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São José weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Temperature-wise, the seasons in São José are gentle: monthly means drift only 8.4°C over the whole year. The heavier rain months run from September to March. São José weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−3.2°Chigh well below average

21° / 15°Today
24° / 17°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+0.7°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4965days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 28 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 28 in the 1940s+0.7°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 221 mmhigh 29°low 22°February, rain 205 mmhigh 29°low 22°March, rain 160 mmhigh 28°low 21°April, rain 108 mmhigh 26°low 18°May, rain 98 mmhigh 23°low 15°June, rain 91 mmhigh 22°low 14°July, rain 88 mmhigh 21°low 13°August, rain 97 mmhigh 22°low 14°September, rain 142 mmhigh 23°low 15°October, rain 162 mmhigh 24°low 17°November, rain 143 mmhigh 26°low 19°December, rain 170 mmhigh 28°low 20°wettest month January, 221 mm · 1,685 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

20.2°

21°feels like
71%humidity
15°dew point
8 km/hfrom N
UV index2.6
sunrise05:32sunset18:25day length12h 54m
TodayOvercast21°15°
ThuOvercast21°18°
FriOvercast24°19°
SatOvercast28°19°
SunOvercast19°16°
MonOvercast17°15°
TueOvercast21°13°

On this date: October 21

Today (forecast)
21° / 15°
Average for October 21
24° / 17°

High well below average · −3.2°C

  • Highest since 1940: 31.0° · 1972
  • Lowest since 1940: 10.1° · 1966
  • One year ago: 22° / 14°

Every October 21 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 21 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for São José is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 27.62°S, 48.63°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
27.62°S, 48.63°W
Time zone
America/Sao Paulo
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

15 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: −0.4°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The warmest month is February, with typical afternoon highs of 29.1°C and nights around 21.7°C. On about 125 nights a year, the temperature never drops below 20°C. The coolest month is July, when afternoons reach about 21.2°C and overnight lows sit around 13.0°C.

In total, São José averages about 1,685 mm of precipitation a year; January is usually the wettest month (221 mm) and July the driest (88 mm). A typical year brings rain or snow on around 153 days.

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in São José has risen by 0.7°C between its first decade and its last. Days above 30°C have grown noticeably more frequent, from around 30 a year in the first decade to about 65 in the last.

Climate graph (climograph)

February is the warmest month, July the coolest: a yearly swing of 8°C. Wettest month: January (~221 mm). Whole year averages ~1,685 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 153 rainy days a year: most in January (~19), fewest in June (~8).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

São José month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January29.1°21.6°221 mm1913.6 h39.5° (2019)13.5° (1945)
February29.1°21.7°205 mm1812.9 h39.2° (2014)14.8° (1949)
March28.1°20.8°160 mm1712.2 h36.3° (2002)10.3° (2012)
April25.9°18.4°108 mm1011.3 h34.4° (2016)8.1° (1999)
May23.4°15.5°98 mm810.6 h33.8° (1997)4.1° (1968)
June21.7°13.6°91 mm810.3 h31.1° (2020)2.2° (2016)
July21.2°13.0°88 mm810.4 h31.6° (2006)1.5° (1975)
August22.2°13.8°97 mm811.0 h34.1° (1995)1.4° (1991)
September22.8°15.4°142 mm1211.8 h36.3° (2006)3.6° (2006)
October24.2°17.2°162 mm1412.7 h37.1° (1991)7.7° (1969)
November26.1°18.5°143 mm1413.4 h37.1° (2017)10.4° (2006)
December28.0°20.3°170 mm1613.7 h38.6° (1994)12.4° (2008)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +0.7°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.11°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.16°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 28.4 early in the record → 65.0 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2019, coldest in 1991: 39.5°C / 1.4°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~1,685 mm/year on average. Last decade: +3% vs that average. Long-term trend: +25 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about São José

Which is the warmest month in São José?
On long-term average, the warmest month in São José is February (mean daily temperature of about 24.9°C) and the coolest is July (about 16.5°C).
How does today's temperature in São José compare to the historical average?
On October 21, 2026, São José is forecast to reach a high of 21.0°C and a low of 14.7°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 24.2°C and a low of 17.1°C, so today's high is 3.2°C cooler than that average.
How much has São José warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in São José is about 0.7°C warmer.
How much does it rain in São José?
São José receives about 1,685 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with January typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in São José?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in São José is about 20.8°C. The warmest month is February and the coolest is July.
What are the average temperatures in São José by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in São José (°C, full record since 1940): January 29°/22°, February 29°/22°, March 28°/21°, April 26°/18°, May 23°/15°, June 22°/14°, July 21°/13°, August 22°/14°, September 23°/15°, October 24°/17°, November 26°/19°, December 28°/20°.
What is the weather like in São José in summer?
In summer, December through February, São José is wet and warm. Daytime highs sit at 28–29°C and nights at 20–22°C; January is the warmest month. Rain is steady at around 199 mm a month, spread over roughly 18 days. It is the wettest season of the year.
What is the weather like in São José in winter?
June to August is winter in São José, and it is mild. Afternoons run 21–22°C and nights 13–14°C; July is the coldest month. Rain falls on about 8 days a month, adding up to around 92 mm. No season is drier.
What is the weather like in São José in spring?
Spring in São José (September to November) is wet and pleasantly warm. Expect 23–26°C by day and 15–19°C at night, with November the warmest month. Rain is steady at around 149 mm a month, spread over roughly 13 days.
What is the weather like in São José in autumn?
Autumn in São José (March to May) is wet and pleasantly warm. It cools from 28°C by day and 21°C at night in March to 23°C and 15°C in May. Rain eases through the season: 17 rainy days and 160 mm in March, 8 days and 98 mm in May.
How many days a year does it rain in São José?
On long-term average, São José has about 153 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 1,685 mm.

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