Oaxaca weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends
Temperature-wise, the seasons in Oaxaca are gentle: monthly means drift only 4.0°C over the whole year. Most of the year's rain is packed into the months from May to October. Oaxaca weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.
Today vs average
+2.0°Chigh above average
How it's changed
+2.1°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4994days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 26 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 26 in the 1940s+2.1°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 5 mmhigh 26°low 11°February, rain 8 mmhigh 27°low 12°March, rain 16 mmhigh 29°low 13°April, rain 36 mmhigh 30°low 14°May, rain 70 mmhigh 29°low 16°June, rain 159 mmhigh 27°low 16°July, rain 102 mmhigh 26°low 16°August, rain 110 mmhigh 27°low 16°September, rain 144 mmhigh 26°low 16°October, rain 61 mmhigh 26°low 15°November, rain 11 mmhigh 26°low 13°December, rain 5 mmhigh 26°low 12°wettest month June, 159 mm · 726 mm a yearsee month by month →Right now
What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.Right now
18.0°
On this date: October 12
High above average · +2.0°C
- Record high: 32.4° · 2015
- Record low: 9.2° · 1952
- One year ago: 29° / 16°
Every October 12 in history, coldest to hottest
Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 12 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.
Area we sample
Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.
Location & data
Historical weather for Oaxaca is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 17.06°N, 96.73°W, with daily records since 1940.
- Coordinates
- 17.06°N, 96.73°W
- Time zone
- America/Mexico City
- Period
- 1940–2026
- Data source
- ERA5 (ECMWF)
Last 30 days
31 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.9°C.
Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.
This date over the years
One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.
Weather by month
Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.Climate overview
The warmest month is May, with typical afternoon highs of 29.2°C and nights around 15.5°C. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 25.8°C and overnight lows sit around 11.4°C. Freezing temperatures almost never occur.
Oaxaca picks up roughly 726 mm a year, with a peak of 159 mm in June and as little as 5 mm in December.
Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Oaxaca now averages 2.1°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. Days above 30°C have grown noticeably more frequent, from around 25 a year in the first decade to about 95 in the last.
Climate graph (climograph)
May is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 4°C. Wettest month: June (~159 mm). Whole year averages ~726 mm of rain.
Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).
Monthly wind
Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.
Monthly solar energy
Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.
Oaxaca month by month: what to expect
Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.
| Month | Avg high | Avg low | Rain | Daylight | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 25.8° | 11.4° | 5 mm | 11.1 h | 34.9° (2024) | 0.3° (1956) |
| February | 27.4° | 11.8° | 8 mm | 11.4 h | 34.9° (2024) | 1.4° (1976) |
| March | 29.3° | 13.1° | 16 mm | 11.9 h | 37.4° (2024) | 4.2° (2013) |
| April | 30.1° | 14.4° | 36 mm | 12.4 h | 37.6° (1998) | 7.2° (1971) |
| May | 29.2° | 15.5° | 70 mm | 12.8 h | 37.6° (1998) | 8.5° (1970) |
| June | 26.6° | 16.1° | 159 mm | 13.0 h | 36.5° (2010) | 10.4° (1970) |
| July | 26.0° | 15.6° | 102 mm | 12.9 h | 32.8° (2009) | 10.1° (1943) |
| August | 26.6° | 15.7° | 110 mm | 12.6 h | 33.1° (2015) | 10.1° (1949) |
| September | 25.7° | 16.0° | 144 mm | 12.1 h | 33.4° (2023) | 10.4° (1979) |
| October | 25.9° | 15.0° | 61 mm | 11.6 h | 33.7° (2023) | 4.1° (1943) |
| November | 26.1° | 13.4° | 11 mm | 11.2 h | 33.8° (2023) | 2.9° (2010) |
| December | 25.7° | 12.0° | 5 mm | 11.0 h | 32.8° (2015) | 0.9° (1954) |
How it's changed
Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.Climate stripes
Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +2.1°C.
Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer
Annual mean temperature
Long-term trend: +0.27°C per decade.
One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.
Seasonal warming
Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.28°C per decade.
Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.
Hot days vs frost days
Days ≥ 30°C per year: 25.5 early in the record → 94.3 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.
Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.
Yearly hot & cold extremes
All-time high in 1998, all-time low in 1956: 37.6°C / 0.3°C.
One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.
Annual rainfall
~726 mm/year on average. Last decade: +18% vs that average. Long-term trend: +36 mm per decade.
One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).
Day-by-day grid
Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).
Frequently asked questions about Oaxaca
Which is the warmest month in Oaxaca?
How does today's temperature in Oaxaca compare to the historical average?
How much has Oaxaca warmed since 1940?
How much does it rain in Oaxaca?
What is the average temperature in Oaxaca?
What are the average temperatures in Oaxaca by month?
What is the weather like in Oaxaca in summer?
What is the weather like in Oaxaca in winter?
What is the weather like in Oaxaca in spring?
What is the weather like in Oaxaca in autumn?
Weather in nearby cities
- Tuxtepec31°/24°today+1.3°vs average
- Tehuacán26°/17°today+0.5°vs average
- Orizaba24°/17°today+0.3°vs average
- Córdoba25°/20°today−0.7°vs average
- Veracruz30°/25°today+0.3°vs average
- Minatitlán31°/25°today+2.2°vs average
- Coatzacoalcos31°/25°today+3.2°vs average
- Puebla24°/13°today+1.1°vs average
- Xalapa de Enríquez23°/17°today−0.4°vs average
- Cholula24°/13°today+1.7°vs average