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Mogi das Cruzes weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Temperature-wise, the seasons in Mogi das Cruzes are gentle: monthly means drift only 6.4°C over the whole year. The heavier rain months run from October to March. Mogi das Cruzes weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−8.2°Chigh well below average

17° / 13°Today
25° / 17°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.3°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4944days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 4 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 4 in the 1940s+1.3°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 245 mmhigh 27°low 19°February, rain 213 mmhigh 27°low 19°March, rain 185 mmhigh 26°low 18°April, rain 91 mmhigh 24°low 16°May, rain 73 mmhigh 22°low 14°June, rain 53 mmhigh 22°low 12°July, rain 53 mmhigh 21°low 12°August, rain 49 mmhigh 23°low 13°September, rain 93 mmhigh 24°low 14°October, rain 144 mmhigh 24°low 16°November, rain 161 mmhigh 25°low 17°December, rain 231 mmhigh 26°low 18°wettest month January, 245 mm · 1,593 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Partly cloudy

Right now

14.7°

13°feels like
84%humidity
12°dew point
14 km/hfrom S
UV index0.1
sunrise05:22sunset18:14day length12h 52m
TodayOvercast17°13°
TueOvercast20°11°
WedOvercast23°14°
ThuLight rain18°16°
FriOvercast23°16°
SatShowers23°18°
SunPartly cloudy25°16°

On this date: October 26

Today (forecast)
17° / 13°
Average for October 26
25° / 17°

High well below average · −8.2°C

  • Highest since 1940: 32.6° · 1972
  • Lowest since 1940: 9.9° · 1955
  • One year ago: 30° / 16°

Every October 26 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 26 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Mogi das Cruzes is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 23.52°S, 46.19°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
23.52°S, 46.19°W
Time zone
America/Sao Paulo
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

18 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +0.6°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

February brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 27.0°C and nights around 18.8°C. Around 45 nights a year stay above 20°C. The coolest month is July, when afternoons reach about 21.5°C and overnight lows sit around 11.8°C.

Mogi das Cruzes picks up roughly 1,593 mm a year, with a peak of 245 mm in January and as little as 49 mm in August. A typical year brings rain or snow on around 150 days.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Mogi das Cruzes now averages 1.3°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. Days above 30°C have grown noticeably more frequent, from around 4 a year in the first decade to about 45 in the last.

Climate graph (climograph)

February is the warmest month, July the coolest: a yearly swing of 6°C. Wettest month: January (~245 mm). Whole year averages ~1,593 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 150 rainy days a year: most in January (~21), fewest in June (~5).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Mogi das Cruzes month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January26.8°18.8°245 mm2113.3 h34.0° (2014)11.4° (1970)
February27.0°18.8°213 mm1912.8 h33.5° (1984)12.6° (1968)
March26.2°18.2°185 mm1812.2 h33.2° (2009)11.4° (1947)
April24.5°16.4°91 mm1011.4 h32.4° (1996)6.7° (1971)
May22.4°14.0°73 mm710.9 h30.9° (2024)4.0° (1990)
June21.6°12.5°53 mm510.6 h28.7° (2010)2.1° (1994)
July21.5°11.8°53 mm510.7 h29.6° (2015)2.1° (2021)
August22.9°12.7°49 mm511.2 h33.0° (2005)3.3° (1984)
September24.0°14.3°93 mm911.9 h37.1° (1961)3.4° (2006)
October24.4°15.8°144 mm1412.6 h36.1° (2020)7.4° (1968)
November24.9°16.6°161 mm1513.2 h35.8° (2023)8.7° (1956)
December25.8°17.9°231 mm2013.4 h33.9° (2025)9.8° (1964)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.3°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.20°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.26°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 4.4 early in the record → 43.8 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 1961, coldest in 2021: 37.1°C / 2.1°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~1,593 mm/year on average. Last decade: −12% vs that average. Long-term trend: −35 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Mogi das Cruzes

Which is the warmest month in Mogi das Cruzes?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Mogi das Cruzes is February (mean daily temperature of about 22.3°C) and the coolest is July (about 15.9°C).
How does today's temperature in Mogi das Cruzes compare to the historical average?
On October 26, 2026, Mogi das Cruzes is forecast to reach a high of 17.0°C and a low of 12.9°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 25.2°C and a low of 16.8°C, so today's high is 8.2°C cooler than that average.
How much has Mogi das Cruzes warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Mogi das Cruzes is about 1.3°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Mogi das Cruzes?
Mogi das Cruzes receives about 1,593 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with January typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Mogi das Cruzes?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Mogi das Cruzes is about 19.4°C. The warmest month is February and the coolest is July.
What are the average temperatures in Mogi das Cruzes by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Mogi das Cruzes (°C, full record since 1940): January 27°/19°, February 27°/19°, March 26°/18°, April 24°/16°, May 22°/14°, June 22°/12°, July 21°/12°, August 23°/13°, September 24°/14°, October 24°/16°, November 25°/17°, December 26°/18°.
What is the weather like in Mogi das Cruzes in summer?
Summer in Mogi das Cruzes (December to February) is wet and warm. Expect 26–27°C by day and 18–19°C at night, with February the warmest month. Rain is steady at around 230 mm a month, spread over roughly 20 days. No season is wetter.
What is the weather like in Mogi das Cruzes in winter?
June to August is winter in Mogi das Cruzes, and it is mild. Daytime highs sit at 21–23°C and nights at 12–13°C; July is the coldest month. Rain falls on about 5 days a month, adding up to around 52 mm. It is the driest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Mogi das Cruzes in spring?
Spring in Mogi das Cruzes (September to November) is wet and pleasantly warm. Afternoons run 24–25°C and nights 14–17°C; November is the warmest month. Rain picks up through the season: 9 rainy days and 93 mm in September, 15 days and 161 mm in November.
What is the weather like in Mogi das Cruzes in autumn?
March to May is autumn in Mogi das Cruzes, and it is wet and pleasantly warm. March still brings 26°C afternoons and 18°C nights, May only 22°C and 14°C. Rain eases through the season: 18 rainy days and 185 mm in March, 7 days and 73 mm in May.
How many days a year does it rain in Mogi das Cruzes?
On long-term average, Mogi das Cruzes has about 150 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 1,593 mm.

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