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Shache weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Shache swings through a wide annual range, with 32.1°C between the monthly means of its warmest and coldest months. Rain is a rare event here. Shache weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−5.9°Chigh well below average

12° / 3°Today
18° / 4°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

−1.0°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49107frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 121 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 121 in the 1940s89days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 123 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 123 in the 1940s−1.0°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 2 mmhigh 1°low −10°February, rain 4 mmhigh 6°low −5°March, rain 5 mmhigh 16°low 2°April, rain 5 mmhigh 24°low 9°May, rain 12 mmhigh 28°low 14°June, rain 9 mmhigh 32°low 18°July, rain 10 mmhigh 33°low 21°August, rain 14 mmhigh 32°low 19°September, rain 10 mmhigh 27°low 14°October, rain 4 mmhigh 20°low 7°November, rain 3 mmhigh 11°low −1°December, rain 2 mmhigh 2°low −7°wettest month August, 14 mm · 80 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

11.0°

8°feels like
31%humidity
−6°dew point
4 km/hfrom NE
UV index2.7
sunrise09:11sunset19:59day length10h 48m
TodayOvercast12°3°
TueClear13°1°
WedClear15°1°
ThuClear15°2°
FriClear16°4°
SatClear17°4°
SunClear16°5°

On this date: October 26

Today (forecast)
12° / 3°
Average for October 26
18° / 4°

High well below average · −5.9°C

  • Highest since 1940: 26.4° · 1963
  • Lowest since 1940: −1.0° · 1957
  • One year ago: 20° / 4°

Every October 26 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 26 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Shache is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 38.42°N, 77.24°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
38.42°N, 77.24°E
Time zone
Asia/Urumqi
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

22 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.6°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in July, at around 33.2°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 20.5°C. On about 45 nights a year, the temperature never drops below 20°C. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 1.0°C and overnight lows sit around −9.7°C. Around 105 days a year dip below freezing.

Shache averages only about 80 mm a year, and what little falls comes mostly around August.

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Shache has fallen by 1.0°C between its first decade and its last. The count of days past 30°C has eased from roughly 125 a year to about 90 over the record.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 32°C. Wettest month: August (~14 mm). Whole year averages ~80 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Shache month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightHighestLowest
January1.0°−9.7°2 mm9.6 h16.1° (2021)−20.6° (2023)
February6.4°−5.4°4 mm10.6 h20.0° (1973)−20.9° (2008)
March15.6°2.2°5 mm11.7 h29.5° (2025)−10.1° (1976)
April23.6°9.5°5 mm13.0 h35.3° (1956)−0.9° (1943)
May28.0°14.4°12 mm14.1 h41.1° (1956)4.4° (1959)
June31.6°18.4°9 mm14.7 h42.0° (1966)9.0° (1970)
July33.2°20.5°10 mm14.4 h43.9° (1953)13.1° (2006)
August31.8°19.4°14 mm13.5 h42.5° (1944)11.5° (2015)
September27.5°14.4°10 mm12.2 h37.0° (1952)6.2° (1962)
October20.5°6.8°4 mm11.0 h30.4° (2013)−2.0° (1982)
November11.0°−1.1°3 mm9.9 h24.0° (2009)−12.6° (1962)
December2.4°−7.2°2 mm9.3 h18.5° (2008)−22.3° (1974)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by −1.0°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: −0.07°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.09°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 123.0 early in the record → 89.0 recently. Frost days: 121 → 107.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 1953, coldest in 1974: 43.9°C / −22.3°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~80 mm/year on average. Last decade: +9% vs that average. Long-term trend: +7 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Shache

Which is the warmest month in Shache?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Shache is July (mean daily temperature of about 27.2°C) and the coolest is January (about −4.9°C).
How does today's temperature in Shache compare to the historical average?
On October 26, 2026, Shache is forecast to reach a high of 11.8°C and a low of 3.4°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 17.7°C and a low of 4.0°C, so today's high is 5.9°C cooler than that average.
How much has Shache warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Shache is about 1.0°C cooler.
How much does it rain in Shache?
Shache receives about 80 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with August typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Shache?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Shache is about 13.1°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Shache by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Shache (°C, full record since 1940): January 1°/−10°, February 6°/−5°, March 16°/2°, April 24°/9°, May 28°/14°, June 32°/18°, July 33°/21°, August 32°/19°, September 27°/14°, October 20°/7°, November 11°/−1°, December 2°/−7°.
What is the weather like in Shache in summer?
In summer, June through August, Shache is dry and hot. Expect 32–33°C by day and 18–21°C at night, with July the warmest month. About 11 mm of rain a month.
What is the weather like in Shache in winter?
Winter in Shache (December to February) is dry and cold. It warms from 2°C by day and −7°C at night in December to 6°C and −5°C in February. Hardly any rain or snow falls.
What is the weather like in Shache in spring?
Spring in Shache (March to May) is dry and pleasantly warm. March starts at 16°C by day and 2°C at night; by May it is 28°C and 14°C. Almost no rain.
What is the weather like in Shache in autumn?
September to November is autumn in Shache, and it is dry and mild. September still brings 27°C afternoons and 14°C nights, November only 11°C and −1°C. Hardly any rain falls.

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