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Oaxaca weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Temperature-wise, the seasons in Oaxaca are gentle: monthly means drift only 4.0°C over the whole year. Most of the year's rain is packed into the months from May to October. Oaxaca weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+2.0°Chigh above average

28° / 16°Today
26° / 15°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+2.1°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4994days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 26 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 26 in the 1940s+2.1°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 5 mmhigh 26°low 11°February, rain 8 mmhigh 27°low 12°March, rain 16 mmhigh 29°low 13°April, rain 36 mmhigh 30°low 14°May, rain 70 mmhigh 29°low 16°June, rain 159 mmhigh 27°low 16°July, rain 102 mmhigh 26°low 16°August, rain 110 mmhigh 27°low 16°September, rain 144 mmhigh 26°low 16°October, rain 61 mmhigh 26°low 15°November, rain 11 mmhigh 26°low 13°December, rain 5 mmhigh 26°low 12°wettest month June, 159 mm · 726 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

18.0°

20°feels like
92%humidity
17°dew point
1 km/hfrom N
UV index0.0
sunrise06:19sunset18:07day length11h 48m
TodayPartly cloudy28°16°
TuePartly cloudy28°15°
WedPartly cloudy28°14°
ThuOvercast27°14°
FriOvercast26°17°
SatOvercast28°17°
SunOvercast27°14°

On this date: October 12

Today (forecast)
28° / 16°
Average for October 12
26° / 15°

High above average · +2.0°C

  • Record high: 32.4° · 2015
  • Record low: 9.2° · 1952
  • One year ago: 29° / 16°

Every October 12 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 12 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Oaxaca is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 17.06°N, 96.73°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
17.06°N, 96.73°W
Time zone
America/Mexico City
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

31 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.9°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The warmest month is May, with typical afternoon highs of 29.2°C and nights around 15.5°C. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 25.8°C and overnight lows sit around 11.4°C. Freezing temperatures almost never occur.

Oaxaca picks up roughly 726 mm a year, with a peak of 159 mm in June and as little as 5 mm in December.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Oaxaca now averages 2.1°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. Days above 30°C have grown noticeably more frequent, from around 25 a year in the first decade to about 95 in the last.

Climate graph (climograph)

May is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 4°C. Wettest month: June (~159 mm). Whole year averages ~726 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Oaxaca month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightRecord highRecord low
January25.8°11.4°5 mm11.1 h34.9° (2024)0.3° (1956)
February27.4°11.8°8 mm11.4 h34.9° (2024)1.4° (1976)
March29.3°13.1°16 mm11.9 h37.4° (2024)4.2° (2013)
April30.1°14.4°36 mm12.4 h37.6° (1998)7.2° (1971)
May29.2°15.5°70 mm12.8 h37.6° (1998)8.5° (1970)
June26.6°16.1°159 mm13.0 h36.5° (2010)10.4° (1970)
July26.0°15.6°102 mm12.9 h32.8° (2009)10.1° (1943)
August26.6°15.7°110 mm12.6 h33.1° (2015)10.1° (1949)
September25.7°16.0°144 mm12.1 h33.4° (2023)10.4° (1979)
October25.9°15.0°61 mm11.6 h33.7° (2023)4.1° (1943)
November26.1°13.4°11 mm11.2 h33.8° (2023)2.9° (2010)
December25.7°12.0°5 mm11.0 h32.8° (2015)0.9° (1954)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +2.1°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.27°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.28°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 25.5 early in the record → 94.3 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 1998, all-time low in 1956: 37.6°C / 0.3°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~726 mm/year on average. Last decade: +18% vs that average. Long-term trend: +36 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Oaxaca

Which is the warmest month in Oaxaca?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Oaxaca is May (mean daily temperature of about 21.7°C) and the coolest is January (about 17.7°C).
How does today's temperature in Oaxaca compare to the historical average?
On October 12, 2026, Oaxaca is forecast to reach a high of 27.8°C and a low of 15.6°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 25.8°C and a low of 15.2°C, so today's high is 2.0°C warmer than that average.
How much has Oaxaca warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Oaxaca is about 2.1°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Oaxaca?
Oaxaca receives about 726 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with June typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Oaxaca?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Oaxaca is about 19.9°C. The warmest month is May and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Oaxaca by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Oaxaca (°C, full record since 1940): January 26°/11°, February 27°/12°, March 29°/13°, April 30°/14°, May 29°/16°, June 27°/16°, July 26°/16°, August 27°/16°, September 26°/16°, October 26°/15°, November 26°/13°, December 26°/12°.
What is the weather like in Oaxaca in summer?
Summer in Oaxaca (June to August) is wet and warm. Expect 26–27°C by day and 16°C at night, with August the warmest month. Rain is steady at around 123 mm a month. No season is wetter.
What is the weather like in Oaxaca in winter?
In winter, December through February, Oaxaca is dry and warm. Daytime highs sit at 26–27°C and nights at 11–12°C; January is the coldest month. Hardly any rain falls.
What is the weather like in Oaxaca in spring?
Spring in Oaxaca (March to May) is warm. Afternoons run 29–30°C and nights 13–16°C; April is the warmest month. Rain picks up through the season, 16 mm in March to 70 mm in May.
What is the weather like in Oaxaca in autumn?
Autumn in Oaxaca (September to November) is pleasantly warm. Expect 26°C by day and 13–16°C at night, with November the coldest month. Rain falls off from 144 mm in September to 11 mm in November.

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