WeatherJourney.com

Tokushima weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Tokushima swings through a wide annual range, with 20.7°C between the monthly means of its warmest and coldest months. The heavier rain months run from May to October. Tokushima weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+12.3°Chigh well above average

34° / 21°Today
21° / 16°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+2.0°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–491frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 4 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 4 in the 1940s54days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 10 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 10 in the 1940s+2.0°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 69 mmhigh 10°low 5°February, rain 85 mmhigh 11°low 5°March, rain 124 mmhigh 14°low 8°April, rain 164 mmhigh 19°low 12°May, rain 194 mmhigh 22°low 17°June, rain 293 mmhigh 25°low 21°July, rain 257 mmhigh 29°low 25°August, rain 212 mmhigh 30°low 26°September, rain 297 mmhigh 27°low 23°October, rain 207 mmhigh 22°low 17°November, rain 116 mmhigh 17°low 12°December, rain 66 mmhigh 12°low 7°wettest month September, 297 mm · 2,084 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

23.3°

22°feels like
72%humidity
18°dew point
29 km/hfrom NW
UV index0.0
sunrise06:11sunset17:21day length11h 10m
TodayMostly clear34°21°
ThuOvercast21°17°
FriOvercast23°15°
SatOvercast24°19°
SunLight rain25°21°
MonOvercast23°21°
TueOvercast26°17°

On this date: October 21

Today (forecast)
34° / 21°
Average for October 21
21° / 16°

High well above average · +12.3°C

  • Highest since 1940: 26.5° · 1997
  • Lowest since 1940: 9.9° · 1984
  • One year ago: 19° / 15°

Every October 21 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 21 on record (n = 86). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Tokushima is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 34.07°N, 134.57°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
34.07°N, 134.57°E
Time zone
Asia/Tokyo
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

21 of the last 30 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.2°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in August, at around 30.3°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 25.6°C. Around 130 nights a year stay above 20°C. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 10.0°C and overnight lows sit around 4.7°C.

Tokushima picks up roughly 2,084 mm a year, with a peak of 297 mm in September and as little as 66 mm in December. Precipitation falls on roughly 130 days in a typical year.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Tokushima now averages 2.0°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. Days above 30°C have grown noticeably more frequent, from around 10 a year in the first decade to about 55 in the last.

Climate graph (climograph)

August is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 21°C. Wettest month: September (~297 mm). Whole year averages ~2,084 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 130 rainy days a year: most in July (~16), fewest in December (~5).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Tokushima month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January10.0°4.7°69 mm610.0 h19.9° (1969)−2.8° (1978)
February10.5°4.9°85 mm710.8 h21.6° (1962)−4.3° (1981)
March13.8°7.6°124 mm1011.7 h23.4° (1979)−1.3° (1977)
April18.6°12.4°164 mm1112.9 h27.2° (2016)3.3° (1963)
May22.3°16.6°194 mm1213.8 h28.7° (1991)9.0° (1947)
June25.3°20.8°293 mm1614.3 h32.2° (2001)13.8° (1981)
July29.2°24.8°257 mm1614.1 h35.2° (2024)18.3° (1966)
August30.3°25.6°212 mm1513.3 h35.0° (1998)19.2° (1956)
September27.3°22.6°297 mm1512.2 h33.9° (2024)14.5° (1987)
October22.2°17.0°207 mm1011.1 h30.6° (1998)7.9° (1942)
November17.4°11.9°116 mm710.2 h27.2° (2000)3.1° (1966)
December12.5°7.1°66 mm59.7 h22.7° (2018)−0.6° (1976)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +2.0°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.23°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Sep–Nov is warming fastest: +0.26°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 10.0 early in the record → 54.1 recently. Frost days: 4 → 1.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2024, coldest in 1981: 35.2°C / −4.3°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~2,084 mm/year on average. Last decade: +2% vs that average. Long-term trend: +29 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Tokushima

Which is the warmest month in Tokushima?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Tokushima is August (mean daily temperature of about 27.8°C) and the coolest is January (about 7.1°C).
How does today's temperature in Tokushima compare to the historical average?
On October 21, 2026, Tokushima is forecast to reach a high of 33.6°C and a low of 20.5°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 21.3°C and a low of 16.0°C, so today's high is 12.3°C warmer than that average.
How much has Tokushima warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Tokushima is about 2.0°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Tokushima?
Tokushima receives about 2,084 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with September typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Tokushima?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Tokushima is about 17.2°C. The warmest month is August and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Tokushima by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Tokushima (°C, full record since 1940): January 10°/5°, February 11°/5°, March 14°/8°, April 19°/12°, May 22°/17°, June 25°/21°, July 29°/25°, August 30°/26°, September 27°/23°, October 22°/17°, November 17°/12°, December 12°/7°.
What is the weather like in Tokushima in summer?
In summer, June through August, Tokushima is wet and warm. June starts at 25°C by day and 21°C at night; by August it is 30°C and 26°C. Rain falls on about 15 days a month, adding up to around 254 mm. No season is wetter.
What is the weather like in Tokushima in winter?
December to February is winter in Tokushima, and it is on the cool side. Daytime highs sit at 10–12°C and nights at 5–7°C; January is the coldest month. Rain is steady at around 73 mm a month, spread over roughly 6 days. No season is drier.
What is the weather like in Tokushima in spring?
Spring in Tokushima (March to May) is wet and mild. It warms from 14°C by day and 8°C at night in March to 22°C and 17°C in May. Rain picks up through the season: 10 rainy days and 124 mm in March, 12 days and 194 mm in May.
What is the weather like in Tokushima in autumn?
Autumn in Tokushima (September to November) is wet and pleasantly warm. September is still 27°C by day and 23°C at night; by November it is down to 17°C and 12°C. Rain falls off from 297 mm on 15 days in September to 116 mm on 7 days in November.
How many days a year does it rain in Tokushima?
On long-term average, Tokushima has about 130 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 2,084 mm.

Weather in nearby cities