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Cheltenham weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Cheltenham has well-marked seasons, with 12.6°C between its warmest and coolest monthly means. Rainfall is spread quite evenly across the year. Cheltenham weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−1.1°Chigh near average

14° / 6°Today
15° / 9°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.4°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4925frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 51 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 51 in the 1940s17days above 25°C a year now (2016–2025) · 11 in the 1940sdays above 25°C · 11 in the 1940s+1.4°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 61 mmhigh 7°low 2°February, rain 48 mmhigh 7°low 2°March, rain 55 mmhigh 10°low 3°April, rain 56 mmhigh 12°low 5°May, rain 69 mmhigh 16°low 8°June, rain 62 mmhigh 19°low 11°July, rain 60 mmhigh 21°low 13°August, rain 62 mmhigh 20°low 12°September, rain 59 mmhigh 18°low 10°October, rain 64 mmhigh 14°low 8°November, rain 63 mmhigh 10°low 4°December, rain 61 mmhigh 7°low 3°wettest month May, 69 mm · 722 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

12.1°

8°feels like
60%humidity
5°dew point
13 km/hfrom SW
UV index0.0
sunrise07:20sunset18:30day length11h 09m
TodayOvercast14°6°
FriDrizzle18°11°
SatPartly cloudy13°9°
SunOvercast14°6°
MonDrizzle17°10°
TueMostly clear18°12°
WedLight rain17°10°

On this date: October 8

Today (forecast)
14° / 6°
Average for October 8
15° / 9°

High near average · −1.1°C

  • Record high: 23.2° · 1995
  • Record low: 1.4° · 1943
  • One year ago: 17° / 8°

Every October 8 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 8 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Cheltenham is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 51.90°N, 2.08°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
51.90°N, 2.08°W
Time zone
Europe/London
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

26 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +2.1°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The warmest month is July, with typical afternoon highs of 20.7°C and nights around 12.6°C. In a typical recent year, around 15 days reach 25°C or more. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 6.5°C and overnight lows sit around 1.7°C.

In total, Cheltenham averages about 722 mm of precipitation a year; May is usually the wettest month (69 mm) and February the driest (48 mm).

The record here starts in 1940, and since then the annual mean in Cheltenham has climbed 1.4°C from the first ten years to the last ten. Where the first decade averaged 50 frost days a year, the recent one saw about 25.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 13°C. Wettest month: May (~69 mm). Whole year averages ~722 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 101 rainy days a year: most in May (~10), fewest in February (~7).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Cheltenham month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightRecord highRecord low
January6.5°1.7°61 mm98.0 h14.1° (2015)−21.3° (1940)
February7.2°1.7°48 mm79.7 h18.3° (2019)−13.4° (1985)
March9.7°3.0°55 mm911.5 h21.5° (2021)−10.3° (1947)
April12.5°4.6°56 mm913.6 h25.6° (2003)−3.6° (1978)
May15.7°7.6°69 mm1015.4 h27.5° (1947)−1.1° (1945)
June18.7°10.6°62 mm816.4 h30.6° (2025)1.2° (1962)
July20.7°12.6°60 mm816.0 h36.5° (2022)5.7° (1965)
August20.4°12.4°62 mm814.4 h33.8° (2020)5.3° (1964)
September17.9°10.4°59 mm712.4 h29.8° (2021)1.7° (1943)
October14.1°7.7°64 mm810.3 h27.7° (2011)−3.4° (1950)
November9.7°4.4°63 mm98.5 h17.5° (2005)−7.8° (1952)
December7.4°2.7°61 mm97.6 h15.4° (2015)−14.2° (1981)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.4°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.21°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.30°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 25°C per year: 10.7 early in the record → 16.6 recently. Frost days: 51 → 25.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 2022, all-time low in 1940: 36.5°C / −21.3°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~722 mm/year on average. Last decade: +13% vs that average. Long-term trend: +28 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Cheltenham

Which is the warmest month in Cheltenham?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Cheltenham is July (mean daily temperature of about 16.8°C) and the coolest is January (about 4.2°C).
How does today's temperature in Cheltenham compare to the historical average?
On October 8, 2026, Cheltenham is forecast to reach a high of 14.3°C and a low of 5.9°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 15.4°C and a low of 8.6°C, so today's high is 1.1°C cooler than that average.
How much has Cheltenham warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Cheltenham is about 1.4°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Cheltenham?
Cheltenham receives about 722 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with May typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Cheltenham?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Cheltenham is about 10.1°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Cheltenham by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Cheltenham (°C, full record since 1940): January 7°/2°, February 7°/2°, March 10°/3°, April 12°/5°, May 16°/8°, June 19°/11°, July 21°/13°, August 20°/12°, September 18°/10°, October 14°/8°, November 10°/4°, December 7°/3°.
What is the weather like in Cheltenham in summer?
In summer, June through August, Cheltenham is mild. Daytime highs sit at 19–21°C and nights at 11–13°C; July is the warmest month. Rain falls on about 8 days a month, adding up to around 62 mm.
What is the weather like in Cheltenham in winter?
Winter in Cheltenham (December to February) is cold. Afternoons run 7°C and nights 2–3°C; January is the coldest month. Rain is steady at around 57 mm a month, spread over roughly 8 days.
What is the weather like in Cheltenham in spring?
Spring in Cheltenham (March to May) is cool. March is still 10°C in the afternoon and 3°C at night, May already 16°C and 8°C. Rain falls on about 9 days a month, adding up to around 60 mm.
What is the weather like in Cheltenham in autumn?
In autumn, September through November, Cheltenham is cool. September is still 18°C by day and 10°C at night; by November it is down to 10°C and 4°C. Rain is steady at around 62 mm a month, spread over roughly 8 days.
How many days a year does it rain in Cheltenham?
On long-term average, Cheltenham has about 101 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 722 mm.

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