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Aktau weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Seasons run to extremes in Aktau: monthly means span 28.6°C between the coldest month and the warmest. Rain is a rare event here. Aktau weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−0.2°Chigh near average

14° / 7°Today
14° / 6°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.3°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4972frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 97 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 97 in the 1940s72days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 68 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 68 in the 1940s+1.3°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 17 mmhigh 2°low −4°February, rain 17 mmhigh 3°low −4°March, rain 20 mmhigh 9°low 1°April, rain 19 mmhigh 17°low 7°May, rain 16 mmhigh 24°low 14°June, rain 13 mmhigh 29°low 19°July, rain 10 mmhigh 32°low 22°August, rain 9 mmhigh 31°low 21°September, rain 12 mmhigh 25°low 15°October, rain 16 mmhigh 17°low 8°November, rain 17 mmhigh 9°low 2°December, rain 19 mmhigh 4°low −2°wettest month March, 20 mm · 185 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

7.1°

2°feels like
31%humidity
−9°dew point
16 km/hfrom E
UV index0.0
sunrise08:03sunset18:35day length10h 32m
TodayOvercast14°7°
TueClear16°6°
WedClear18°6°
ThuClear17°7°
FriClear17°7°
SatOvercast17°10°
SunOvercast17°12°

On this date: October 26

Today (forecast)
14° / 7°
Average for October 26
14° / 6°

High near average · −0.2°C

  • Highest since 1940: 21.0° · 2019
  • Lowest since 1940: −3.2° · 1987
  • One year ago: 20° / 10°

Every October 26 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 26 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Aktau is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 43.66°N, 51.17°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
43.66°N, 51.17°E
Time zone
Asia/Aqtau
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

26 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +3.9°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

July brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 32.1°C and nights around 22.3°C. Roughly 70 days a year now top 30°C. At the other extreme, January brings afternoon highs of about 1.8°C and typical overnight lows of −4.2°C.

The annual total in Aktau is just 185 mm or so, with March the most likely month to see any of it.

The record here starts in 1940, and since then the annual mean in Aktau has climbed 1.3°C from the first ten years to the last ten. Where the first decade averaged 95 frost days a year, the recent one saw about 70.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 29°C. Wettest month: March (~20 mm). Whole year averages ~185 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 25 rainy days a year: most in March (~3), fewest in August (~1).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Aktau month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January1.8°−4.2°17 mm29.1 h12.9° (1966)−24.2° (1972)
February3.0°−4.1°17 mm210.3 h17.8° (1958)−27.3° (1969)
March8.6°0.6°20 mm311.6 h24.9° (2025)−22.8° (1954)
April16.7°7.4°19 mm213.2 h29.7° (1950)−3.5° (1957)
May23.6°14.0°16 mm214.5 h36.4° (2021)3.4° (2003)
June29.1°19.3°13 mm215.2 h40.1° (2022)8.8° (2018)
July32.1°22.3°10 mm114.9 h41.0° (2002)13.9° (1992)
August31.3°21.2°9 mm113.8 h41.1° (2015)8.9° (1980)
September25.0°15.0°12 mm212.3 h38.3° (2010)0.5° (1973)
October16.7°8.0°16 mm210.8 h29.3° (2018)−7.2° (1968)
November9.0°2.2°17 mm29.4 h21.5° (1952)−15.3° (1950)
December3.6°−2.0°19 mm38.8 h15.7° (2021)−17.3° (1948)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.3°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.20°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.29°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 67.9 early in the record → 72.3 recently. Frost days: 97 → 72.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2015, coldest in 1969: 41.1°C / −27.3°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~185 mm/year on average. Last decade: +1% vs that average. Long-term trend: +5 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Aktau

Which is the warmest month in Aktau?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Aktau is July (mean daily temperature of about 27.5°C) and the coolest is January (about −1.1°C).
How does today's temperature in Aktau compare to the historical average?
On October 26, 2026, Aktau is forecast to reach a high of 13.7°C and a low of 6.9°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 13.9°C and a low of 5.9°C, so today's high is about equal to that average.
How much has Aktau warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Aktau is about 1.3°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Aktau?
Aktau receives about 185 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with March typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Aktau?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Aktau is about 12.7°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Aktau by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Aktau (°C, full record since 1940): January 2°/−4°, February 3°/−4°, March 9°/1°, April 17°/7°, May 24°/14°, June 29°/19°, July 32°/22°, August 31°/21°, September 25°/15°, October 17°/8°, November 9°/2°, December 4°/−2°.
What is the weather like in Aktau in summer?
In summer, June through August, Aktau is dry and hot. Daytime highs sit at 29–32°C and nights at 19–22°C; July is the warmest month. Rain falls on about 1 day a month, adding up to around 11 mm. It is the driest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Aktau in winter?
Winter in Aktau (December to February) is dry and cold. Afternoons run 2–4°C and nights −4 to −2°C; January is the coldest month. Rain and snow fall on about 2 days a month, adding up to around 17 mm.
What is the weather like in Aktau in spring?
Spring in Aktau (March to May) is dry and fairly mild. March is still 9°C in the afternoon and 1°C at night, May already 24°C and 14°C. Rain falls on about 2 days a month, adding up to around 18 mm.
What is the weather like in Aktau in autumn?
In autumn, September through November, Aktau is dry and fairly mild. September is still 25°C by day and 15°C at night; by November it is down to 9°C and 2°C. Rain is steady at around 15 mm a month, spread over roughly 2 days.
How many days a year does it rain in Aktau?
On long-term average, Aktau has about 25 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 185 mm.

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