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El Cajon weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Temperature-wise, the seasons in El Cajon are gentle: monthly means drift only 17.6°F over the whole year. Rainfall is on the low side overall. El Cajon weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+6.5°Fhigh well above average

82° / 60°Today
75° / 58°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+2.7°Faverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4928days above 86°F a year now (2016–2025) · 31 in the 1940sdays above 86°F · 31 in the 1940s+2.7°F vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 2.3 incheshigh 65°low 48°February, rain 2.4 incheshigh 66°low 49°March, rain 2.3 incheshigh 66°low 51°April, rain 1.1 incheshigh 69°low 54°May, rain 0.4 incheshigh 71°low 57°June, rain 0.1 incheshigh 76°low 60°July, rain 0.1 incheshigh 81°low 65°August, rain 0.1 incheshigh 82°low 66°September, rain 0.3 incheshigh 81°low 65°October, rain 0.6 incheshigh 77°low 60°November, rain 1.2 incheshigh 71°low 54°December, rain 1.9 incheshigh 66°low 49°wettest month February, 2.4 inches · 12.9 inches a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Clear

Right now

62.8°

63°feels like
69%humidity
53°dew point
1 mphfrom NW
UV index0.0
sunrise07:00sunset18:02day length11h 02m
TodayClear82°60°
TueClear76°55°
WedOvercast75°64°
ThuOvercast74°64°
FriOvercast70°65°
SatOvercast72°64°
SunLight rain67°63°

On this date: October 26

Today (forecast)
82° / 60°
Average for October 26
75° / 58°

High well above average · +6.5°F

  • Highest since 1940: 89.4° · 2017
  • Lowest since 1940: 50.1° · 1970
  • One year ago: 72° / 56°

Every October 26 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 26 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for El Cajon is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 32.79°N, 116.96°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
32.79°N, 116.96°W
Time zone
America/Los Angeles
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

25 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +5.9°F.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in August, at around 82.1°F by mid-afternoon, with nights around 66.4°F. Roughly 30 days a year now top 86°F. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 65.3°F and overnight lows sit around 48.3°F. Frost is essentially unknown.

The yearly total for El Cajon comes to about 12.9 inches; monthly amounts range from 0.1 inches in July up to 2.4 inches in February.

The record here starts in 1940, and since then the annual mean in El Cajon has climbed 2.7°F from the first ten years to the last ten. You can follow the shift year by year in the charts below.

Climate graph (climograph)

August is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 18°F. Wettest month: February (~2.4 in). Whole year averages ~12.9 inches of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 32 rainy days a year: most in March (~6), fewest in June (almost none).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 0.08 in per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

El Cajon month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January65.3°48.3°2.3 in510.1 h87.7° (2003)32.0° (1949)
February65.6°49.2°2.4 in510.8 h88.9° (2016)34.3° (1990)
March66.2°50.9°2.3 in611.8 h95.4° (1988)39.1° (1951)
April69.0°53.7°1.1 in412.8 h100.6° (1989)39.4° (1945)
May71.4°56.9°0.4 in213.7 h99.0° (2014)45.8° (1950)
June75.8°60.4°0.1 in014.1 h102.5° (1981)50.5° (1971)
July80.9°65.1°0.1 in014.0 h101.6° (1985)54.3° (1944)
August82.1°66.4°0.1 in013.2 h102.0° (1955)56.8° (1949)
September81.2°65.1°0.3 in112.2 h106.1° (1963)50.5° (1948)
October76.6°60.1°0.6 in211.2 h103.5° (1991)41.7° (1971)
November71.1°53.7°1.2 in310.3 h96.5° (2010)38.7° (1940)
December66.0°49.1°1.9 in59.8 h86.6° (1958)33.3° (1990)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +2.7°F.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.31°F per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.37°F per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 86°F per year: 31.3 early in the record → 27.6 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 1963, coldest in 1949: 106.1°F / 32.0°F.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~12.9 in/year on average. Last decade: +7% vs that average. Long-term trend: +0.10 in per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about El Cajon

Which is the warmest month in El Cajon?
On long-term average, the warmest month in El Cajon is August (mean daily temperature of about 73.0°F) and the coolest is January (about 55.4°F).
How does today's temperature in El Cajon compare to the historical average?
On October 26, 2026, El Cajon is forecast to reach a high of 81.5°F and a low of 59.9°F. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 75.0°F and a low of 58.2°F, so today's high is 6.5°F warmer than that average.
How much has El Cajon warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in El Cajon is about 2.7°F warmer.
How much does it rain in El Cajon?
El Cajon receives about 12.9 inches of precipitation per year on long-term average, with February typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in El Cajon?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in El Cajon is about 63.4°F. The warmest month is August and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in El Cajon by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in El Cajon (°F, full record since 1940): January 65°/48°, February 66°/49°, March 66°/51°, April 69°/54°, May 71°/57°, June 76°/60°, July 81°/65°, August 82°/66°, September 81°/65°, October 77°/60°, November 71°/54°, December 66°/49°.
What is the weather like in El Cajon in summer?
In summer, June through August, El Cajon is dry and warm. It warms from 76°F by day and 60°F at night in June to 82°F and 66°F in August. Almost no rain.
What is the weather like in El Cajon in winter?
In winter, December through February, El Cajon is mild. Daytime highs sit at 65–66°F and nights at 48–49°F; January is the coldest month. Rain is steady at around 2.2 inches a month, spread over roughly 5 days. It is the wettest season of the year.
What is the weather like in El Cajon in spring?
Spring in El Cajon (March to May) is mild. Afternoons run 66–71°F and nights 51–57°F; May is the warmest month. Rain falls off from 2.3 inches on 6 days in March to 0.4 inches on 2 days in May.
What is the weather like in El Cajon in autumn?
In autumn, September through November, El Cajon is dry and pleasantly warm. It cools from 81°F by day and 65°F at night in September to 71°F and 54°F in November. Rain rises from 0.3 inches on 1 day in September to 1.2 inches on 3 days in November.
How many days a year does it rain in El Cajon?
On long-term average, El Cajon has about 32 days a year with at least 0.08 inches of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 12.9 inches.

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