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Vila Maria weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Temperature-wise, the seasons in Vila Maria are gentle: monthly means drift only 6.2°C over the whole year. The heavier rain months run from October to March. Vila Maria weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−0.9°Chigh near average

25° / 20°Today
25° / 17°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.4°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4957days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 6 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 6 in the 1940s+1.4°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 226 mmhigh 27°low 19°February, rain 197 mmhigh 27°low 19°March, rain 171 mmhigh 27°low 19°April, rain 83 mmhigh 25°low 17°May, rain 72 mmhigh 23°low 15°June, rain 54 mmhigh 22°low 13°July, rain 53 mmhigh 22°low 13°August, rain 48 mmhigh 24°low 14°September, rain 93 mmhigh 25°low 15°October, rain 141 mmhigh 25°low 16°November, rain 156 mmhigh 25°low 17°December, rain 215 mmhigh 26°low 18°wettest month January, 226 mm · 1,510 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Showers

Right now

21.5°

23°feels like
84%humidity
19°dew point
15 km/hfrom NW
UV index9.9
sunrise05:32sunset18:11day length12h 39m
TodayShowers25°20°
SatOvercast24°18°
SunPartly cloudy24°16°
MonMostly clear25°15°
TuePartly cloudy24°15°
WedShowers22°16°
ThuLight rain22°19°

On this date: October 16

Today (forecast)
25° / 20°
Average for October 16
25° / 17°

High near average · −0.9°C

  • Record high: 34.5° · 2002
  • Record low: 10.8° · 1973
  • One year ago: 30° / 16°

Every October 16 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 16 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Vila Maria is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 23.51°S, 46.59°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
23.51°S, 46.59°W
Time zone
America/Sao Paulo
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

21 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.0°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The warmest month is February, with typical afternoon highs of 27.4°C and nights around 19.5°C. On about 70 nights a year, the temperature never drops below 20°C. The coolest month is July, when afternoons reach about 22.0°C and overnight lows sit around 12.6°C.

Vila Maria picks up roughly 1,510 mm a year, with a peak of 226 mm in January and as little as 48 mm in August. Precipitation falls on roughly 144 days in a typical year.

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Vila Maria has risen by 1.4°C between its first decade and its last. Days above 30°C have grown noticeably more frequent, from around 6 a year in the first decade to about 55 in the last.

Climate graph (climograph)

February is the warmest month, July the coolest: a yearly swing of 6°C. Wettest month: January (~226 mm). Whole year averages ~1,510 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 144 rainy days a year: most in January (~21), fewest in July (~5).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Vila Maria month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightRecord highRecord low
January27.1°19.4°226 mm2113.3 h34.6° (2006)12.3° (1943)
February27.4°19.5°197 mm1912.8 h34.8° (2014)13.1° (1991)
March26.6°18.8°171 mm1712.2 h33.5° (2012)12.2° (1961)
April25.0°17.0°83 mm911.4 h32.4° (1996)6.4° (1971)
May22.9°14.7°72 mm710.9 h31.6° (2024)4.6° (1979)
June22.0°13.3°54 mm510.6 h29.2° (2010)2.7° (1979)
July22.0°12.6°53 mm510.7 h29.9° (1983)2.4° (2021)
August23.6°13.5°48 mm511.2 h33.7° (2005)3.4° (1984)
September24.6°15.0°93 mm811.9 h37.2° (1961)5.7° (2006)
October24.9°16.5°141 mm1412.6 h36.7° (2020)7.9° (1974)
November25.3°17.2°156 mm1513.2 h36.8° (2023)9.5° (1970)
December26.2°18.5°215 mm2013.4 h34.5° (2023)11.5° (1945)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.4°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.21°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.26°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 5.9 early in the record → 57.3 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 1961, all-time low in 2021: 37.2°C / 2.4°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~1,510 mm/year on average. Last decade: −13% vs that average. Long-term trend: −37 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Vila Maria

Which is the warmest month in Vila Maria?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Vila Maria is February (mean daily temperature of about 22.8°C) and the coolest is July (about 16.7°C).
How does today's temperature in Vila Maria compare to the historical average?
On October 16, 2026, Vila Maria is forecast to reach a high of 24.6°C and a low of 19.7°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 25.5°C and a low of 16.6°C, so today's high is 0.9°C cooler than that average.
How much has Vila Maria warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Vila Maria is about 1.4°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Vila Maria?
Vila Maria receives about 1,510 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with January typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Vila Maria?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Vila Maria is about 19.9°C. The warmest month is February and the coolest is July.
What are the average temperatures in Vila Maria by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Vila Maria (°C, full record since 1940): January 27°/19°, February 27°/19°, March 27°/19°, April 25°/17°, May 23°/15°, June 22°/13°, July 22°/13°, August 24°/14°, September 25°/15°, October 25°/16°, November 25°/17°, December 26°/18°.
What is the weather like in Vila Maria in summer?
Summer in Vila Maria (December to February) is wet and warm. Expect 26–27°C by day and 18–19°C at night, with February the warmest month. Rain is steady at around 213 mm a month, spread over roughly 20 days. It is the wettest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Vila Maria in winter?
June to August is winter in Vila Maria, and it is pleasantly warm. Daytime highs sit at 22–24°C and nights at 13–14°C; July is the coldest month. Rain falls on about 5 days a month, adding up to around 52 mm. It is the driest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Vila Maria in spring?
September to November is spring in Vila Maria, and it is wet and pleasantly warm. Afternoons run 25°C and nights 15–17°C; November is the warmest month. Rain picks up through the season: 8 rainy days and 93 mm in September, 15 days and 156 mm in November.
What is the weather like in Vila Maria in autumn?
In autumn, March through May, Vila Maria is wet and pleasantly warm. It cools from 27°C by day and 19°C at night in March to 23°C and 15°C in May. Rain eases through the season: 17 rainy days and 171 mm in March, 7 days and 72 mm in May.
How many days a year does it rain in Vila Maria?
On long-term average, Vila Maria has about 144 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 1,510 mm.

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