Average for October 26
26° / 14°

High well above average · +5.6°C

  • Highest since 1940: 35.6° · 2022
  • Lowest since 1940: 6.5° · 1974
  • One year ago: 26° / 19°

Every October 26 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 26 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for El Kelaa des Srarhna is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 32.05°N, 7.41°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
32.05°N, 7.41°W
Time zone
Africa/Casablanca
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

23 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +2.0°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

July brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 36.5°C and nights around 20.9°C. Roughly 160 days a year now top 30°C. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 17.4°C and overnight lows sit around 6.1°C. Frost is essentially unknown.

In total, El Kelaa des Srarhna averages about 314 mm of precipitation a year; March is usually the wettest month (42 mm) and July the driest (6 mm).

The record here starts in 1940, and since then the annual mean in El Kelaa des Srarhna has climbed 1.9°C from the first ten years to the last ten. Recent years have brought less rain as well. The last decade sits roughly 19% under the long-term average.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 17°C. Wettest month: March (~42 mm). Whole year averages ~314 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 39 rainy days a year: most in March (~5), fewest in July (~1).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

El Kelaa des Srarhna month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January17.4°6.1°34 mm510.1 h28.2° (2014)−3.2° (2005)
February19.4°7.6°36 mm510.9 h33.3° (2024)−1.6° (1954)
March22.2°9.9°42 mm511.8 h36.5° (2005)0.9° (1955)
April24.3°11.9°40 mm512.8 h39.8° (2023)3.3° (1954)
May28.1°14.8°23 mm313.6 h43.0° (1942)6.9° (1972)
June32.1°18.0°9 mm114.1 h45.3° (1982)10.1° (1963)
July36.5°20.9°6 mm113.9 h46.7° (2020)13.3° (1977)
August36.2°21.2°8 mm113.2 h46.8° (2021)13.4° (1974)
September31.9°18.9°15 mm212.2 h43.2° (1987)10.5° (1974)
October27.2°15.5°28 mm311.2 h39.3° (2021)5.1° (1940)
November22.0°10.9°37 mm410.3 h34.2° (1985)1.1° (1943)
December18.2°7.2°35 mm59.9 h30.5° (1976)−0.5° (1967)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.9°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.28°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.33°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 126.2 early in the record → 159.2 recently. Frost days: 1 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2021, coldest in 2005: 46.8°C / −3.2°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~314 mm/year on average. Last decade: −19% vs that average. Long-term trend: −5 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about El Kelaa des Srarhna

Which is the warmest month in El Kelaa des Srarhna?
On long-term average, the warmest month in El Kelaa des Srarhna is July (mean daily temperature of about 28.4°C) and the coolest is January (about 11.5°C).
How does today's temperature in El Kelaa des Srarhna compare to the historical average?
On October 26, 2026, El Kelaa des Srarhna is forecast to reach a high of 31.2°C and a low of 14.7°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 25.6°C and a low of 14.2°C, so today's high is 5.6°C warmer than that average.
How much has El Kelaa des Srarhna warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in El Kelaa des Srarhna is about 1.9°C warmer.
How much does it rain in El Kelaa des Srarhna?
El Kelaa des Srarhna receives about 314 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with March typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in El Kelaa des Srarhna?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in El Kelaa des Srarhna is about 19.7°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in El Kelaa des Srarhna by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in El Kelaa des Srarhna (°C, full record since 1940): January 17°/6°, February 19°/8°, March 22°/10°, April 24°/12°, May 28°/15°, June 32°/18°, July 36°/21°, August 36°/21°, September 32°/19°, October 27°/15°, November 22°/11°, December 18°/7°.
What is the weather like in El Kelaa des Srarhna in summer?
In summer, June through August, El Kelaa des Srarhna is dry and hot. June starts at 32°C by day and 18°C at night; by August it is 36°C and 21°C. Almost no rain.
What is the weather like in El Kelaa des Srarhna in winter?
Winter in El Kelaa des Srarhna (December to February) is mild. Expect 17–19°C by day and 6–8°C at night, with January the coldest month. Rain is steady at around 35 mm a month, spread over roughly 5 days.
What is the weather like in El Kelaa des Srarhna in spring?
In spring, March through May, El Kelaa des Srarhna is pleasantly warm. March is still 22°C in the afternoon and 10°C at night, May already 28°C and 15°C. Rain falls off from 42 mm on 5 days in March to 23 mm on 3 days in May.
What is the weather like in El Kelaa des Srarhna in autumn?
Autumn in El Kelaa des Srarhna (September to November) is warm. It cools from 32°C by day and 19°C at night in September to 22°C and 11°C in November. Rain rises from 15 mm on 2 days in September to 37 mm on 4 days in November.
How many days a year does it rain in El Kelaa des Srarhna?
On long-term average, El Kelaa des Srarhna has about 39 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 314 mm.

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