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Al Maḩallah al Kubrá weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Average temperatures in Al Maḩallah al Kubrá follow a clear seasonal rhythm, rising and falling by 14.3°C over the course of the year. Precipitation is scarce in every season. Al Maḩallah al Kubrá weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−3.5°Chigh well below average

26° / 15°Today
30° / 18°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.6°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49183days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 177 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 177 in the 1940s+1.6°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 11 mmhigh 20°low 9°February, rain 9 mmhigh 21°low 9°March, rain 8 mmhigh 24°low 11°April, rain 3 mmhigh 28°low 13°May, rain 2 mmhigh 32°low 17°June, rain 0 mmhigh 34°low 20°July, rain 0 mmhigh 35°low 22°August, rain 0 mmhigh 35°low 22°September, rain 1 mmhigh 33°low 21°October, rain 4 mmhigh 30°low 18°November, rain 7 mmhigh 26°low 14°December, rain 8 mmhigh 21°low 11°wettest month January, 11 mm · 55 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Partly cloudy

Right now

22.6°

21°feels like
50%humidity
12°dew point
15 km/hfrom N
UV index0.0
sunrise07:00sunset18:19day length11h 19m
TodayPartly cloudy26°15°
TueOvercast27°15°
WedMostly clear28°15°
ThuMostly clear29°17°
FriMostly clear30°18°
SatMostly clear30°16°
SunOvercast29°16°

On this date: October 19

Today (forecast)
26° / 15°
Average for October 19
30° / 18°

High well below average · −3.5°C

  • Highest since 1940: 38.4° · 2009
  • Lowest since 1940: 13.2° · 1956
  • One year ago: 31° / 16°

Every October 19 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 19 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Al Maḩallah al Kubrá is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 30.97°N, 31.17°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
30.97°N, 31.17°E
Time zone
Africa/Cairo
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

8 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: −0.9°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

August brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 34.8°C and nights around 22.2°C. In a typical recent year, around 185 days reach 30°C or more. In January, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 19.5°C and nights dip to 8.8°C. Freezing temperatures almost never occur.

Al Maḩallah al Kubrá averages only about 55 mm a year, and what little falls comes mostly around January.

The record here starts in 1940, and since then the annual mean in Al Maḩallah al Kubrá has climbed 1.6°C from the first ten years to the last ten. That last decade has also been the warmest in the record.

Climate graph (climograph)

August is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 14°C. Wettest month: January (~11 mm). Whole year averages ~55 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Al Maḩallah al Kubrá month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightHighestLowest
January19.5°8.8°11 mm10.2 h29.8° (1971)0.6° (1942)
February20.7°9.3°9 mm10.9 h34.9° (1958)−0.1° (1950)
March23.6°10.9°8 mm11.8 h39.8° (1958)3.7° (1976)
April27.9°13.5°3 mm12.8 h43.6° (1979)5.6° (1997)
May31.8°16.6°2 mm13.6 h46.7° (1942)9.6° (1987)
June34.4°19.9°0 mm14.0 h47.1° (1944)13.5° (1991)
July34.9°21.8°0 mm13.8 h44.0° (1956)16.7° (1992)
August34.8°22.2°0 mm13.1 h43.4° (1945)17.8° (1992)
September33.4°20.8°1 mm12.2 h43.4° (1943)15.1° (1941)
October30.3°18.1°4 mm11.2 h42.8° (1943)11.0° (1988)
November25.7°14.4°7 mm10.4 h39.0° (1941)5.4° (1953)
December21.2°10.5°8 mm10.0 h32.5° (1956)2.7° (1970)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.6°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.17°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Sep–Nov is warming fastest: +0.23°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 177.3 early in the record → 183.2 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 1944, coldest in 1950: 47.1°C / −0.1°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~55 mm/year on average. Last decade: −7% vs that average. Long-term trend: −1 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Al Maḩallah al Kubrá

Which is the warmest month in Al Maḩallah al Kubrá?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Al Maḩallah al Kubrá is August (mean daily temperature of about 27.9°C) and the coolest is January (about 13.6°C).
How does today's temperature in Al Maḩallah al Kubrá compare to the historical average?
On October 19, 2026, Al Maḩallah al Kubrá is forecast to reach a high of 26.4°C and a low of 15.2°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 29.9°C and a low of 17.8°C, so today's high is 3.5°C cooler than that average.
How much has Al Maḩallah al Kubrá warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Al Maḩallah al Kubrá is about 1.6°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Al Maḩallah al Kubrá?
Al Maḩallah al Kubrá receives about 55 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with January typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Al Maḩallah al Kubrá?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Al Maḩallah al Kubrá is about 21.3°C. The warmest month is August and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Al Maḩallah al Kubrá by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Al Maḩallah al Kubrá (°C, full record since 1940): January 20°/9°, February 21°/9°, March 24°/11°, April 28°/13°, May 32°/17°, June 34°/20°, July 35°/22°, August 35°/22°, September 33°/21°, October 30°/18°, November 26°/14°, December 21°/11°.
What is the weather like in Al Maḩallah al Kubrá in summer?
June to August is summer in Al Maḩallah al Kubrá, and it is dry and hot. Afternoons run 34–35°C and nights 20–22°C; July is the warmest month. Almost no rain.
What is the weather like in Al Maḩallah al Kubrá in winter?
Winter in Al Maḩallah al Kubrá (December to February) is dry and mild. Expect 20–21°C by day and 9–11°C at night, with January the coldest month. Hardly any rain falls.
What is the weather like in Al Maḩallah al Kubrá in spring?
Spring in Al Maḩallah al Kubrá (March to May) is dry and warm. March starts at 24°C by day and 11°C at night; by May it is 32°C and 17°C. Almost no rain.
What is the weather like in Al Maḩallah al Kubrá in autumn?
In autumn, September through November, Al Maḩallah al Kubrá is dry and warm. It cools from 33°C by day and 21°C at night in September to 26°C and 14°C in November. Hardly any rain falls.

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