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Vasyl'evsky Ostrov weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Seasons run to extremes in Vasyl'evsky Ostrov: monthly means span 24.0°C between the coldest month and the warmest. The heavier rain months run from June to November. Vasyl'evsky Ostrov weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+2.5°Chigh above average

8° / 2°Today
6° / 2°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+2.4°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49132frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 164 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 164 in the 1940s16days above 25°C a year now (2016–2025) · 4 in the 1940sdays above 25°C · 4 in the 1940s+2.4°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 50 mmhigh −5°low −9°February, rain 39 mmhigh −5°low −9°March, rain 40 mmhigh 0°low −6°April, rain 42 mmhigh 7°low 0°May, rain 48 mmhigh 13°low 5°June, rain 61 mmhigh 18°low 9°July, rain 71 mmhigh 20°low 13°August, rain 81 mmhigh 19°low 12°September, rain 72 mmhigh 14°low 8°October, rain 70 mmhigh 7°low 3°November, rain 66 mmhigh 2°low −2°December, rain 57 mmhigh −2°low −6°wettest month August, 81 mm · 698 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Partly cloudy

Right now

8.1°

6°feels like
66%humidity
2°dew point
8 km/hfrom E
UV index0.7
sunrise07:53sunset17:33day length9h 40m
TodayMostly clear8°2°
ThuClear10°3°
FriOvercast9°5°
SatOvercast12°8°
SunDrizzle11°8°
MonPartly cloudy11°9°
TueClear10°6°

On this date: October 21

Today (forecast)
8° / 2°
Average for October 21
6° / 2°

High above average · +2.5°C

  • Highest since 1940: 12.1° · 2021
  • Lowest since 1940: −5.1° · 1976
  • One year ago: 7° / 1°

Every October 21 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 21 on record (n = 86). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Vasyl'evsky Ostrov is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 59.94°N, 30.25°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
59.94°N, 30.25°E
Time zone
Europe/Moscow
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

28 of the last 30 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +2.4°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in July, at around 20.4°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 13.0°C. In a typical recent year, around 15 days reach 25°C or more. In January, the coolest month, afternoons reach about −4.8°C and nights dip to −9.3°C. Frost shows up on around 130 mornings a year.

In total, Vasyl'evsky Ostrov averages about 698 mm of precipitation a year; August is usually the wettest month (81 mm) and February the driest (39 mm).

The record here starts in 1940, and since then the annual mean in Vasyl'evsky Ostrov has climbed 2.4°C from the first ten years to the last ten. Recent years have brought more rain as well. The last decade sits roughly 11% over the long-term average.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 24°C. Wettest month: August (~81 mm). Whole year averages ~698 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 105 rainy days a year: most in November (~10), fewest in February (~7).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Vasyl'evsky Ostrov month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January−4.8°−9.3°50 mm96.4 h7.2° (2007)−37.0° (1987)
February−4.5°−9.4°39 mm78.8 h6.6° (1990)−31.6° (1979)
March−0.1°−6.1°40 mm711.3 h14.6° (2025)−24.3° (1963)
April6.7°−0.5°42 mm714.2 h23.2° (2000)−14.3° (1960)
May13.1°4.9°48 mm716.8 h30.2° (2014)−5.6° (1953)
June17.5°9.5°61 mm818.4 h33.5° (2021)0.3° (1962)
July20.4°13.0°71 mm917.7 h33.1° (2010)6.3° (1987)
August19.0°12.1°81 mm1015.3 h33.2° (2010)3.8° (1993)
September13.9°8.0°72 mm1012.5 h26.1° (1996)−2.5° (1973)
October7.3°3.0°70 mm109.7 h18.7° (1974)−10.2° (1992)
November1.6°−1.7°66 mm107.1 h11.7° (2022)−19.9° (1992)
December−2.1°−5.9°57 mm105.6 h9.5° (2006)−32.3° (1978)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +2.4°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.29°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Mar–May is warming fastest: +0.42°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 25°C per year: 3.8 early in the record → 15.5 recently. Frost days: 164 → 132.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2021, coldest in 1987: 33.5°C / −37.0°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~698 mm/year on average. Last decade: +11% vs that average. Long-term trend: +15 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Vasyl'evsky Ostrov

Which is the warmest month in Vasyl'evsky Ostrov?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Vasyl'evsky Ostrov is July (mean daily temperature of about 17.0°C) and the coolest is January (about −6.9°C).
How does today's temperature in Vasyl'evsky Ostrov compare to the historical average?
On October 21, 2026, Vasyl'evsky Ostrov is forecast to reach a high of 8.2°C and a low of 1.7°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 5.7°C and a low of 1.9°C, so today's high is 2.5°C warmer than that average.
How much has Vasyl'evsky Ostrov warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Vasyl'evsky Ostrov is about 2.4°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Vasyl'evsky Ostrov?
Vasyl'evsky Ostrov receives about 698 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with August typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Vasyl'evsky Ostrov?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Vasyl'evsky Ostrov is about 4.7°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Vasyl'evsky Ostrov by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Vasyl'evsky Ostrov (°C, full record since 1940): January −5°/−9°, February −5°/−9°, March 0°/−6°, April 7°/0°, May 13°/5°, June 18°/9°, July 20°/13°, August 19°/12°, September 14°/8°, October 7°/3°, November 2°/−2°, December −2°/−6°.
What is the weather like in Vasyl'evsky Ostrov in summer?
Summer in Vasyl'evsky Ostrov (June to August) is mild. Afternoons run 18–20°C and nights 9–13°C; July is the warmest month. Rain falls on about 9 days a month, adding up to around 71 mm.
What is the weather like in Vasyl'evsky Ostrov in winter?
In winter, December through February, Vasyl'evsky Ostrov is cold, with afternoons close to freezing. Expect −5 to −2°C by day and −9 to −6°C at night, with February the coldest month. Snow falls on about 8 days a month, adding up to around 49 mm of precipitation.
What is the weather like in Vasyl'evsky Ostrov in spring?
March to May is spring in Vasyl'evsky Ostrov, and it is cold. March is still 0°C in the afternoon and −6°C at night, May already 13°C and 5°C. Rain and snow fall on about 7 days a month, adding up to around 44 mm.
What is the weather like in Vasyl'evsky Ostrov in autumn?
In autumn, September through November, Vasyl'evsky Ostrov is cold. It cools from 14°C by day and 8°C at night in September to 2°C and −2°C in November. Rain and snow are steady at around 69 mm a month, spread over roughly 10 days.
How many days a year does it rain in Vasyl'evsky Ostrov?
On long-term average, Vasyl'evsky Ostrov has about 105 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 698 mm.

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