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São Carlos weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Temperature-wise, the seasons in São Carlos are gentle: monthly means drift only 5.4°C over the whole year. Rainfall leans toward the stretch from October to March. São Carlos weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+1.7°Chigh above average

29° / 13°Today
27° / 17°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+2.0°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4992days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 11 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 11 in the 1940s+2.0°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 242 mmhigh 27°low 19°February, rain 198 mmhigh 27°low 19°March, rain 155 mmhigh 27°low 18°April, rain 74 mmhigh 26°low 16°May, rain 60 mmhigh 24°low 14°June, rain 39 mmhigh 23°low 13°July, rain 31 mmhigh 23°low 12°August, rain 29 mmhigh 26°low 13°September, rain 66 mmhigh 27°low 15°October, rain 137 mmhigh 27°low 17°November, rain 165 mmhigh 27°low 17°December, rain 240 mmhigh 27°low 18°wettest month January, 242 mm · 1,434 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

22.2°

22°feels like
59%humidity
14°dew point
9 km/hfrom SE
UV index0.0
sunrise05:34sunset18:17day length12h 43m
TodayOvercast29°13°
ThuOvercast26°16°
FriThunderstorm22°19°
SatOvercast28°19°
SunOvercast22°16°
MonPartly cloudy22°14°
TueOvercast24°13°

On this date: October 21

Today (forecast)
29° / 13°
Average for October 21
27° / 17°

High above average · +1.7°C

  • Highest since 1940: 36.6° · 1963
  • Lowest since 1940: 9.9° · 2025
  • One year ago: 24° / 10°

Every October 21 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 21 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for São Carlos is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 22.02°S, 47.89°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
22.02°S, 47.89°W
Time zone
America/Sao Paulo
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

13 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +0.2°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in February, at around 27.2°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 18.9°C. Around 50 nights a year stay above 20°C. The coolest month is July, when afternoons reach about 23.4°C and overnight lows sit around 12.0°C. Frost is essentially unknown.

The yearly total for São Carlos comes to about 1,434 mm; monthly amounts range from 29 mm in August up to 242 mm in January.

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in São Carlos has risen by 2.0°C between its first decade and its last. Days above 30°C have grown noticeably more frequent, from around 11 a year in the first decade to about 90 in the last.

Climate graph (climograph)

February is the warmest month, July the coolest: a yearly swing of 5°C. Wettest month: January (~242 mm). Whole year averages ~1,434 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

São Carlos month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightHighestLowest
January27.0°18.8°242 mm13.2 h36.5° (2015)12.4° (1970)
February27.2°18.9°198 mm12.7 h36.0° (2014)13.3° (1964)
March26.9°18.3°155 mm12.2 h33.7° (2018)10.5° (1965)
April25.8°16.4°74 mm11.5 h32.9° (2014)5.8° (1971)
May23.7°13.8°60 mm10.9 h31.4° (1969)2.4° (2022)
June23.0°12.5°39 mm10.7 h29.8° (2010)−0.1° (1994)
July23.4°12.0°31 mm10.8 h30.4° (2018)−1.0° (1981)
August25.8°13.3°29 mm11.2 h33.7° (2010)2.3° (1978)
September27.4°15.3°66 mm11.9 h37.2° (2024)4.3° (2002)
October27.3°16.9°137 mm12.5 h38.3° (2020)8.3° (1993)
November27.0°17.4°165 mm13.1 h37.5° (2023)9.2° (1970)
December26.7°18.4°240 mm13.3 h34.9° (2023)11.5° (1941)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +2.0°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.26°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.29°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 11.4 early in the record → 91.6 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2020, coldest in 1981: 38.3°C / −1.0°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~1,434 mm/year on average. Last decade: −25% vs that average. Long-term trend: −51 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about São Carlos

Which is the warmest month in São Carlos?
On long-term average, the warmest month in São Carlos is February (mean daily temperature of about 22.6°C) and the coolest is July (about 17.2°C).
How does today's temperature in São Carlos compare to the historical average?
On October 21, 2026, São Carlos is forecast to reach a high of 28.7°C and a low of 13.4°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 27.0°C and a low of 16.6°C, so today's high is 1.7°C warmer than that average.
How much has São Carlos warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in São Carlos is about 2.0°C warmer.
How much does it rain in São Carlos?
São Carlos receives about 1,434 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with January typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in São Carlos?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in São Carlos is about 20.5°C. The warmest month is February and the coolest is July.
What are the average temperatures in São Carlos by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in São Carlos (°C, full record since 1940): January 27°/19°, February 27°/19°, March 27°/18°, April 26°/16°, May 24°/14°, June 23°/13°, July 23°/12°, August 26°/13°, September 27°/15°, October 27°/17°, November 27°/17°, December 27°/18°.
What is the weather like in São Carlos in summer?
December to February is summer in São Carlos, and it is wet and warm. Daytime highs sit at 27°C and nights at 18–19°C; February is the warmest month. Rain is steady at around 227 mm a month. No season is wetter.
What is the weather like in São Carlos in winter?
June to August is winter in São Carlos, and it is pleasantly warm. Afternoons run 23–26°C and nights 12–13°C; July is the coldest month. About 33 mm of rain a month. No season is drier.
What is the weather like in São Carlos in spring?
In spring, September through November, São Carlos is wet and warm. Expect 27°C by day and 15–17°C at night, with September the warmest month. Rain picks up through the season, 66 mm in September to 165 mm in November.
What is the weather like in São Carlos in autumn?
Autumn in São Carlos (March to May) is pleasantly warm. Daytime highs sit at 24–27°C and nights at 14–18°C; May is the coldest month. Rain eases through the season, 155 mm in March to 60 mm in May.

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