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Musanze weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Temperature-wise, the seasons in Musanze are gentle: monthly means drift only 1.1°C over the whole year. Rainfall leans toward the stretch from October to April. Musanze weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+1.6°Chigh above average

24° / 15°Today
23° / 14°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.4°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4955days above 25°C a year now (2016–2025) · 21 in the 1940sdays above 25°C · 21 in the 1940s+1.4°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 203 mmhigh 22°low 14°February, rain 219 mmhigh 23°low 14°March, rain 288 mmhigh 23°low 14°April, rain 255 mmhigh 22°low 15°May, rain 148 mmhigh 22°low 14°June, rain 41 mmhigh 22°low 14°July, rain 24 mmhigh 23°low 14°August, rain 64 mmhigh 23°low 14°September, rain 133 mmhigh 23°low 14°October, rain 204 mmhigh 22°low 14°November, rain 249 mmhigh 22°low 14°December, rain 230 mmhigh 22°low 14°wettest month March, 288 mm · 2,056 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Partly cloudy

Right now

21.8°

21°feels like
59%humidity
14°dew point
13 km/hfrom SE
UV index6.3
sunrise05:43sunset17:52day length12h 08m
TodayOvercast24°15°
TueOvercast25°15°
WedOvercast25°16°
ThuOvercast25°16°
FriShowers21°16°
SatThunderstorm23°16°
SunOvercast23°15°

On this date: October 12

Today (forecast)
24° / 15°
Average for October 12
23° / 14°

High above average · +1.6°C

  • Record high: 26.0° · 2016
  • Record low: 12.5° · 1961
  • One year ago: 23° / 15°

Every October 12 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 12 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Musanze is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 1.50°S, 29.63°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
1.50°S, 29.63°E
Time zone
Africa/Kigali
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

31 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.7°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

August brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 23.3°C and nights around 14.3°C. The coolest month is November, when afternoons reach about 21.9°C and overnight lows sit around 14.0°C. Frost is essentially unknown.

In total, Musanze averages about 2,056 mm of precipitation a year; March is usually the wettest month (288 mm) and July the driest (24 mm).

The record here starts in 1940, and since then the annual mean in Musanze has climbed 1.4°C from the first ten years to the last ten. Days above 25°C have grown noticeably more frequent, from around 20 a year in the first decade to about 55 in the last.

Climate graph (climograph)

August is the warmest month, November the coolest: a yearly swing of 1°C. Wettest month: March (~288 mm). Whole year averages ~2,056 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Musanze month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightRecord highRecord low
January22.5°13.9°203 mm12.1 h27.1° (2010)10.3° (1961)
February22.9°14.2°219 mm12.0 h28.5° (2012)10.9° (1967)
March22.7°14.4°288 mm12.0 h27.3° (2025)10.8° (1971)
April22.2°14.5°255 mm12.0 h26.1° (2023)10.9° (1945)
May21.8°14.5°148 mm11.9 h26.1° (2024)10.9° (1961)
June22.1°14.1°41 mm11.9 h26.4° (2018)9.9° (1968)
July22.8°13.9°24 mm11.9 h27.0° (2023)9.8° (1972)
August23.3°14.3°64 mm12.0 h28.1° (2020)10.9° (1976)
September23.0°14.1°133 mm12.0 h29.2° (1944)10.7° (1961)
October22.5°14.1°204 mm12.0 h27.4° (1942)10.2° (1967)
November21.9°14.0°249 mm12.1 h26.3° (2021)11.2° (1964)
December22.0°13.9°230 mm12.1 h26.4° (1987)10.4° (1964)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.4°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.18°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.22°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 25°C per year: 21.2 early in the record → 55.3 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 1944, all-time low in 1972: 29.2°C / 9.8°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~2,056 mm/year on average. Last decade: −7% vs that average. Long-term trend: −39 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Musanze

Which is the warmest month in Musanze?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Musanze is August (mean daily temperature of about 18.6°C) and the coolest is November (about 17.5°C).
How does today's temperature in Musanze compare to the historical average?
On October 12, 2026, Musanze is forecast to reach a high of 24.1°C and a low of 15.2°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 22.5°C and a low of 14.0°C, so today's high is 1.6°C warmer than that average.
How much has Musanze warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Musanze is about 1.4°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Musanze?
Musanze receives about 2,056 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with March typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Musanze?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Musanze is about 18.0°C. The warmest month is August and the coolest is November.
What are the average temperatures in Musanze by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Musanze (°C, full record since 1940): January 22°/14°, February 23°/14°, March 23°/14°, April 22°/15°, May 22°/14°, June 22°/14°, July 23°/14°, August 23°/14°, September 23°/14°, October 22°/14°, November 22°/14°, December 22°/14°.

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