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Mansa weather by month — averages, rainfall & climate trends

Average temperatures and rainfall by month, a climate graph, today's conditions versus the long-term average, and how the climate has shifted since 1940 — all on one page for Mansa, Zambia.

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Clear

Right now

15.0°

14°feels like
68%humidity
dew point
4 km/hfrom SE
sunrise06:23sunset17:58day length11h 36m
TodayClear25°11°
TueClear26°11°
WedClear27°11°
ThuMostly clear27°13°
FriClear27°13°
SatClear24°11°
SunMostly clear24°10°

On this date — July 27

Today (forecast)
25° / 11°
Average for July 27
25° / 13°

About average

  • Record high: 29.0° · 2004
  • Record low: 7.6° · 2024
  • One year ago: 24.3°

Every July 27 in history — coldest to hottest

Daily highsDaily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each July 27 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell — about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Mansa is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 11.20°S, 28.89°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
11.20°S, 28.89°E
Time zone
Africa/Lusaka
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

14 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: 0.3°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year — the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis — modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month — what a typical year looks like, from the full record.

Climate overview

Mansa is warm in every month of the year — the seasonal dip amounts to just 7.0°C. The warmest month is October, with a daily mean around 25.1°C and typical afternoon highs of 31.0°C. Roughly 60 days a year now top 30°C. In July, daily means drop to roughly 18.1°C, with nights dipping to 12.6°C.

Most of the year's rain is packed into the months from November to March. Mansa picks up roughly 1193 mm a year, peaking at 269 mm in January; July is essentially rainless.

The record here starts in 1940, and since then the annual mean in Mansa has climbed 0.7°C from the first ten years to the last ten. You can follow the shift year by year in the charts above.

Climate graph (climograph)

October is the warmest month, July the coolest — a yearly swing of 7°C. Wettest month: January (~269 mm). Whole year averages ~1193 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre — a measured proxy for how sunny the month is.

Mansa month by month — what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightRecord highRecord low
January25.3°17.9°269 mm12.6 h30.3° (1992)14.3° (1954)
February25.5°18.0°238 mm12.4 h30.8° (2024)14.6° (1945)
March25.6°17.9°200 mm12.1 h30.5° (2024)14.0° (1955)
April25.5°17.1°55 mm11.7 h29.9° (1954)12.5° (1978)
May25.5°15.2°5 mm11.5 h30.0° (1983)8.3° (1957)
June24.5°13.0°0 mm11.3 h29.3° (2024)7.8° (2024)
July24.5°12.6°0 mm11.4 h29.7° (1994)7.0° (1991)
August26.9°14.7°0 mm11.6 h32.4° (2020)8.5° (2025)
September29.8°17.7°2 mm11.9 h34.5° (1944)11.1° (1990)
October31.0°19.6°25 mm12.3 h36.3° (2017)12.9° (2024)
November28.2°18.8°149 mm12.5 h35.2° (1989)15.5° (1964)
December25.8°18.1°248 mm12.7 h33.1° (2021)15.5° (1955)

How it has changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +0.7°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.13°C per decade.

One point per year — the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis — modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.18°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis — modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 54.3 early in the record → 61.4 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 2017, all-time low in 1991: 36.3°C / 7.0°C.

One point per year — the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~1193 mm/year on average. Last decade ran +3% vs that average. Long-term trend: 19 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record — ~30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Mansa — Frequently asked questions

Which is the warmest month in Mansa?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Mansa is October (mean about 25.1°C) and the coolest is July (about 18.1°C).
How does today's temperature in Mansa compare to the historical average?
On 2026-07-27, Mansa is forecast to reach a high of 24.5°C and a low of 10.6°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 24.9°C and a low of 13.0°C — today's high is about equal to that average.
How much has Mansa warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Mansa is about 0.7°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Mansa?
Mansa receives about 1193 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with January typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Mansa?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Mansa is about 21.2°C. The warmest month is October and the coolest is July.
What are the average temperatures in Mansa by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Mansa (°C, full record since 1940): January 25°/18°, February 26°/18°, March 26°/18°, April 26°/17°, May 26°/15°, June 24°/13°, July 24°/13°, August 27°/15°, September 30°/18°, October 31°/20°, November 28°/19°, December 26°/18°.
How many days a year does it rain in Mansa?
On long-term average, Mansa has about 142 days a year with measurable rain, totalling roughly 1193 mm.

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