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Etobicoke weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Etobicoke swings through a wide annual range, with 26.7°C between the monthly means of its warmest and coldest months. Rainfall is spread quite evenly across the year. Etobicoke weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+2.0°Chigh above average

16° / 6°Today
13° / 5°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.5°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49117frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 135 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 135 in the 1940s12days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 9 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 9 in the 1940s+1.5°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 60 mmhigh −1°low −9°February, rain 54 mmhigh −1°low −9°March, rain 66 mmhigh 4°low −4°April, rain 74 mmhigh 12°low 2°May, rain 77 mmhigh 18°low 8°June, rain 75 mmhigh 24°low 14°July, rain 73 mmhigh 27°low 17°August, rain 68 mmhigh 26°low 16°September, rain 71 mmhigh 21°low 12°October, rain 72 mmhigh 15°low 7°November, rain 72 mmhigh 8°low 1°December, rain 70 mmhigh 1°low −5°wettest month May, 77 mm · 833 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Clear

Right now

9.2°

7°feels like
80%humidity
6°dew point
11 km/hfrom N
UV index0.0
sunrise07:39sunset18:26day length10h 48m
TodayClear16°6°
WedClear14°3°
ThuClear18°8°
FriClear13°9°
SatClear16°8°
SunOvercast19°9°
MonMostly clear17°9°

On this date: October 20

Today (forecast)
16° / 6°
Average for October 20
13° / 5°

High above average · +2.0°C

  • Highest since 1940: 22.9° · 1963
  • Lowest since 1940: −5.1° · 1972
  • One year ago: 15° / 10°

Every October 20 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 20 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Etobicoke is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 43.64°N, 79.57°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
43.64°N, 79.57°W
Time zone
America/Toronto
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

18 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.2°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

July brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 26.5°C and nights around 16.6°C. In January, the coolest month, afternoons reach about −1.4°C and nights dip to −8.8°C. Frost shows up on around 115 mornings a year.

Etobicoke picks up roughly 833 mm a year, with a peak of 77 mm in May and as little as 54 mm in February.

The record here starts in 1940, and since then the annual mean in Etobicoke has climbed 1.5°C from the first ten years to the last ten. That last decade has also been the warmest in the record.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 27°C. Wettest month: May (~77 mm). Whole year averages ~833 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 95 rainy days a year: most in May (~9), fewest in February (~7).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Etobicoke month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January−1.4°−8.8°60 mm89.1 h18.2° (1950)−28.2° (1981)
February−0.6°−8.8°54 mm710.3 h16.5° (2017)−28.6° (1967)
March4.3°−4.1°66 mm811.6 h25.4° (1986)−26.0° (1980)
April11.5°2.3°74 mm913.2 h31.1° (1990)−11.9° (1972)
May18.0°8.0°77 mm914.5 h32.7° (2012)−2.9° (1956)
June23.6°13.5°75 mm815.2 h35.4° (1952)0.2° (1964)
July26.5°16.6°73 mm814.9 h37.1° (2011)6.1° (1961)
August25.6°16.2°68 mm813.8 h37.1° (1948)4.6° (1976)
September21.5°12.3°71 mm712.3 h35.7° (1953)−0.4° (1957)
October14.8°6.6°72 mm810.8 h30.1° (2007)−6.6° (1969)
November7.6°1.0°72 mm89.4 h24.5° (1950)−15.6° (1958)
December1.4°−5.0°70 mm88.8 h18.7° (1982)−30.1° (1980)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.5°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.18°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.32°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 8.5 early in the record → 11.9 recently. Frost days: 135 → 117.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 1948, coldest in 1980: 37.1°C / −30.1°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~833 mm/year on average. Last decade: +3% vs that average. Long-term trend: +6 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Etobicoke

Which is the warmest month in Etobicoke?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Etobicoke is July (mean daily temperature of about 21.4°C) and the coolest is January (about −5.3°C).
How does today's temperature in Etobicoke compare to the historical average?
On October 20, 2026, Etobicoke is forecast to reach a high of 15.5°C and a low of 6.4°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 13.5°C and a low of 5.3°C, so today's high is 2.0°C warmer than that average.
How much has Etobicoke warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Etobicoke is about 1.5°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Etobicoke?
Etobicoke receives about 833 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with May typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Etobicoke?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Etobicoke is about 8.2°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Etobicoke by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Etobicoke (°C, full record since 1940): January −1°/−9°, February −1°/−9°, March 4°/−4°, April 12°/2°, May 18°/8°, June 24°/14°, July 27°/17°, August 26°/16°, September 21°/12°, October 15°/7°, November 8°/1°, December 1°/−5°.
What is the weather like in Etobicoke in summer?
Summer in Etobicoke (June to August) is pleasantly warm. Expect 24–27°C by day and 14–17°C at night, with July the warmest month. Rain is steady at around 72 mm a month, spread over roughly 8 days.
What is the weather like in Etobicoke in winter?
In winter, December through February, Etobicoke is cold, with afternoons close to freezing. Daytime highs sit at −1 to 1°C and nights at −9 to −5°C; January is the coldest month. Rain and snow are steady at around 62 mm a month, spread over roughly 7 days.
What is the weather like in Etobicoke in spring?
March to May is spring in Etobicoke, and it is cool. It warms from 4°C by day and −4°C at night in March to 18°C and 8°C in May. Rain is steady at around 72 mm a month, spread over roughly 8 days.
What is the weather like in Etobicoke in autumn?
Autumn in Etobicoke (September to November) is cool. It cools from 21°C by day and 12°C at night in September to 8°C and 1°C in November. Rain falls on about 8 days a month, adding up to around 72 mm.
How many days a year does it rain in Etobicoke?
On long-term average, Etobicoke has about 95 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 833 mm.

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