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Pavlodar weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Seasons run to extremes in Pavlodar: monthly means span 38.3°C between the coldest month and the warmest. This is a dry climate by most measures, though not a rainless one. Pavlodar weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−0.5°Chigh near average

5° / 1°Today
6° / −3°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.1°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49182frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 184 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 184 in the 1940s23days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 26 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 26 in the 1940s+1.1°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 18 mmhigh −13°low −21°February, rain 15 mmhigh −11°low −20°March, rain 18 mmhigh −3°low −13°April, rain 21 mmhigh 11°low −1°May, rain 31 mmhigh 20°low 7°June, rain 39 mmhigh 25°low 13°July, rain 53 mmhigh 27°low 16°August, rain 42 mmhigh 24°low 12°September, rain 28 mmhigh 18°low 6°October, rain 29 mmhigh 9°low −1°November, rain 25 mmhigh −3°low −10°December, rain 22 mmhigh −10°low −18°wettest month July, 53 mm · 342 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Clear

Right now

2.2°

0°feels like
90%humidity
1°dew point
0 km/hfrom S
UV index0.0
sunrise06:36sunset16:35day length9h 59m
TodayOvercast5°1°
TueOvercast5°−1°
WedMostly clear7°1°
ThuOvercast6°0°
FriOvercast4°1°
SatPartly cloudy7°2°
SunPartly cloudy7°0°

On this date: October 26

Today (forecast)
5° / 1°
Average for October 26
6° / −3°

High near average · −0.5°C

  • Highest since 1940: 19.4° · 1991
  • Lowest since 1940: −17.8° · 1976
  • One year ago: 8° / −5°

Every October 26 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 26 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Pavlodar is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 52.28°N, 76.97°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
52.28°N, 76.97°E
Time zone
Asia/Almaty
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

23 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.5°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The warmest month is July, with typical afternoon highs of 27.0°C and nights around 15.6°C. In a typical recent year, around 25 days reach 30°C or more. In January, the coolest month, afternoons reach about −12.8°C and nights dip to −20.9°C. Around 180 days a year dip below freezing.

In total, Pavlodar averages about 342 mm of precipitation a year; July is usually the wettest month (53 mm) and February the driest (15 mm).

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Pavlodar has risen by 1.1°C between its first decade and its last. Recent years have brought more rain as well. The last decade sits roughly 12% over the long-term average.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 38°C. Wettest month: July (~53 mm). Whole year averages ~342 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 49 rainy days a year: most in July (~7), fewest in February (~2).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Pavlodar month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January−12.8°−20.9°18 mm38.0 h4.3° (2002)−44.9° (1969)
February−11.3°−20.5°15 mm29.6 h4.1° (2024)−43.6° (1951)
March−3.3°−12.6°18 mm311.5 h21.8° (2014)−38.6° (1954)
April11.0°−1.0°21 mm313.6 h32.1° (2020)−25.0° (1969)
May19.9°6.7°31 mm515.5 h37.9° (2025)−6.3° (1985)
June25.5°13.4°39 mm516.5 h40.6° (1941)0.9° (1987)
July27.0°15.6°53 mm716.1 h40.3° (1940)5.8° (1989)
August24.4°12.4°42 mm614.5 h38.7° (2002)1.2° (1967)
September18.3°6.4°28 mm412.4 h36.4° (2010)−5.2° (1954)
October8.5°−0.7°29 mm510.3 h28.7° (2004)−18.9° (1976)
November−2.9°−10.4°25 mm48.4 h15.5° (1998)−40.9° (1952)
December−9.8°−17.6°22 mm37.5 h6.2° (1989)−44.7° (2012)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.1°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.21°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Mar–May is warming fastest: +0.36°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 26.2 early in the record → 23.1 recently. Frost days: 184 → 182.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 1941, coldest in 1969: 40.6°C / −44.9°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~342 mm/year on average. Last decade: +12% vs that average. Long-term trend: +9 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Pavlodar

Which is the warmest month in Pavlodar?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Pavlodar is July (mean daily temperature of about 21.7°C) and the coolest is January (about −16.6°C).
How does today's temperature in Pavlodar compare to the historical average?
On October 26, 2026, Pavlodar is forecast to reach a high of 5.2°C and a low of 0.9°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 5.7°C and a low of −2.8°C, so today's high is 0.5°C cooler than that average.
How much has Pavlodar warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Pavlodar is about 1.1°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Pavlodar?
Pavlodar receives about 342 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with July typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Pavlodar?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Pavlodar is about 3.2°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Pavlodar by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Pavlodar (°C, full record since 1940): January −13°/−21°, February −11°/−20°, March −3°/−13°, April 11°/−1°, May 20°/7°, June 25°/13°, July 27°/16°, August 24°/12°, September 18°/6°, October 9°/−1°, November −3°/−10°, December −10°/−18°.
What is the weather like in Pavlodar in summer?
June to August is summer in Pavlodar, and it is pleasantly warm. Afternoons run 24–27°C and nights 12–16°C; July is the warmest month. Rain falls on about 6 days a month, adding up to around 45 mm. No season is wetter.
What is the weather like in Pavlodar in winter?
Winter in Pavlodar (December to February) is freezing. Expect −13 to −10°C by day and −21 to −18°C at night, with January the coldest month. Snow falls on about 3 days a month, adding up to around 19 mm of precipitation. No season is drier.
What is the weather like in Pavlodar in spring?
March to May is spring in Pavlodar, and it is on the cool side. It warms from −3°C by day and −13°C at night in March to 20°C and 7°C in May. Rain and snow rise from 18 mm on 3 days in March to 31 mm on 5 days in May.
What is the weather like in Pavlodar in autumn?
In autumn, September through November, Pavlodar is cold. September still brings 18°C afternoons and 6°C nights, November only −3°C and −10°C. Rain and snow are steady at around 27 mm a month, spread over roughly 4 days.
How many days a year does it rain in Pavlodar?
On long-term average, Pavlodar has about 49 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 342 mm.

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