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Orsha weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Orsha swings through a wide annual range, with 24.9°C between the monthly means of its warmest and coldest months. Rainfall leans toward the stretch from May to September. Orsha weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+1.7°Chigh above average

12° / 6°Today
10° / 3°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+2.9°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49133frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 165 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 165 in the 1940s4days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 0 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 0 in the 1940s+2.9°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 50 mmhigh −5°low −10°February, rain 45 mmhigh −4°low −9°March, rain 47 mmhigh 2°low −5°April, rain 50 mmhigh 10°low 1°May, rain 70 mmhigh 17°low 7°June, rain 82 mmhigh 21°low 11°July, rain 92 mmhigh 22°low 13°August, rain 77 mmhigh 21°low 12°September, rain 64 mmhigh 16°low 7°October, rain 57 mmhigh 9°low 2°November, rain 57 mmhigh 2°low −2°December, rain 53 mmhigh −2°low −6°wettest month July, 92 mm · 742 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

10.8°

9°feels like
72%humidity
6°dew point
6 km/hfrom SW
UV index0.3
sunrise07:21sunset18:08day length10h 47m
TodayOvercast12°6°
TuePartly cloudy13°5°
WedMostly clear12°3°
ThuPartly cloudy12°4°
FriPartly cloudy9°2°
SatOvercast10°5°
SunOvercast8°4°

On this date: October 12

Today (forecast)
12° / 6°
Average for October 12
10° / 3°

High above average · +1.7°C

  • Record high: 18.7° · 1955
  • Record low: −5.1° · 1992
  • One year ago: 9° / 4°

Every October 12 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 12 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Orsha is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 54.51°N, 30.40°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
54.51°N, 30.40°E
Time zone
Europe/Minsk
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

29 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +2.2°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in July, at around 22.3°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 12.9°C. In January, the coolest month, afternoons reach about −4.6°C and nights dip to −9.8°C. Around 135 days a year dip below freezing.

In total, Orsha averages about 742 mm of precipitation a year; July is usually the wettest month (92 mm) and February the driest (45 mm).

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Orsha has risen by 2.9°C between its first decade and its last. That last decade has also been the warmest in the record.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 25°C. Wettest month: July (~92 mm). Whole year averages ~742 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 104 rainy days a year: most in July (~11), fewest in February (~7).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Orsha month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightRecord highRecord low
January−4.6°−9.8°50 mm87.6 h9.9° (2007)−39.5° (1940)
February−3.5°−9.4°45 mm79.4 h10.5° (1990)−34.3° (1956)
March1.6°−5.3°47 mm811.5 h23.2° (2024)−29.2° (1964)
April10.2°1.4°50 mm813.8 h27.6° (2012)−15.7° (1942)
May17.1°7.0°70 mm915.8 h30.7° (2014)−3.7° (1999)
June20.7°11.0°82 mm1017.0 h34.7° (2021)0.6° (1982)
July22.3°12.9°92 mm1116.5 h34.0° (2010)5.4° (2019)
August21.5°11.7°77 mm914.7 h37.0° (2010)0.8° (1966)
September15.9°7.2°64 mm912.4 h30.2° (2008)−5.7° (1976)
October8.9°2.5°57 mm810.2 h25.4° (1999)−12.4° (1966)
November2.0°−2.2°57 mm88.1 h13.5° (2010)−22.7° (1957)
December−2.1°−6.4°53 mm97.0 h10.8° (2009)−32.3° (1959)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +2.9°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.37°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.61°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 0.2 early in the record → 3.9 recently. Frost days: 165 → 133.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 2010, all-time low in 1940: 37.0°C / −39.5°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~742 mm/year on average. Last decade: +5% vs that average. Long-term trend: +12 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Orsha

Which is the warmest month in Orsha?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Orsha is July (mean daily temperature of about 18.0°C) and the coolest is January (about −7.0°C).
How does today's temperature in Orsha compare to the historical average?
On October 12, 2026, Orsha is forecast to reach a high of 11.8°C and a low of 6.3°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 10.1°C and a low of 3.0°C, so today's high is 1.7°C warmer than that average.
How much has Orsha warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Orsha is about 2.9°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Orsha?
Orsha receives about 742 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with July typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Orsha?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Orsha is about 5.7°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Orsha by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Orsha (°C, full record since 1940): January −5°/−10°, February −4°/−9°, March 2°/−5°, April 10°/1°, May 17°/7°, June 21°/11°, July 22°/13°, August 21°/12°, September 16°/7°, October 9°/2°, November 2°/−2°, December −2°/−6°.
What is the weather like in Orsha in summer?
June to August is summer in Orsha, and it is mild. Expect 21–22°C by day and 11–13°C at night, with July the warmest month. Rain is steady at around 84 mm a month, spread over roughly 10 days. It is the wettest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Orsha in winter?
In winter, December through February, Orsha is cold, with afternoons close to freezing. Daytime highs sit at −5 to −2°C and nights at −10 to −6°C; January is the coldest month. Snow falls on about 8 days a month, adding up to around 49 mm of precipitation.
What is the weather like in Orsha in spring?
March to May is spring in Orsha, and it is on the cool side. March starts at 2°C by day and −5°C at night; by May it is 17°C and 7°C. Rain and snow fall on about 8 days a month, adding up to around 55 mm.
What is the weather like in Orsha in autumn?
In autumn, September through November, Orsha is on the cool side. It cools from 16°C by day and 7°C at night in September to 2°C and −2°C in November. Rain and snow are steady at around 59 mm a month, spread over roughly 8 days.
How many days a year does it rain in Orsha?
On long-term average, Orsha has about 104 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 742 mm.

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