Cuernavaca weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends
Temperature-wise, the seasons in Cuernavaca are gentle: monthly means drift only 5.1°C over the whole year. Rainfall is strongly seasonal: the bulk of the year's rain falls between May and October. Cuernavaca weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.
Today vs average
+0.8°Chigh near average
How it's changed
+2.3°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4973days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 11 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 11 in the 1940s+2.3°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 13 mmhigh 25°low 10°February, rain 11 mmhigh 26°low 11°March, rain 14 mmhigh 29°low 13°April, rain 39 mmhigh 30°low 15°May, rain 138 mmhigh 29°low 16°June, rain 246 mmhigh 27°low 17°July, rain 197 mmhigh 26°low 16°August, rain 216 mmhigh 26°low 16°September, rain 235 mmhigh 26°low 17°October, rain 109 mmhigh 26°low 15°November, rain 29 mmhigh 25°low 12°December, rain 9 mmhigh 25°low 11°wettest month June, 246 mm · 1,255 mm a yearsee month by month →Right now
What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.Right now
23.0°
On this date: October 26
High near average · +0.8°C
- Highest since 1940: 30.1° · 2012
- Lowest since 1940: 8.0° · 2011
- One year ago: 29° / 14°
Every October 26 in history, coldest to hottest
Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 26 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.
Area we sample
Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.
Location & data
Historical weather for Cuernavaca is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 18.93°N, 99.23°W, with daily records since 1940.
- Coordinates
- 18.93°N, 99.23°W
- Time zone
- America/Mexico City
- Period
- 1940–2026
- Data source
- ERA5 (ECMWF)
Last 30 days
31 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.5°C.
Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.
This date over the years
One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.
Weather by month
Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.Climate overview
The year peaks in April, at around 29.8°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 14.8°C. In January, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 24.6°C and nights dip to 10.4°C. Freezing temperatures almost never occur.
The yearly total for Cuernavaca comes to about 1,255 mm; monthly amounts range from 9 mm in December up to 246 mm in June.
Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Cuernavaca now averages 2.3°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. The count of days past 30°C has risen from roughly 11 a year to 75 between the record's first and last decades.
Climate graph (climograph)
April is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 5°C. Wettest month: June (~246 mm). Whole year averages ~1,255 mm of rain.
Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).
Monthly wind
Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.
Monthly solar energy
Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.
Cuernavaca month by month: what to expect
Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.
| Month | Avg high | Avg low | Rain | Daylight | Highest | Lowest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 24.6° | 10.4° | 13 mm | 11.0 h | 31.6° (2021) | 3.1° (2006) |
| February | 26.4° | 11.3° | 11 mm | 11.4 h | 32.9° (2009) | 3.7° (1976) |
| March | 28.5° | 13.1° | 14 mm | 11.9 h | 35.0° (1977) | 5.4° (2013) |
| April | 29.8° | 14.8° | 39 mm | 12.4 h | 35.2° (1999) | 7.9° (1943) |
| May | 29.1° | 15.8° | 138 mm | 12.9 h | 36.4° (2024) | 9.4° (1944) |
| June | 26.8° | 16.6° | 246 mm | 13.1 h | 35.4° (2024) | 11.3° (1956) |
| July | 26.2° | 16.3° | 197 mm | 13.0 h | 32.0° (2014) | 10.4° (1943) |
| August | 26.4° | 16.3° | 216 mm | 12.6 h | 31.6° (2015) | 11.6° (1951) |
| September | 25.9° | 16.5° | 235 mm | 12.1 h | 31.7° (1987) | 9.3° (1979) |
| October | 25.9° | 14.9° | 109 mm | 11.6 h | 32.1° (2005) | 7.1° (1952) |
| November | 25.4° | 12.5° | 29 mm | 11.1 h | 31.7° (1996) | 5.2° (1950) |
| December | 24.6° | 10.8° | 9 mm | 10.9 h | 30.8° (1996) | 4.4° (2006) |
How it's changed
Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.Climate stripes
Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +2.3°C.
Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer
Annual mean temperature
Long-term trend: +0.33°C per decade.
One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.
Seasonal warming
Mar–May is warming fastest: +0.37°C per decade.
Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.
Hot days vs frost days
Days ≥ 30°C per year: 10.9 early in the record → 72.5 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.
Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.
Yearly hot & cold extremes
Hottest day since 1940 in 2024, coldest in 2006: 36.4°C / 3.1°C.
One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.
Annual rainfall
~1,255 mm/year on average. Last decade: +28% vs that average. Long-term trend: +68 mm per decade.
One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).
Day-by-day grid
Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).
Frequently asked questions about Cuernavaca
Which is the warmest month in Cuernavaca?
How does today's temperature in Cuernavaca compare to the historical average?
How much has Cuernavaca warmed since 1940?
How much does it rain in Cuernavaca?
What is the average temperature in Cuernavaca?
What are the average temperatures in Cuernavaca by month?
What is the weather like in Cuernavaca in summer?
What is the weather like in Cuernavaca in winter?
What is the weather like in Cuernavaca in spring?
What is the weather like in Cuernavaca in autumn?
Weather in nearby cities
- Cuautla29°/17°today+0.9°vs average
- Xochimilco21°/13°today−1.0°vs average
- Tlalpan21°/12°today−1.1°vs average
- Magdalena Contreras21°/12°today−0.2°vs average
- Tláhuac21°/12°today−1.1°vs average
- Coyoacán23°/13°today+1.1°vs average
- Álvaro Obregón21°/12°today−0.2°vs average
- Xico21°/12°today−1.1°vs average
- Delegación Cuajimalpa de Morelos19°/10°today−0.2°vs average
- Huixquilucan17°/10°today−1.7°vs average