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Sobral weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Sobral is warm in every month of the year; the seasonal dip amounts to just 2.6°C. Most of the year's rain is packed into the months from January to May. Sobral weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+2.2°Chigh above average

38° / 23°Today
36° / 24°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+0.6°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49341days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 294 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 294 in the 1940s+0.6°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 107 mmhigh 33°low 24°February, rain 149 mmhigh 31°low 24°March, rain 216 mmhigh 31°low 23°April, rain 193 mmhigh 31°low 23°May, rain 102 mmhigh 31°low 23°June, rain 30 mmhigh 32°low 23°July, rain 14 mmhigh 33°low 23°August, rain 5 mmhigh 34°low 23°September, rain 5 mmhigh 35°low 24°October, rain 7 mmhigh 36°low 24°November, rain 10 mmhigh 35°low 24°December, rain 38 mmhigh 34°low 24°wettest month March, 216 mm · 875 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Partly cloudy

Right now

24.3°

29°feels like
84%humidity
21°dew point
2 km/hfrom NE
UV index0.3
sunrise05:19sunset17:32day length12h 12m
TodayMostly clear38°23°
ThuMostly clear38°26°
FriMostly clear38°25°
SatMostly clear38°25°
SunMostly clear37°23°
MonPartly cloudy37°23°
TuePartly cloudy38°24°

On this date: October 21

Today (forecast)
38° / 23°
Average for October 21
36° / 24°

High above average · +2.2°C

  • Highest since 1940: 37.7° · 2015
  • Lowest since 1940: 21.4° · 1964
  • One year ago: 36° / 25°

Every October 21 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 21 on record (n = 86). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Sobral is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 3.69°S, 40.35°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
3.69°S, 40.35°W
Time zone
America/Fortaleza
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

14 of the last 30 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +0.1°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in November, at around 35.3°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 24.4°C. At the other extreme, April brings afternoon highs of about 30.6°C and typical overnight lows of 23.3°C.

The yearly total for Sobral comes to about 875 mm; monthly amounts range from 5 mm in September up to 216 mm in March.

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Sobral has risen by 0.6°C between its first decade and its last. You can follow the shift year by year in the charts below.

Climate graph (climograph)

November is the warmest month, April the coolest: a yearly swing of 3°C. Wettest month: March (~216 mm). Whole year averages ~875 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Sobral month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightHighestLowest
January32.7°24.0°107 mm12.2 h38.4° (2013)20.5° (1971)
February31.5°23.6°149 mm12.1 h38.4° (2013)20.6° (1957)
March30.6°23.4°216 mm12.0 h38.4° (1997)19.1° (1940)
April30.6°23.3°193 mm11.9 h37.1° (1998)20.3° (1954)
May31.1°23.2°102 mm11.8 h37.6° (1998)20.2° (1959)
June31.9°22.9°30 mm11.8 h37.0° (1998)18.8° (2008)
July33.0°23.0°14 mm11.8 h36.9° (1998)18.2° (1974)
August34.3°23.3°5 mm11.9 h37.4° (1998)19.3° (1974)
September35.1°23.9°5 mm12.0 h38.2° (1951)20.5° (1991)
October35.6°24.1°7 mm12.1 h38.2° (2016)20.8° (1964)
November35.3°24.4°10 mm12.2 h38.2° (2005)21.0° (1967)
December34.4°24.4°38 mm12.2 h38.6° (1998)20.6° (1967)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +0.6°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.12°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Mar–May is warming fastest: +0.20°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 294.1 early in the record → 341.1 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 1998, coldest in 1974: 38.6°C / 18.2°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~875 mm/year on average. Last decade: −0% vs that average. Long-term trend: −3 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Sobral

Which is the warmest month in Sobral?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Sobral is November (mean daily temperature of about 29.0°C) and the coolest is April (about 26.4°C).
How does today's temperature in Sobral compare to the historical average?
On October 21, 2026, Sobral is forecast to reach a high of 37.7°C and a low of 22.6°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 35.5°C and a low of 24.2°C, so today's high is 2.2°C warmer than that average.
How much has Sobral warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Sobral is about 0.6°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Sobral?
Sobral receives about 875 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with March typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Sobral?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Sobral is about 27.7°C. The warmest month is November and the coolest is April.
What are the average temperatures in Sobral by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Sobral (°C, full record since 1940): January 33°/24°, February 31°/24°, March 31°/23°, April 31°/23°, May 31°/23°, June 32°/23°, July 33°/23°, August 34°/23°, September 35°/24°, October 36°/24°, November 35°/24°, December 34°/24°.

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