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Murfreesboro weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Murfreesboro swings through a wide annual range, with 40.2°F between the monthly means of its warmest and coldest months. No season stands out as markedly wetter. Precipitation arrives fairly evenly year-round. Murfreesboro weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+5.5°Fhigh well above average

74° / 44°Today
68° / 48°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+3.1°Faverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4940frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 56 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 56 in the 1940s87days above 86°F a year now (2016–2025) · 68 in the 1940sdays above 86°F · 68 in the 1940s+3.1°F vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 4.7 incheshigh 48°low 32°February, rain 4.8 incheshigh 53°low 35°March, rain 5.5 incheshigh 62°low 42°April, rain 4.8 incheshigh 71°low 51°May, rain 4.4 incheshigh 79°low 60°June, rain 3.7 incheshigh 86°low 68°July, rain 4.3 incheshigh 89°low 71°August, rain 3.4 incheshigh 88°low 70°September, rain 3.4 incheshigh 82°low 63°October, rain 3.1 incheshigh 72°low 52°November, rain 4.1 incheshigh 60°low 42°December, rain 5.0 incheshigh 51°low 36°wettest month March, 5.5 inches · 51.3 inches a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Clear

Right now

46.4°

42°feels like
87%humidity
43°dew point
5 mphfrom SE
UV index0.0
sunrise07:02sunset17:56day length10h 54m
TodayOvercast74°44°
TueOvercast77°47°
WedOvercast76°55°
ThuClear78°51°
FriOvercast78°56°
SatOvercast67°61°
SunDrizzle64°60°

On this date: October 26

Today (forecast)
74° / 44°
Average for October 26
68° / 48°

High well above average · +5.5°F

  • Highest since 1940: 81.4° · 2014
  • Lowest since 1940: 27.1° · 2013
  • One year ago: 64° / 55°

Every October 26 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 26 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Murfreesboro is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 35.85°N, 86.39°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
35.85°N, 86.39°W
Time zone
America/Chicago
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

23 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +3.9°F.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

July brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 88.6°F and nights around 70.9°F. In a typical recent year, around 85 days reach 86°F or more. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 48.0°F and overnight lows sit around 32.1°F. Frost shows up on around 40 mornings a year.

Murfreesboro picks up roughly 51.3 inches a year, with a peak of 5.5 inches in March and as little as 3.1 inches in October.

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Murfreesboro has risen by 3.1°F between its first decade and its last. Recent years have brought more rain as well. The last decade sits roughly 14% over the long-term average.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 40°F. Wettest month: March (~5.5 in). Whole year averages ~51.3 inches of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 109 rainy days a year: most in July (~11), fewest in October (~7).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 0.08 in per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Murfreesboro month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January48.0°32.1°4.7 in99.8 h76.4° (1950)−16.0° (1985)
February52.8°35.0°4.8 in1010.7 h83.0° (2023)−8.3° (1996)
March61.5°42.2°5.5 in1111.7 h85.8° (1963)−1.3° (1960)
April71.1°51.0°4.8 in912.9 h90.5° (2011)24.9° (1992)
May78.6°59.7°4.4 in1013.9 h95.1° (1962)36.0° (1944)
June86.1°67.6°3.7 in914.4 h106.5° (2012)45.0° (1972)
July88.6°70.9°4.3 in1114.2 h107.0° (1952)55.1° (1967)
August87.9°69.5°3.4 in913.4 h105.1° (2007)51.0° (1986)
September82.4°63.1°3.4 in712.2 h103.0° (1954)38.0° (1983)
October72.4°51.8°3.1 in711.1 h98.0° (2019)25.3° (1987)
November60.3°42.2°4.1 in810.1 h86.1° (2016)1.2° (1950)
December51.3°35.6°5.0 in99.6 h75.4° (2015)−4.2° (1989)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +3.1°F.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.34°F per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Mar–May is warming fastest: +0.47°F per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 86°F per year: 67.9 early in the record → 86.7 recently. Frost days: 56 → 40.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 1952, coldest in 1985: 107.0°F / −16.0°F.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~51.3 in/year on average. Last decade: +14% vs that average. Long-term trend: +0.99 in per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Murfreesboro

Which is the warmest month in Murfreesboro?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Murfreesboro is July (mean daily temperature of about 78.9°F) and the coolest is January (about 38.7°F).
How does today's temperature in Murfreesboro compare to the historical average?
On October 26, 2026, Murfreesboro is forecast to reach a high of 73.6°F and a low of 44.1°F. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 68.1°F and a low of 47.9°F, so today's high is 5.5°F warmer than that average.
How much has Murfreesboro warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Murfreesboro is about 3.1°F warmer.
How much does it rain in Murfreesboro?
Murfreesboro receives about 51.3 inches of precipitation per year on long-term average, with March typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Murfreesboro?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Murfreesboro is about 59.9°F. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Murfreesboro by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Murfreesboro (°F, full record since 1940): January 48°/32°, February 53°/35°, March 62°/42°, April 71°/51°, May 79°/60°, June 86°/68°, July 89°/71°, August 88°/70°, September 82°/63°, October 72°/52°, November 60°/42°, December 51°/36°.
What is the weather like in Murfreesboro in summer?
Summer in Murfreesboro (June to August) is hot. Afternoons run 86–89°F and nights 68–71°F; July is the warmest month. Rain is steady at around 3.8 inches a month, spread over roughly 10 days.
What is the weather like in Murfreesboro in winter?
In winter, December through February, Murfreesboro is wet and on the cool side. Expect 48–53°F by day and 32–36°F at night, with January the coldest month. Rain falls on about 9 days a month, adding up to around 4.8 inches.
What is the weather like in Murfreesboro in spring?
Spring in Murfreesboro (March to May) is wet and mild. March starts at 62°F by day and 42°F at night; by May it is 79°F and 60°F. Rain is steady at around 4.9 inches a month, spread over roughly 10 days.
What is the weather like in Murfreesboro in autumn?
September to November is autumn in Murfreesboro, and it is pleasantly warm. It cools from 82°F by day and 63°F at night in September to 60°F and 42°F in November. Rain falls on about 7 days a month, adding up to around 3.5 inches.
How many days a year does it rain in Murfreesboro?
On long-term average, Murfreesboro has about 109 days a year with at least 0.08 inches of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 51.3 inches.

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