WeatherJourney.com

Chingola weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Temperature-wise, the seasons in Chingola are gentle: monthly means drift only 7.4°C over the whole year. Most of the year's rain is packed into the months from November to March. Chingola weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+4.8°Chigh well above average

35° / 19°Today
30° / 19°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+0.5°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4953days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 52 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 52 in the 1940s+0.5°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 295 mmhigh 25°low 17°February, rain 251 mmhigh 25°low 17°March, rain 189 mmhigh 25°low 17°April, rain 47 mmhigh 26°low 16°May, rain 5 mmhigh 25°low 14°June, rain 0 mmhigh 24°low 11°July, rain 0 mmhigh 24°low 11°August, rain 0 mmhigh 27°low 13°September, rain 2 mmhigh 30°low 17°October, rain 25 mmhigh 31°low 19°November, rain 157 mmhigh 28°low 18°December, rain 266 mmhigh 26°low 17°wettest month January, 295 mm · 1,238 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Clear

Right now

34.4°

33°feels like
23%humidity
10°dew point
12 km/hfrom NE
UV index10.1
sunrise05:39sunset18:06day length12h 26m
TodayMostly clear35°19°
ThuMostly clear36°20°
FriClear36°20°
SatMostly clear35°21°
SunOvercast33°20°
MonOvercast32°21°
TuePartly cloudy32°21°

On this date: October 21

Today (forecast)
35° / 19°
Average for October 21
30° / 19°

High well above average · +4.8°C

  • Highest since 1940: 33.9° · 1944
  • Lowest since 1940: 13.2° · 1976
  • One year ago: 31° / 17°

Every October 21 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 21 on record (n = 86). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Chingola is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 12.53°S, 27.88°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
12.53°S, 27.88°E
Time zone
Africa/Lusaka
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

9 of the last 30 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: −1.0°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

October brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 30.7°C and nights around 18.8°C. Roughly 55 days a year now top 30°C. In July, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 24.0°C and nights dip to 10.9°C. Freezing temperatures almost never occur.

Chingola picks up roughly 1,238 mm a year, peaking at 295 mm in January; July is essentially rainless.

The record here starts in 1940, and since then the annual mean in Chingola has climbed 0.5°C from the first ten years to the last ten. You can follow the shift year by year in the charts below.

Climate graph (climograph)

October is the warmest month, July the coolest: a yearly swing of 7°C. Wettest month: January (~295 mm). Whole year averages ~1,238 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Chingola month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightHighestLowest
January25.0°17.1°295 mm12.7 h30.1° (1992)13.0° (1954)
February25.3°17.1°251 mm12.4 h31.1° (2005)12.5° (1945)
March25.5°16.8°189 mm12.1 h31.0° (1954)12.0° (1959)
April25.6°15.7°47 mm11.7 h31.3° (1954)10.5° (2004)
May25.4°13.6°5 mm11.4 h30.3° (1998)7.5° (1957)
June24.0°11.3°0 mm11.3 h29.3° (2024)5.5° (1968)
July24.0°10.9°0 mm11.3 h29.1° (1994)4.6° (1991)
August26.5°13.3°0 mm11.6 h32.0° (2020)6.7° (1993)
September29.6°16.7°2 mm11.9 h34.7° (1944)8.7° (1990)
October30.7°18.8°25 mm12.3 h35.6° (1941)11.4° (2024)
November27.8°17.9°157 mm12.6 h35.2° (1989)13.4° (1964)
December25.5°17.3°266 mm12.7 h32.9° (2021)13.5° (2006)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +0.5°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.09°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.18°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 52.0 early in the record → 53.1 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 1941, coldest in 1991: 35.6°C / 4.6°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~1,238 mm/year on average. Last decade: −3% vs that average. Long-term trend: −21 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Chingola

Which is the warmest month in Chingola?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Chingola is October (mean daily temperature of about 24.6°C) and the coolest is July (about 17.1°C).
How does today's temperature in Chingola compare to the historical average?
On October 21, 2026, Chingola is forecast to reach a high of 35.1°C and a low of 18.9°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 30.3°C and a low of 18.8°C, so today's high is 4.8°C warmer than that average.
How much has Chingola warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Chingola is about 0.5°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Chingola?
Chingola receives about 1,238 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with January typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Chingola?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Chingola is about 20.5°C. The warmest month is October and the coolest is July.
What are the average temperatures in Chingola by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Chingola (°C, full record since 1940): January 25°/17°, February 25°/17°, March 25°/17°, April 26°/16°, May 25°/14°, June 24°/11°, July 24°/11°, August 27°/13°, September 30°/17°, October 31°/19°, November 28°/18°, December 26°/17°.
What is the weather like in Chingola in summer?
In summer, December through February, Chingola is wet and pleasantly warm. Daytime highs sit at 25–26°C and nights at 17°C; December is the warmest month. About 271 mm of rain a month. It is the wettest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Chingola in winter?
In winter, June through August, Chingola is dry and pleasantly warm. Afternoons run 24–27°C and nights 11–13°C; July is the coldest month. Hardly any rain falls.
What is the weather like in Chingola in spring?
Spring in Chingola (September to November) is warm. Expect 28–31°C by day and 17–19°C at night, with October the warmest month. Rain picks up through the season, 2 mm in September to 157 mm in November.
What is the weather like in Chingola in autumn?
Autumn in Chingola (March to May) is pleasantly warm. Daytime highs sit at 25–26°C and nights at 14–17°C; May is the coldest month. Rain falls off from 189 mm in March to 5 mm in May.

Weather in nearby cities