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Karagandy weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Karagandy swings through a wide annual range, with 35.2°C between the monthly means of its warmest and coldest months. Rainfall is on the low side overall. Karagandy weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+6.0°Chigh well above average

15° / −3°Today
9° / −1°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.0°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49186frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 189 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 189 in the 1940s19days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 21 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 21 in the 1940s+1.0°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 26 mmhigh −11°low −19°February, rain 24 mmhigh −10°low −19°March, rain 28 mmhigh −3°low −12°April, rain 30 mmhigh 11°low −1°May, rain 38 mmhigh 19°low 6°June, rain 42 mmhigh 24°low 12°July, rain 47 mmhigh 26°low 14°August, rain 34 mmhigh 24°low 11°September, rain 26 mmhigh 18°low 6°October, rain 36 mmhigh 9°low −1°November, rain 32 mmhigh −2°low −10°December, rain 30 mmhigh −9°low −16°wettest month July, 47 mm · 393 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Clear

Right now

9.6°

6°feels like
37%humidity
−4°dew point
7 km/hfrom SW
UV index1.1
sunrise06:24sunset17:23day length10h 60m
TodayClear15°−3°
TueMostly clear14°2°
WedMostly clear14°0°
ThuClear6°−4°
FriMostly clear7°−7°
SatOvercast9°−2°
SunClear11°−3°

On this date: October 12

Today (forecast)
15° / −3°
Average for October 12
9° / −1°

High well above average · +6.0°C

  • Record high: 21.8° · 2004
  • Record low: −9.7° · 1959
  • One year ago: 2° / −2°

Every October 12 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 12 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Karagandy is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 49.80°N, 73.10°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
49.80°N, 73.10°E
Time zone
Asia/Almaty
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

25 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +2.8°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The warmest month is July, with typical afternoon highs of 26.0°C and nights around 13.9°C. Roughly 20 days a year now top 30°C. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about −11.1°C and overnight lows sit around −18.7°C. Around 185 days a year dip below freezing.

The yearly total for Karagandy comes to about 393 mm; monthly amounts range from 24 mm in February up to 47 mm in July.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Karagandy now averages 1.0°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. No period since 1940 has been warmer than the most recent decade.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 35°C. Wettest month: July (~47 mm). Whole year averages ~393 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 60 rainy days a year: most in July (~7), fewest in September (~4).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Karagandy month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightRecord highRecord low
January−11.1°−18.7°26 mm48.3 h4.6° (2002)−42.8° (1969)
February−10.2°−18.8°24 mm49.8 h5.2° (2016)−41.2° (1969)
March−3.0°−11.8°28 mm511.6 h22.5° (2014)−34.7° (1948)
April10.6°−1.0°30 mm513.5 h30.0° (2025)−22.5° (2018)
May19.0°6.0°38 mm515.2 h37.4° (2025)−8.9° (1969)
June24.4°11.8°42 mm516.1 h37.7° (2024)−1.0° (1992)
July26.0°13.9°47 mm715.7 h38.4° (2005)4.9° (1968)
August24.1°11.5°34 mm514.2 h38.9° (2002)0.5° (1971)
September18.1°5.5°26 mm412.3 h34.9° (1998)−7.3° (2022)
October8.5°−1.4°36 mm610.5 h27.7° (1970)−20.0° (1950)
November−2.3°−10.0°32 mm58.8 h16.3° (1997)−38.7° (1987)
December−8.8°−16.3°30 mm57.9 h9.9° (1989)−41.2° (2012)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.0°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.23°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Mar–May is warming fastest: +0.36°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 20.5 early in the record → 18.5 recently. Frost days: 189 → 186.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 2002, all-time low in 1969: 38.9°C / −42.8°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~393 mm/year on average. Last decade: +4% vs that average. Long-term trend: +10 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Karagandy

Which is the warmest month in Karagandy?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Karagandy is July (mean daily temperature of about 20.6°C) and the coolest is January (about −14.6°C).
How does today's temperature in Karagandy compare to the historical average?
On October 12, 2026, Karagandy is forecast to reach a high of 15.1°C and a low of −2.5°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 9.1°C and a low of −0.7°C, so today's high is 6.0°C warmer than that average.
How much has Karagandy warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Karagandy is about 1.0°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Karagandy?
Karagandy receives about 393 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with July typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Karagandy?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Karagandy is about 3.3°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Karagandy by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Karagandy (°C, full record since 1940): January −11°/−19°, February −10°/−19°, March −3°/−12°, April 11°/−1°, May 19°/6°, June 24°/12°, July 26°/14°, August 24°/11°, September 18°/6°, October 9°/−1°, November −2°/−10°, December −9°/−16°.
What is the weather like in Karagandy in summer?
Summer in Karagandy (June to August) is pleasantly warm. Expect 24–26°C by day and 11–14°C at night, with July the warmest month. Rain falls on about 6 days a month, adding up to around 41 mm. No season is wetter.
What is the weather like in Karagandy in winter?
December to February is winter in Karagandy, and it is freezing. Daytime highs sit at −11 to −9°C and nights at −19 to −16°C; February is the coldest month. Snow is steady at around 27 mm of precipitation a month, spread over roughly 5 days.
What is the weather like in Karagandy in spring?
Spring in Karagandy (March to May) is on the cool side. March is still −3°C in the afternoon and −12°C at night, May already 19°C and 6°C. Rain and snow fall on about 5 days a month, adding up to around 32 mm.
What is the weather like in Karagandy in autumn?
In autumn, September through November, Karagandy is on the cool side. It cools from 18°C by day and 6°C at night in September to −2°C and −10°C in November. Rain and snow are steady at around 31 mm a month, spread over roughly 5 days.
How many days a year does it rain in Karagandy?
On long-term average, Karagandy has about 60 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 393 mm.

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