WeatherJourney.com

Guadalajara weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Guadalajara rises at nearly 1,600 metres in the highlands of western Mexico, where a highland subtropical climate delivers a gloriously dry and warm winter and a summer that arrives with thunder, hail and the scent of rain on parched earth. Guadalajara weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−0.9°Chigh near average

26° / 16°Today
26° / 15°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+2.0°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49115days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 54 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 54 in the 1940s+2.0°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 18 mmhigh 24°low 10°February, rain 10 mmhigh 26°low 11°March, rain 5 mmhigh 29°low 13°April, rain 6 mmhigh 31°low 15°May, rain 21 mmhigh 32°low 17°June, rain 137 mmhigh 30°low 18°July, rain 202 mmhigh 27°low 17°August, rain 178 mmhigh 27°low 17°September, rain 144 mmhigh 27°low 17°October, rain 54 mmhigh 26°low 15°November, rain 11 mmhigh 26°low 12°December, rain 11 mmhigh 24°low 11°wettest month July, 202 mm · 797 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

23.9°

25°feels like
55%humidity
14°dew point
5 km/hfrom S
UV index0.1
sunrise06:49sunset18:27day length11h 37m
SunPartly cloudy26°16°
TodayPartly cloudy27°17°
TueMostly clear28°16°
WedPartly cloudy29°16°
ThuMostly clear29°16°
FriOvercast28°18°
SatOvercast23°19°

On this date: October 19

Today (forecast)
26° / 16°
Average for October 19
26° / 15°

High near average · −0.9°C

  • Highest since 1940: 31.0° · 2025
  • Lowest since 1940: 8.1° · 1944
  • One year ago: 31° / 18°

Every October 19 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 19 on record (n = 86). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Guadalajara is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 20.68°N, 103.35°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
20.68°N, 103.35°W
Time zone
America/Mexico City
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

26 of the last 30 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.3°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

Guadalajara sits at nearly 1,600 metres in the highlands of western Mexico, with a humid subtropical climate (Köppen Cwa) that its elevation makes considerably more comfortable than the low-lying tropics. The year divides sharply into two contrasting seasons: a long, warm and largely dry period from October through May, and a concentrated summer wet season from June through September, when the Intertropical Convergence Zone moves north and draws in the moisture-laden air that brings the rains. Winter days are warm and sunny; spring grows increasingly hot and dry before the rainy season arrives with relief.

The rainy season is driven by frequent afternoon convective storms, often delivering heavy rain and thunder, and sometimes hail, in a matter of hours. July is the wettest month, when a quarter or more of the annual total can fall in brief, concentrated bursts. The city's altitude insulates it from truly tropical heat, making Guadalajara broadly temperate in character.

The year peaks in May, at around 32.1°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 16.7°C. At the other extreme, January brings afternoon highs of about 23.9°C and typical overnight lows of 9.9°C. Frost is essentially unknown.

The yearly total for Guadalajara comes to about 797 mm; monthly amounts range from 5 mm in March up to 202 mm in July.

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Guadalajara has risen by 2.0°C between its first decade and its last. Days above 30°C have grown noticeably more frequent, from around 55 a year in the first decade to about 115 in the last.

Sources:en.wikipedia.orgbritannica.com

Climate graph (climograph)

May is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 8°C. Wettest month: July (~202 mm). Whole year averages ~797 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Guadalajara month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightHighestLowest
January23.9°9.9°18 mm10.9 h30.1° (2021)1.2° (1955)
February25.9°11.0°10 mm11.3 h34.0° (2009)0.6° (1960)
March28.6°12.7°5 mm11.9 h34.5° (2020)1.9° (2016)
April30.8°14.7°6 mm12.5 h36.2° (2002)7.3° (1941)
May32.1°16.7°21 mm13.0 h37.9° (2024)10.7° (2010)
June30.0°18.1°137 mm13.2 h38.9° (2023)13.4° (1944)
July27.1°17.2°202 mm13.1 h32.8° (2023)13.4° (1949)
August27.0°17.1°178 mm12.7 h32.2° (2023)13.7° (1973)
September26.6°16.8°144 mm12.1 h32.4° (1957)8.0° (1979)
October26.4°14.8°54 mm11.5 h31.5° (1982)6.5° (1952)
November25.7°12.2°11 mm11.0 h30.7° (2023)3.9° (1979)
December24.1°10.6°11 mm10.8 h29.5° (2024)0.5° (1997)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +2.0°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.23°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Jun–Aug is warming fastest: +0.25°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 54.2 early in the record → 115.0 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2023, coldest in 1997: 38.9°C / 0.5°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~797 mm/year on average. Last decade: +8% vs that average. Long-term trend: +27 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Guadalajara

Which is the warmest month in Guadalajara?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Guadalajara is May (mean daily temperature of about 24.2°C) and the coolest is January (about 16.7°C).
How does today's temperature in Guadalajara compare to the historical average?
On October 19, 2026, Guadalajara is forecast to reach a high of 25.5°C and a low of 15.5°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 26.4°C and a low of 14.7°C, so today's high is 0.9°C cooler than that average.
How much has Guadalajara warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Guadalajara is about 2.0°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Guadalajara?
Guadalajara receives about 797 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with July typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Guadalajara?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Guadalajara is about 20.4°C. The warmest month is May and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Guadalajara by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Guadalajara (°C, full record since 1940): January 24°/10°, February 26°/11°, March 29°/13°, April 31°/15°, May 32°/17°, June 30°/18°, July 27°/17°, August 27°/17°, September 27°/17°, October 26°/15°, November 26°/12°, December 24°/11°.
What is the weather like in Guadalajara in summer?
June to August is summer in Guadalajara, and it is wet and warm. Afternoons run 27–30°C and nights 17–18°C; June is the warmest month. About 172 mm of rain a month. It is the wettest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Guadalajara in winter?
Winter in Guadalajara (December to February) is dry and pleasantly warm. Expect 24–26°C by day and 10–11°C at night, with January the coldest month. About 13 mm of rain a month.
What is the weather like in Guadalajara in spring?
March to May is spring in Guadalajara, and it is dry and hot. Daytime highs sit at 29–32°C and nights at 13–17°C; May is the warmest month. Rain picks up through the season, 5 mm in March to 21 mm in May. It is the driest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Guadalajara in autumn?
In autumn, September through November, Guadalajara is warm. Afternoons run 26–27°C and nights 12–17°C; November is the coldest month. Rain eases through the season, 144 mm in September to 11 mm in November.

Weather in nearby cities