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Temecula weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Temecula has well-marked seasons, with 22.8°F between its warmest and coolest monthly means. Rainfall is on the low side overall. Temecula weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−14.0°Fhigh well below average

65° / 59°Today
79° / 59°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+3.7°Faverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–490frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 2 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 2 in the 1940s85days above 86°F a year now (2016–2025) · 72 in the 1940sdays above 86°F · 72 in the 1940s+3.7°F vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 2.7 incheshigh 64°low 44°February, rain 3.0 incheshigh 65°low 46°March, rain 2.5 incheshigh 66°low 48°April, rain 1.2 incheshigh 70°low 52°May, rain 0.5 incheshigh 74°low 56°June, rain 0.1 incheshigh 80°low 60°July, rain 0.1 incheshigh 86°low 66°August, rain 0.2 incheshigh 87°low 67°September, rain 0.3 incheshigh 85°low 65°October, rain 0.7 incheshigh 78°low 58°November, rain 1.4 incheshigh 71°low 50°December, rain 2.1 incheshigh 65°low 45°wettest month February, 3.0 inches · 14.8 inches a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

61.9°

58°feels like
89%humidity
59°dew point
16 mphfrom SW
UV index2.0
sunrise06:50sunset18:20day length11h 30m
TodayOvercast65°59°
MonOvercast61°57°
TueClear71°54°
WedClear81°58°
ThuClear87°64°
FriClear90°67°
SatClear88°71°

On this date: October 11

Today (forecast)
65° / 59°
Average for October 11
79° / 59°

High well below average · −14.0°F

  • Record high: 95.8° · 2015
  • Record low: 47.5° · 1949
  • One year ago: 79° / 65°

Every October 11 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 11 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Temecula is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 33.49°N, 117.15°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
33.49°N, 117.15°W
Time zone
America/Los Angeles
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

25 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +5.5°F.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in August, at around 87.0°F by mid-afternoon, with nights around 67.1°F. Roughly 85 days a year now top 86°F. In January, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 64.1°F and nights dip to 44.4°F. Frost is essentially unknown.

In total, Temecula averages about 14.8 inches of precipitation a year; February is usually the wettest month (3.0 inches) and July the driest (0.1 inches).

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Temecula now averages 3.7°F warmer than it did in the 1940s. The year-by-year charts below trace that shift in detail.

Climate graph (climograph)

August is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 23°F. Wettest month: February (~3.0 in). Whole year averages ~14.8 inches of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 33 rainy days a year: most in March (~6), fewest in July (almost none).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 0.08 in per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Temecula month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightRecord highRecord low
January64.1°44.4°2.7 in510.0 h87.1° (2021)20.7° (1949)
February64.9°45.9°3.0 in610.8 h86.2° (2016)30.6° (1990)
March66.3°48.5°2.5 in611.8 h91.3° (1988)34.0° (1971)
April70.1°51.7°1.2 in312.8 h96.1° (1989)38.0° (1999)
May73.8°55.7°0.5 in213.7 h101.1° (1984)43.0° (1950)
June80.0°60.3°0.1 in014.2 h105.8° (2016)47.7° (1967)
July86.3°66.0°0.1 in014.0 h109.3° (2018)53.8° (1944)
August87.0°67.1°0.2 in013.2 h103.8° (1944)55.1° (1947)
September84.7°64.6°0.3 in112.2 h109.7° (2020)48.5° (1948)
October78.2°58.0°0.7 in211.1 h101.8° (1991)35.5° (1971)
November70.8°50.4°1.4 in310.2 h92.9° (1966)34.3° (1940)
December64.9°45.2°2.1 in59.8 h86.0° (1958)29.2° (1968)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +3.7°F.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.40°F per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.51°F per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 86°F per year: 71.8 early in the record → 84.8 recently. Frost days: 2 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 2020, all-time low in 1949: 109.7°F / 20.7°F.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~14.8 in/year on average. Last decade: +5% vs that average. Long-term trend: +0.07 in per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Temecula

Which is the warmest month in Temecula?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Temecula is August (mean daily temperature of about 75.5°F) and the coolest is January (about 52.7°F).
How does today's temperature in Temecula compare to the historical average?
On October 11, 2026, Temecula is forecast to reach a high of 64.8°F and a low of 59.4°F. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 78.8°F and a low of 58.9°F, so today's high is 14.0°F cooler than that average.
How much has Temecula warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Temecula is about 3.7°F warmer.
How much does it rain in Temecula?
Temecula receives about 14.8 inches of precipitation per year on long-term average, with February typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Temecula?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Temecula is about 63.2°F. The warmest month is August and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Temecula by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Temecula (°F, full record since 1940): January 64°/44°, February 65°/46°, March 66°/48°, April 70°/52°, May 74°/56°, June 80°/60°, July 86°/66°, August 87°/67°, September 85°/65°, October 78°/58°, November 71°/50°, December 65°/45°.
What is the weather like in Temecula in summer?
June to August is summer in Temecula, and it is dry and warm. It warms from 80°F by day and 60°F at night in June to 87°F and 67°F in August. Hardly any rain falls.
What is the weather like in Temecula in winter?
In winter, December through February, Temecula is mild. Afternoons run 64–65°F and nights 44–46°F; January is the coldest month. Rain is steady at around 2.6 inches a month, spread over roughly 5 days. No season is wetter.
What is the weather like in Temecula in spring?
March to May is spring in Temecula, and it is mild. March is still 66°F in the afternoon and 48°F at night, May already 74°F and 56°F. Rain falls off from 2.5 inches on 6 days in March to 0.5 inches on 2 days in May.
What is the weather like in Temecula in autumn?
September to November is autumn in Temecula, and it is pleasantly warm. September still brings 85°F afternoons and 65°F nights, November only 71°F and 50°F. Rain rises from 0.3 inches on 1 day in September to 1.4 inches on 3 days in November.
How many days a year does it rain in Temecula?
On long-term average, Temecula has about 33 days a year with at least 0.08 inches of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 14.8 inches.

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