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Guaratinguetá weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Guaratinguetá is warm in every month of the year; the seasonal dip amounts to just 6.3°C. Rainfall leans toward the stretch from October to March. Guaratinguetá weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−7.4°Chigh well below average

21° / 15°Today
28° / 19°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.8°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49129days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 25 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 25 in the 1940s+1.8°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 296 mmhigh 29°low 20°February, rain 232 mmhigh 29°low 20°March, rain 203 mmhigh 29°low 20°April, rain 103 mmhigh 27°low 18°May, rain 66 mmhigh 25°low 16°June, rain 43 mmhigh 24°low 14°July, rain 41 mmhigh 24°low 13°August, rain 47 mmhigh 26°low 14°September, rain 95 mmhigh 27°low 16°October, rain 172 mmhigh 28°low 18°November, rain 214 mmhigh 28°low 19°December, rain 289 mmhigh 28°low 20°wettest month January, 296 mm · 1,801 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

19.1°

21°feels like
90%humidity
17°dew point
5 km/hfrom SW
UV index0.1
sunrise05:19sunset18:09day length12h 51m
TodayOvercast21°15°
TueMostly clear25°12°
WedOvercast24°16°
ThuLight rain22°20°
FriShowers26°20°
SatPartly cloudy28°18°
SunPartly cloudy28°19°

On this date: October 26

Today (forecast)
21° / 15°
Average for October 26
28° / 19°

High well below average · −7.4°C

  • Highest since 1940: 34.5° · 2008
  • Lowest since 1940: 14.0° · 1983
  • One year ago: 32° / 18°

Every October 26 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 26 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Guaratinguetá is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 22.82°S, 45.19°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
22.82°S, 45.19°W
Time zone
America/Sao Paulo
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

19 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +0.7°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in February, at around 29.3°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 20.3°C. At the other extreme, July brings afternoon highs of about 24.0°C and typical overnight lows of 13.2°C.

Guaratinguetá picks up roughly 1,801 mm a year, with a peak of 296 mm in January and as little as 41 mm in July.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Guaratinguetá now averages 1.8°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. Days above 30°C have grown noticeably more frequent, from around 25 a year in the first decade to about 130 in the last.

Climate graph (climograph)

February is the warmest month, July the coolest: a yearly swing of 6°C. Wettest month: January (~296 mm). Whole year averages ~1,801 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Guaratinguetá month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightHighestLowest
January29.1°20.5°296 mm13.3 h37.4° (2015)13.1° (1943)
February29.3°20.3°232 mm12.8 h36.8° (2014)14.8° (1940)
March28.6°19.8°203 mm12.2 h34.5° (1977)13.4° (1979)
April27.0°18.1°103 mm11.5 h33.4° (2016)8.6° (1971)
May24.9°15.5°66 mm10.9 h33.2° (2024)6.8° (2022)
June24.0°13.8°43 mm10.6 h30.4° (2017)3.5° (1979)
July24.0°13.2°41 mm10.7 h31.4° (2022)3.8° (1994)
August25.7°14.2°47 mm11.2 h35.3° (2023)6.8° (1988)
September27.1°16.4°95 mm11.9 h36.8° (2023)7.6° (1980)
October27.5°18.3°172 mm12.5 h37.1° (2020)10.4° (1976)
November27.7°19.0°214 mm13.1 h37.1° (2023)11.8° (1955)
December28.4°20.0°289 mm13.4 h37.2° (2025)12.7° (1975)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.8°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.24°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.27°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 25.3 early in the record → 128.8 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2015, coldest in 1979: 37.4°C / 3.5°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~1,801 mm/year on average. Last decade: −16% vs that average. Long-term trend: −53 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Guaratinguetá

Which is the warmest month in Guaratinguetá?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Guaratinguetá is February (mean daily temperature of about 24.4°C) and the coolest is July (about 18.1°C).
How does today's temperature in Guaratinguetá compare to the historical average?
On October 26, 2026, Guaratinguetá is forecast to reach a high of 20.8°C and a low of 15.3°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 28.2°C and a low of 19.1°C, so today's high is 7.4°C cooler than that average.
How much has Guaratinguetá warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Guaratinguetá is about 1.8°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Guaratinguetá?
Guaratinguetá receives about 1,801 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with January typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Guaratinguetá?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Guaratinguetá is about 21.7°C. The warmest month is February and the coolest is July.
What are the average temperatures in Guaratinguetá by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Guaratinguetá (°C, full record since 1940): January 29°/20°, February 29°/20°, March 29°/20°, April 27°/18°, May 25°/16°, June 24°/14°, July 24°/13°, August 26°/14°, September 27°/16°, October 28°/18°, November 28°/19°, December 28°/20°.

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