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Ensenada weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Average temperatures in Ensenada follow a clear seasonal rhythm, rising and falling by 11.2°C over the course of the year. Rainfall is on the low side overall. Ensenada weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+0.4°Chigh near average

27° / 17°Today
26° / 16°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.3°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4962days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 63 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 63 in the 1940s+1.3°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 54 mmhigh 20°low 10°February, rain 59 mmhigh 20°low 10°March, rain 59 mmhigh 21°low 11°April, rain 26 mmhigh 22°low 13°May, rain 7 mmhigh 24°low 15°June, rain 1 mmhigh 27°low 18°July, rain 1 mmhigh 29°low 21°August, rain 3 mmhigh 30°low 22°September, rain 6 mmhigh 29°low 20°October, rain 13 mmhigh 26°low 16°November, rain 29 mmhigh 23°low 13°December, rain 47 mmhigh 20°low 10°wettest month February, 59 mm · 306 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Clear

Right now

26.5°

27°feels like
38%humidity
11°dew point
10 km/hfrom W
UV index6.0
sunrise06:53sunset18:09day length11h 17m
TodayClear27°17°
TuePartly cloudy22°18°
WedClear27°18°
ThuClear22°17°
FriClear23°16°
SatClear29°18°
SunOvercast31°21°

On this date: October 19

Today (forecast)
27° / 17°
Average for October 19
26° / 16°

High near average · +0.4°C

  • Highest since 1940: 36.5° · 1940
  • Lowest since 1940: 10.6° · 1971
  • One year ago: 30° / 14°

Every October 19 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 19 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Ensenada is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 31.87°N, 116.60°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
31.87°N, 116.60°W
Time zone
America/Tijuana
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

18 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.5°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The warmest month is August, with typical afternoon highs of 30.0°C and nights around 21.7°C. In a typical recent year, around 60 days reach 30°C or more. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 20.1°C and overnight lows sit around 9.6°C. Frost is essentially unknown.

The yearly total for Ensenada comes to about 306 mm; monthly amounts range from 1 mm in June up to 59 mm in February.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Ensenada now averages 1.3°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. You can follow the shift year by year in the charts below.

Climate graph (climograph)

August is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 11°C. Wettest month: February (~59 mm). Whole year averages ~306 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 27 rainy days a year: most in March (~5), fewest in June (almost none).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Ensenada month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January20.1°9.6°54 mm510.1 h32.6° (2021)0.5° (1949)
February20.3°10.1°59 mm510.9 h33.4° (1963)1.9° (1946)
March20.6°11.1°59 mm511.8 h34.8° (1997)4.3° (1952)
April22.3°12.8°26 mm312.8 h38.0° (1989)4.8° (1999)
May23.7°14.9°7 mm113.6 h37.6° (2013)8.1° (1950)
June26.5°17.7°1 mm014.1 h42.3° (1990)11.2° (1965)
July29.4°21.0°1 mm013.9 h39.4° (1943)14.1° (1944)
August30.0°21.7°3 mm013.2 h39.5° (1944)14.2° (1947)
September29.4°20.3°6 mm112.2 h41.1° (2020)12.8° (2013)
October26.5°16.5°13 mm211.2 h39.8° (1991)6.5° (1971)
November23.2°12.6°29 mm310.3 h36.6° (1966)3.3° (1994)
December20.5°10.1°47 mm49.9 h31.7° (1979)0.8° (1990)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.3°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.14°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Mar–May is warming fastest: +0.18°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 63.2 early in the record → 62.0 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 1990, coldest in 1949: 42.3°C / 0.5°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~306 mm/year on average. Last decade: +2% vs that average. Long-term trend: +3 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Ensenada

Which is the warmest month in Ensenada?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Ensenada is August (mean daily temperature of about 25.4°C) and the coolest is January (about 14.2°C).
How does today's temperature in Ensenada compare to the historical average?
On October 19, 2026, Ensenada is forecast to reach a high of 26.6°C and a low of 16.8°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 26.2°C and a low of 16.0°C, so today's high is about equal to that average.
How much has Ensenada warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Ensenada is about 1.3°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Ensenada?
Ensenada receives about 306 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with February typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Ensenada?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Ensenada is about 19.1°C. The warmest month is August and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Ensenada by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Ensenada (°C, full record since 1940): January 20°/10°, February 20°/10°, March 21°/11°, April 22°/13°, May 24°/15°, June 27°/18°, July 29°/21°, August 30°/22°, September 29°/20°, October 26°/16°, November 23°/13°, December 20°/10°.
What is the weather like in Ensenada in summer?
June to August is summer in Ensenada, and it is dry and warm. Expect 27–30°C by day and 18–22°C at night, with August the warmest month. Hardly any rain falls.
What is the weather like in Ensenada in winter?
December to February is winter in Ensenada, and it is mild. Daytime highs sit at 20°C and nights at 10°C; January is the coldest month. Rain falls on about 5 days a month, adding up to around 53 mm. It is the wettest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Ensenada in spring?
In spring, March through May, Ensenada is pleasantly warm. Afternoons run 21–24°C and nights 11–15°C; May is the warmest month. Rain eases through the season: 5 rainy days and 59 mm in March, 1 day and 7 mm in May.
What is the weather like in Ensenada in autumn?
Autumn in Ensenada (September to November) is dry and warm. September still brings 29°C afternoons and 20°C nights, November only 23°C and 13°C. Rain picks up through the season: 1 rainy day and 6 mm in September, 3 days and 29 mm in November.
How many days a year does it rain in Ensenada?
On long-term average, Ensenada has about 27 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 306 mm.

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