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Grozny weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Grozny swings through a wide annual range, with 25.5°C between the monthly means of its warmest and coldest months. The heavier rain months run from April to September. Grozny weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+4.3°Chigh well above average

21° / 15°Today
16° / 7°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+2.2°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4962frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 106 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 106 in the 1940s62days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 35 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 35 in the 1940s+2.2°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 39 mmhigh 2°low −5°February, rain 40 mmhigh 4°low −4°March, rain 52 mmhigh 9°low 0°April, rain 61 mmhigh 17°low 6°May, rain 80 mmhigh 22°low 12°June, rain 80 mmhigh 26°low 16°July, rain 72 mmhigh 29°low 19°August, rain 67 mmhigh 29°low 19°September, rain 62 mmhigh 24°low 14°October, rain 54 mmhigh 17°low 8°November, rain 44 mmhigh 10°low 2°December, rain 41 mmhigh 4°low −2°wettest month May, 80 mm · 691 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

16.0°

16°feels like
81%humidity
13°dew point
4 km/hfrom NE
UV index0.0
sunrise06:17sunset17:06day length10h 50m
TodayOvercast21°15°
WedOvercast20°14°
ThuLight rain19°16°
FriLight rain16°14°
SatOvercast18°14°
SunOvercast17°14°
MonOvercast16°12°

On this date: October 20

Today (forecast)
21° / 15°
Average for October 20
16° / 7°

High well above average · +4.3°C

  • Highest since 1940: 23.2° · 2009
  • Lowest since 1940: −3.0° · 1949
  • One year ago: 15° / 9°

Every October 20 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 20 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Grozny is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 43.31°N, 45.69°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
43.31°N, 45.69°E
Time zone
Europe/Moscow
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

25 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +2.4°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

July brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 29.2°C and nights around 19.2°C. Roughly 60 days a year now top 30°C. In January, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 2.1°C and nights dip to −4.8°C.

The yearly total for Grozny comes to about 691 mm; monthly amounts range from 39 mm in January up to 80 mm in May.

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Grozny has risen by 2.2°C between its first decade and its last. Frost days have thinned out, from around 105 a year in the first decade to about 60 now.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 26°C. Wettest month: May (~80 mm). Whole year averages ~691 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 87 rainy days a year: most in May (~10), fewest in November (~6).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Grozny month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January2.1°−4.8°39 mm79.1 h17.2° (2023)−28.5° (1940)
February3.6°−4.0°40 mm610.3 h21.6° (1958)−27.2° (1969)
March8.9°0.3°52 mm711.6 h31.0° (2008)−19.5° (2025)
April16.6°6.4°61 mm813.2 h31.4° (1998)−8.1° (2004)
May22.0°12.0°80 mm1014.5 h34.8° (2007)−0.3° (1952)
June26.4°16.3°80 mm915.2 h37.1° (2018)6.9° (1967)
July29.2°19.2°72 mm714.9 h41.2° (2011)11.0° (1992)
August29.1°18.7°67 mm713.8 h40.0° (2014)9.8° (1950)
September23.7°14.0°62 mm712.3 h39.7° (2010)−0.7° (1956)
October16.8°7.8°54 mm710.8 h31.2° (1998)−8.0° (1977)
November9.6°2.3°44 mm69.5 h23.4° (2023)−22.3° (1953)
December4.2°−2.4°41 mm68.8 h18.5° (1961)−23.0° (1948)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +2.2°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.29°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.37°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 35.2 early in the record → 62.3 recently. Frost days: 106 → 62.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2011, coldest in 1940: 41.2°C / −28.5°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~691 mm/year on average. Last decade: −16% vs that average. Long-term trend: −2 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Grozny

Which is the warmest month in Grozny?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Grozny is July (mean daily temperature of about 24.2°C) and the coolest is January (about −1.3°C).
How does today's temperature in Grozny compare to the historical average?
On October 20, 2026, Grozny is forecast to reach a high of 20.5°C and a low of 15.3°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 16.2°C and a low of 7.3°C, so today's high is 4.3°C warmer than that average.
How much has Grozny warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Grozny is about 2.2°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Grozny?
Grozny receives about 691 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with May typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Grozny?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Grozny is about 11.6°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Grozny by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Grozny (°C, full record since 1940): January 2°/−5°, February 4°/−4°, March 9°/0°, April 17°/6°, May 22°/12°, June 26°/16°, July 29°/19°, August 29°/19°, September 24°/14°, October 17°/8°, November 10°/2°, December 4°/−2°.
What is the weather like in Grozny in summer?
June to August is summer in Grozny, and it is warm. Expect 26–29°C by day and 16–19°C at night, with July the warmest month. Rain is steady at around 73 mm a month, spread over roughly 8 days.
What is the weather like in Grozny in winter?
Winter in Grozny (December to February) is cold. Daytime highs sit at 2–4°C and nights at −5 to −2°C; January is the coldest month. Rain and snow fall on about 6 days a month, adding up to around 40 mm. No season is drier.
What is the weather like in Grozny in spring?
March to May is spring in Grozny, and it is fairly mild. March starts at 9°C by day and 0°C at night; by May it is 22°C and 12°C. Rain rises from 52 mm on 7 days in March to 80 mm on 10 days in May.
What is the weather like in Grozny in autumn?
Autumn in Grozny (September to November) is fairly mild. It cools from 24°C by day and 14°C at night in September to 10°C and 2°C in November. Rain falls on about 7 days a month, adding up to around 53 mm.
How many days a year does it rain in Grozny?
On long-term average, Grozny has about 87 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 691 mm.

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