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Playa del Carmen weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Playa del Carmen is warm in every month of the year; the seasonal dip amounts to just 4.0°C. The heavier rain months run from June to October. Playa del Carmen weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+0.9°Chigh near average

29° / 21°Today
28° / 24°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+0.8°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4967days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 11 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 11 in the 1940s+0.8°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 69 mmhigh 26°low 22°February, rain 49 mmhigh 26°low 22°March, rain 41 mmhigh 27°low 23°April, rain 38 mmhigh 28°low 24°May, rain 89 mmhigh 29°low 25°June, rain 167 mmhigh 29°low 26°July, rain 107 mmhigh 29°low 26°August, rain 116 mmhigh 30°low 26°September, rain 181 mmhigh 29°low 26°October, rain 171 mmhigh 28°low 25°November, rain 92 mmhigh 27°low 24°December, rain 80 mmhigh 26°low 23°wettest month September, 181 mm · 1,199 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Partly cloudy

Right now

21.3°

25°feels like
97%humidity
21°dew point
6 km/hfrom NW
UV index0.0
sunrise06:47sunset18:16day length11h 29m
TodayPartly cloudy29°21°
TueShowers29°21°
WedPartly cloudy31°21°
ThuPartly cloudy32°21°
FriPartly cloudy31°23°
SatPartly cloudy31°24°
SunPartly cloudy30°24°

On this date: October 26

Today (forecast)
29° / 21°
Average for October 26
28° / 24°

High near average · +0.9°C

  • Highest since 1940: 30.2° · 2021
  • Lowest since 1940: 20.2° · 2005
  • One year ago: 30° / 27°

Every October 26 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 26 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Playa del Carmen is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 20.63°N, 87.08°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
20.63°N, 87.08°W
Time zone
America/Cancun
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

24 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +0.6°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in August, at around 29.5°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 26.0°C. At the other extreme, January brings afternoon highs of about 25.5°C and typical overnight lows of 22.1°C.

Playa del Carmen picks up roughly 1,199 mm a year, with a peak of 181 mm in September and as little as 38 mm in April.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Playa del Carmen now averages 0.8°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. The count of days past 30°C has risen from roughly 11 a year to 65 between the record's first and last decades.

Climate graph (climograph)

August is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 4°C. Wettest month: September (~181 mm). Whole year averages ~1,199 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Playa del Carmen month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightHighestLowest
January25.5°22.1°69 mm10.9 h28.6° (2016)15.0° (1977)
February25.9°22.3°49 mm11.3 h29.5° (2024)15.7° (1978)
March26.8°23.2°41 mm11.9 h30.4° (2024)14.7° (1986)
April27.8°24.2°38 mm12.5 h30.6° (1997)17.2° (1987)
May28.6°25.1°89 mm13.0 h31.2° (2023)20.4° (1992)
June28.9°25.7°167 mm13.2 h32.6° (2023)22.9° (2007)
July29.3°25.9°107 mm13.1 h31.7° (2005)23.3° (1974)
August29.5°26.0°116 mm12.7 h32.0° (2023)23.8° (1964)
September29.0°25.6°181 mm12.1 h31.9° (2025)23.3° (2001)
October28.1°24.7°171 mm11.5 h31.5° (2023)20.2° (2005)
November26.9°23.6°92 mm11.0 h30.1° (2019)18.0° (2006)
December26.0°22.7°80 mm10.8 h28.9° (2023)14.8° (1989)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +0.8°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.10°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Sep–Nov is warming fastest: +0.12°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 11.1 early in the record → 67.2 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2023, coldest in 1986: 32.6°C / 14.7°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~1,199 mm/year on average. Last decade: −4% vs that average. Long-term trend: +7 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Playa del Carmen

Which is the warmest month in Playa del Carmen?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Playa del Carmen is August (mean daily temperature of about 27.6°C) and the coolest is January (about 23.6°C).
How does today's temperature in Playa del Carmen compare to the historical average?
On October 26, 2026, Playa del Carmen is forecast to reach a high of 28.6°C and a low of 21.0°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 27.7°C and a low of 24.3°C, so today's high is 0.9°C warmer than that average.
How much has Playa del Carmen warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Playa del Carmen is about 0.8°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Playa del Carmen?
Playa del Carmen receives about 1,199 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with September typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Playa del Carmen?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Playa del Carmen is about 25.8°C. The warmest month is August and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Playa del Carmen by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Playa del Carmen (°C, full record since 1940): January 26°/22°, February 26°/22°, March 27°/23°, April 28°/24°, May 29°/25°, June 29°/26°, July 29°/26°, August 30°/26°, September 29°/26°, October 28°/25°, November 27°/24°, December 26°/23°.

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