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Nara-shi weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Seasons run to extremes in Nara-shi: monthly means span 23.4°C between the coldest month and the warmest. The heavier rain months run from April to July. Nara-shi weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+3.4°Chigh well above average

27° / 15°Today
23° / 15°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+3.2°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4915frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 65 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 65 in the 1940s78days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 30 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 30 in the 1940s+3.2°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 55 mmhigh 9°low 1°February, rain 67 mmhigh 9°low 1°March, rain 101 mmhigh 13°low 4°April, rain 122 mmhigh 19°low 9°May, rain 140 mmhigh 23°low 14°June, rain 203 mmhigh 27°low 19°July, rain 178 mmhigh 30°low 23°August, rain 106 mmhigh 32°low 24°September, rain 152 mmhigh 28°low 20°October, rain 123 mmhigh 22°low 14°November, rain 75 mmhigh 17°low 8°December, rain 52 mmhigh 11°low 3°wettest month June, 203 mm · 1,373 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Fog

Right now

16.0°

17°feels like
95%humidity
15°dew point
4 km/hfrom NE
UV index0.0
sunrise06:00sunset17:25day length11h 25m
TueMostly clear27°15°
WedOvercast24°15°
ThuMostly clear23°13°
FriOvercast23°11°
SatOvercast25°13°
SunOvercast26°14°
MonOvercast26°21°

On this date: October 12

Today (forecast)
27° / 15°
Average for October 12
23° / 15°

High well above average · +3.4°C

  • Record high: 29.7° · 1994
  • Record low: 7.0° · 1963
  • One year ago: 26° / 22°

Every October 12 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 12 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Nara-shi is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 34.69°N, 135.80°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
34.69°N, 135.80°E
Time zone
Asia/Tokyo
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

21 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +0.8°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

August brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 32.3°C and nights around 24.2°C. Roughly 80 days a year now top 30°C. In January, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 8.6°C and nights dip to 1.0°C.

Nara-shi picks up roughly 1,373 mm a year, with a peak of 203 mm in June and as little as 52 mm in December.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Nara-shi now averages 3.2°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. Where the first decade averaged 65 frost days a year, the recent one saw about 15.

Climate graph (climograph)

August is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 23°C. Wettest month: June (~203 mm). Whole year averages ~1,373 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 99 rainy days a year: most in July (~12), fewest in December (~5).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Nara-shi month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightRecord highRecord low
January8.6°1.0°55 mm59.9 h17.8° (2021)−6.6° (2023)
February9.3°1.3°67 mm610.7 h22.2° (1954)−8.7° (1977)
March13.1°4.1°101 mm911.7 h25.3° (2025)−4.2° (1941)
April18.9°9.4°122 mm912.9 h29.3° (2005)−2.3° (1963)
May23.4°14.3°140 mm913.8 h32.0° (2019)2.3° (1965)
June26.7°19.1°203 mm1214.3 h35.7° (2013)9.6° (1989)
July30.4°23.4°178 mm1214.1 h39.7° (2025)13.3° (1966)
August32.3°24.2°106 mm913.3 h39.8° (1994)14.2° (1956)
September28.3°20.4°152 mm1112.2 h38.3° (2002)9.2° (1976)
October22.2°13.7°123 mm811.1 h34.2° (2019)3.2° (1947)
November16.6°7.9°75 mm610.1 h27.8° (2000)−1.7° (1958)
December11.2°2.9°52 mm59.7 h23.2° (2018)−4.2° (1981)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +3.2°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.37°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Sep–Nov is warming fastest: +0.39°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 30.0 early in the record → 77.5 recently. Frost days: 65 → 15.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 1994, all-time low in 1977: 39.8°C / −8.7°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~1,373 mm/year on average. Last decade: +7% vs that average. Long-term trend: +23 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Nara-shi

Which is the warmest month in Nara-shi?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Nara-shi is August (mean daily temperature of about 28.0°C) and the coolest is January (about 4.6°C).
How does today's temperature in Nara-shi compare to the historical average?
On October 12, 2026, Nara-shi is forecast to reach a high of 26.5°C and a low of 14.6°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 23.1°C and a low of 14.6°C, so today's high is 3.4°C warmer than that average.
How much has Nara-shi warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Nara-shi is about 3.2°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Nara-shi?
Nara-shi receives about 1,373 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with June typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Nara-shi?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Nara-shi is about 15.8°C. The warmest month is August and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Nara-shi by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Nara-shi (°C, full record since 1940): January 9°/1°, February 9°/1°, March 13°/4°, April 19°/9°, May 23°/14°, June 27°/19°, July 30°/23°, August 32°/24°, September 28°/20°, October 22°/14°, November 17°/8°, December 11°/3°.
What is the weather like in Nara-shi in summer?
In summer, June through August, Nara-shi is wet and warm. June starts at 27°C by day and 19°C at night; by August it is 32°C and 24°C. Rain eases through the season: 12 rainy days and 203 mm in June, 9 days and 106 mm in August. It is the wettest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Nara-shi in winter?
Winter in Nara-shi (December to February) is on the cool side. Expect 9–11°C by day and 1–3°C at night, with January the coldest month. Rain falls on about 5 days a month, adding up to around 58 mm. No season is drier.
What is the weather like in Nara-shi in spring?
In spring, March through May, Nara-shi is wet and mild. It warms from 13°C by day and 4°C at night in March to 23°C and 14°C in May. Rain is steady at around 121 mm a month, spread over roughly 9 days.
What is the weather like in Nara-shi in autumn?
Autumn in Nara-shi (September to November) is wet and pleasantly warm. It cools from 28°C by day and 20°C at night in September to 17°C and 8°C in November. Rain falls off from 152 mm on 11 days in September to 75 mm on 6 days in November.
How many days a year does it rain in Nara-shi?
On long-term average, Nara-shi has about 99 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 1,373 mm.

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