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Setúbal weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Temperature-wise, the seasons in Setúbal are gentle: monthly means drift only 9.1°C over the whole year. The warm months are largely dry. Most of the year's rain arrives between October and April. Setúbal weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+3.1°Chigh well above average

23° / 14°Today
20° / 15°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+0.6°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–493days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 1 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 1 in the 1940s+0.6°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 78 mmhigh 14°low 10°February, rain 67 mmhigh 15°low 10°March, rain 63 mmhigh 16°low 11°April, rain 50 mmhigh 17°low 12°May, rain 35 mmhigh 20°low 14°June, rain 11 mmhigh 22°low 16°July, rain 3 mmhigh 24°low 18°August, rain 4 mmhigh 25°low 18°September, rain 24 mmhigh 23°low 17°October, rain 65 mmhigh 21°low 16°November, rain 82 mmhigh 17°low 13°December, rain 86 mmhigh 15°low 11°wettest month December, 86 mm · 568 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Fog

Right now

13.7°

14°feels like
96%humidity
13°dew point
6 km/hfrom N
UV index0.0
sunrise06:55sunset17:42day length10h 47m
TodayClear23°14°
TuePartly cloudy23°13°
WedOvercast26°15°
ThuClear27°14°
FriPartly cloudy27°14°
SatClear27°15°
SunClear26°15°

On this date: October 26

Today (forecast)
23° / 14°
Average for October 26
20° / 15°

High well above average · +3.1°C

  • Highest since 1940: 25.7° · 2017
  • Lowest since 1940: 10.9° · 1993
  • One year ago: 21° / 16°

Every October 26 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 26 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Setúbal is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 38.52°N, 8.89°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
38.52°N, 8.89°W
Time zone
Europe/Lisbon
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

24 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.0°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

August brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 24.7°C and nights around 18.0°C. In January, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 14.2°C and nights dip to 10.1°C. Frost is essentially unknown.

The yearly total for Setúbal comes to about 568 mm; monthly amounts range from 3 mm in July up to 86 mm in December.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Setúbal now averages 0.6°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. Recent years have brought less rain as well. The last decade sits roughly 12% under the long-term average.

Climate graph (climograph)

August is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 9°C. Wettest month: December (~86 mm). Whole year averages ~568 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 59 rainy days a year: most in January (~8), fewest in July (almost none).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Setúbal month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January14.2°10.1°78 mm89.6 h19.7° (2024)1.1° (1945)
February14.7°10.3°67 mm710.6 h21.6° (1997)1.5° (1956)
March16.1°11.3°63 mm711.7 h24.5° (2002)3.6° (2005)
April17.4°12.5°50 mm613.0 h27.2° (1997)6.9° (1958)
May19.5°14.2°35 mm414.1 h30.6° (2019)9.2° (1972)
June22.3°16.4°11 mm114.7 h32.0° (2003)11.8° (1972)
July24.4°17.6°3 mm014.4 h37.3° (1941)13.5° (1954)
August24.7°18.0°4 mm013.5 h34.3° (2018)14.4° (1958)
September23.3°17.5°24 mm312.2 h32.9° (2016)12.3° (1974)
October20.6°15.8°65 mm611.0 h28.6° (1970)8.4° (1951)
November17.2°13.0°82 mm79.9 h23.7° (1970)6.0° (1943)
December14.9°11.0°86 mm89.3 h20.7° (1985)2.9° (1940)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +0.6°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.10°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.13°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 1.4 early in the record → 2.9 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 1941, coldest in 1945: 37.3°C / 1.1°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~568 mm/year on average. Last decade: −12% vs that average. Long-term trend: −8 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Setúbal

Which is the warmest month in Setúbal?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Setúbal is August (mean daily temperature of about 21.1°C) and the coolest is January (about 12.1°C).
How does today's temperature in Setúbal compare to the historical average?
On October 26, 2026, Setúbal is forecast to reach a high of 22.7°C and a low of 13.6°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 19.6°C and a low of 15.0°C, so today's high is 3.1°C warmer than that average.
How much has Setúbal warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Setúbal is about 0.6°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Setúbal?
Setúbal receives about 568 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with December typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Setúbal?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Setúbal is about 16.5°C. The warmest month is August and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Setúbal by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Setúbal (°C, full record since 1940): January 14°/10°, February 15°/10°, March 16°/11°, April 17°/12°, May 20°/14°, June 22°/16°, July 24°/18°, August 25°/18°, September 23°/17°, October 21°/16°, November 17°/13°, December 15°/11°.
What is the weather like in Setúbal in summer?
Summer in Setúbal (June to August) is dry and pleasantly warm. Daytime highs sit at 22–25°C and nights at 16–18°C; August is the warmest month. Almost no rain.
What is the weather like in Setúbal in winter?
December to February is winter in Setúbal, and it is cool. Afternoons run 14–15°C and nights 10–11°C; January is the coldest month. Rain is steady at around 77 mm a month, spread over roughly 8 days. It is the wettest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Setúbal in spring?
In spring, March through May, Setúbal is fairly mild. It warms from 16°C by day and 11°C at night in March to 20°C and 14°C in May. Rain eases through the season: 7 rainy days and 63 mm in March, 4 days and 35 mm in May.
What is the weather like in Setúbal in autumn?
Autumn in Setúbal (September to November) is mild. It cools from 23°C by day and 17°C at night in September to 17°C and 13°C in November. Rain rises from 24 mm on 3 days in September to 82 mm on 7 days in November.
How many days a year does it rain in Setúbal?
On long-term average, Setúbal has about 59 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 568 mm.

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