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Tumxuk weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Seasons run to extremes in Tumxuk: monthly means span 34.0°C between the coldest month and the warmest. Rain is a rare event here. Tumxuk weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−6.0°Chigh well below average

12° / 4°Today
17° / 4°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

−0.6°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49107frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 117 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 117 in the 1940s106days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 118 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 118 in the 1940s−0.6°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 2 mmhigh 0°low −10°February, rain 3 mmhigh 6°low −5°March, rain 4 mmhigh 15°low 3°April, rain 4 mmhigh 24°low 11°May, rain 8 mmhigh 29°low 16°June, rain 8 mmhigh 33°low 20°July, rain 10 mmhigh 34°low 22°August, rain 10 mmhigh 33°low 21°September, rain 6 mmhigh 28°low 16°October, rain 3 mmhigh 21°low 8°November, rain 2 mmhigh 10°low −1°December, rain 2 mmhigh 1°low −8°wettest month August, 10 mm · 61 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Mostly clear

Right now

4.0°

1°feels like
65%humidity
−2°dew point
2 km/hfrom NE
UV index0.0
sunrise09:05sunset19:49day length10h 44m
TodayMostly clear12°4°
TueClear13°3°
WedClear14°4°
ThuClear15°4°
FriMostly clear16°5°
SatClear16°5°
SunMostly clear15°7°

On this date: October 26

Today (forecast)
12° / 4°
Average for October 26
17° / 4°

High well below average · −6.0°C

  • Highest since 1940: 28.2° · 1963
  • Lowest since 1940: −1.4° · 1981
  • One year ago: 20° / 7°

Every October 26 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 26 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Tumxuk is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 39.87°N, 79.06°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
39.87°N, 79.06°E
Time zone
Asia/Urumqi
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

22 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.2°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in July, at around 34.3°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 21.9°C. Roughly 105 days a year now top 30°C. In January, the coolest month, afternoons reach about −0.3°C and nights dip to −10.1°C. Around 105 days a year dip below freezing.

The annual total in Tumxuk is just 61 mm or so, with August the most likely month to see any of it.

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Tumxuk has fallen by 0.6°C between its first decade and its last. The last decade has also run drier, about 12% below the long-term precipitation average.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 34°C. Wettest month: August (~10 mm). Whole year averages ~61 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Tumxuk month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightHighestLowest
January−0.3°−10.1°2 mm9.5 h15.8° (2000)−22.9° (1975)
February5.7°−5.2°3 mm10.5 h19.6° (1973)−19.2° (2008)
March15.4°3.0°4 mm11.7 h30.1° (2025)−10.7° (1951)
April23.8°10.5°4 mm13.1 h36.4° (2011)0.1° (2011)
May28.7°15.9°8 mm14.2 h41.2° (1956)5.2° (2023)
June32.5°19.9°8 mm14.8 h41.7° (1940)10.3° (1987)
July34.3°21.9°10 mm14.6 h44.2° (1958)14.1° (1986)
August33.1°20.8°10 mm13.6 h42.6° (1983)13.1° (1968)
September28.3°15.5°6 mm12.2 h37.7° (1996)5.6° (2015)
October20.6°7.5°3 mm10.9 h32.1° (2013)−1.7° (1956)
November10.1°−1.1°2 mm9.8 h22.7° (2023)−13.1° (1954)
December1.2°−8.1°2 mm9.2 h17.3° (2023)−20.3° (1974)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by −0.6°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: −0.04°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.06°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 117.5 early in the record → 106.3 recently. Frost days: 117 → 107.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 1958, coldest in 1975: 44.2°C / −22.9°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~61 mm/year on average. Last decade: −12% vs that average. Long-term trend: +5 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Tumxuk

Which is the warmest month in Tumxuk?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Tumxuk is July (mean daily temperature of about 28.7°C) and the coolest is January (about −5.3°C).
How does today's temperature in Tumxuk compare to the historical average?
On October 26, 2026, Tumxuk is forecast to reach a high of 11.5°C and a low of 4.1°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 17.5°C and a low of 4.5°C, so today's high is 6.0°C cooler than that average.
How much has Tumxuk warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Tumxuk is about 0.6°C cooler.
How much does it rain in Tumxuk?
Tumxuk receives about 61 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with August typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Tumxuk?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Tumxuk is about 13.8°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Tumxuk by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Tumxuk (°C, full record since 1940): January 0°/−10°, February 6°/−5°, March 15°/3°, April 24°/11°, May 29°/16°, June 33°/20°, July 34°/22°, August 33°/21°, September 28°/16°, October 21°/8°, November 10°/−1°, December 1°/−8°.
What is the weather like in Tumxuk in summer?
Summer in Tumxuk (June to August) is dry and hot. Daytime highs sit at 33–34°C and nights at 20–22°C; July is the warmest month. Hardly any rain falls.
What is the weather like in Tumxuk in winter?
December to February is winter in Tumxuk, and it is dry and cold. It warms from 1°C by day and −8°C at night in December to 6°C and −5°C in February. Almost no rain or snow.
What is the weather like in Tumxuk in spring?
In spring, March through May, Tumxuk is dry and pleasantly warm. It warms from 15°C by day and 3°C at night in March to 29°C and 16°C in May. Hardly any rain falls.
What is the weather like in Tumxuk in autumn?
Autumn in Tumxuk (September to November) is dry and mild. It cools from 28°C by day and 16°C at night in September to 10°C and −1°C in November. Almost no rain.

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