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Madīnat an Naşr weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Average temperatures in Madīnat an Naşr follow a clear seasonal rhythm, rising and falling by 15.6°C over the course of the year. Rain is a rare event here. Madīnat an Naşr weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−3.5°Chigh well below average

26° / 16°Today
30° / 18°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.7°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49188days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 178 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 178 in the 1940s+1.7°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 5 mmhigh 19°low 8°February, rain 4 mmhigh 21°low 9°March, rain 4 mmhigh 24°low 11°April, rain 1 mmhigh 29°low 14°May, rain 1 mmhigh 33°low 18°June, rain 0 mmhigh 35°low 20°July, rain 0 mmhigh 36°low 22°August, rain 0 mmhigh 36°low 22°September, rain 0 mmhigh 34°low 21°October, rain 2 mmhigh 30°low 18°November, rain 3 mmhigh 25°low 14°December, rain 5 mmhigh 21°low 10°wettest month January, 5 mm · 26 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Clear

Right now

18.5°

19°feels like
77%humidity
14°dew point
6 km/hfrom NE
UV index0.0
sunrise06:59sunset18:20day length11h 21m
TodayMostly clear26°16°
TuePartly cloudy27°16°
WedMostly clear28°16°
ThuPartly cloudy29°17°
FriPartly cloudy29°18°
SatClear30°17°
SunOvercast29°17°

On this date: October 19

Today (forecast)
26° / 16°
Average for October 19
30° / 18°

High well below average · −3.5°C

  • Highest since 1940: 39.6° · 2010
  • Lowest since 1940: 13.8° · 1950
  • One year ago: 30° / 17°

Every October 19 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 19 on record (n = 86). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Madīnat an Naşr is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 30.07°N, 31.30°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
30.07°N, 31.30°E
Time zone
Africa/Cairo
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

12 of the last 30 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: −0.2°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The warmest month is July, with typical afternoon highs of 35.9°C and nights around 22.0°C. Roughly 190 days a year now top 30°C. In January, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 19.3°C and nights dip to 8.3°C. Freezing temperatures almost never occur.

The annual total in Madīnat an Naşr is just 26 mm or so, with January the most likely month to see any of it.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Madīnat an Naşr now averages 1.7°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. That last decade has also been the warmest in the record.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 16°C. Wettest month: January (~5 mm). Whole year averages ~26 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Madīnat an Naşr month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightHighestLowest
January19.3°8.3°5 mm10.3 h29.5° (1971)−0.8° (1942)
February20.9°9.2°4 mm11.0 h34.5° (1958)−0.8° (1950)
March24.1°11.4°4 mm11.8 h39.2° (1958)3.5° (1948)
April28.8°14.4°1 mm12.7 h42.8° (1979)6.2° (1948)
May32.7°17.8°1 mm13.5 h46.8° (1970)11.3° (1944)
June35.3°20.5°0 mm13.9 h46.4° (1961)14.5° (1943)
July35.9°22.0°0 mm13.8 h44.0° (1995)17.7° (1991)
August35.7°22.4°0 mm13.1 h43.9° (1945)17.1° (1949)
September33.7°20.9°0 mm12.2 h43.5° (1978)14.0° (1949)
October30.3°18.2°2 mm11.3 h42.8° (1943)11.5° (1951)
November25.4°14.1°3 mm10.5 h38.0° (1941)3.5° (1953)
December20.8°10.0°5 mm10.1 h32.3° (1956)2.2° (1970)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.7°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.20°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Sep–Nov is warming fastest: +0.25°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 178.0 early in the record → 188.0 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 1970, coldest in 1950: 46.8°C / −0.8°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~26 mm/year on average. Last decade: +7% vs that average. Long-term trend: −1 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Madīnat an Naşr

Which is the warmest month in Madīnat an Naşr?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Madīnat an Naşr is July (mean daily temperature of about 29.0°C) and the coolest is January (about 13.4°C).
How does today's temperature in Madīnat an Naşr compare to the historical average?
On October 19, 2026, Madīnat an Naşr is forecast to reach a high of 26.3°C and a low of 16.4°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 29.8°C and a low of 18.0°C, so today's high is 3.5°C cooler than that average.
How much has Madīnat an Naşr warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Madīnat an Naşr is about 1.7°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Madīnat an Naşr?
Madīnat an Naşr receives about 26 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with January typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Madīnat an Naşr?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Madīnat an Naşr is about 22.1°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Madīnat an Naşr by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Madīnat an Naşr (°C, full record since 1940): January 19°/8°, February 21°/9°, March 24°/11°, April 29°/14°, May 33°/18°, June 35°/20°, July 36°/22°, August 36°/22°, September 34°/21°, October 30°/18°, November 25°/14°, December 21°/10°.
What is the weather like in Madīnat an Naşr in summer?
In summer, June through August, Madīnat an Naşr is dry and really hot. Expect 35–36°C by day and 20–22°C at night, with July the warmest month. Hardly any rain falls.
What is the weather like in Madīnat an Naşr in winter?
December to February is winter in Madīnat an Naşr, and it is dry and mild. Daytime highs sit at 19–21°C and nights at 8–10°C; January is the coldest month. Almost no rain.
What is the weather like in Madīnat an Naşr in spring?
In spring, March through May, Madīnat an Naşr is dry and warm. March is still 24°C in the afternoon and 11°C at night, May already 33°C and 18°C. Hardly any rain falls.
What is the weather like in Madīnat an Naşr in autumn?
In autumn, September through November, Madīnat an Naşr is dry and warm. It cools from 34°C by day and 21°C at night in September to 25°C and 14°C in November. Almost no rain.

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