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Tōkai weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Seasons run to extremes in Tōkai: monthly means span 22.8°C between the coldest month and the warmest. The heavier rain months run from May to October. Tōkai weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

0.0°Chigh near average

20° / 18°Today
20° / 12°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+3.3°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4912frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 65 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 65 in the 1940s70days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 17 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 17 in the 1940s+3.3°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 47 mmhigh 9°low 1°February, rain 61 mmhigh 10°low 1°March, rain 100 mmhigh 14°low 5°April, rain 122 mmhigh 19°low 10°May, rain 144 mmhigh 23°low 15°June, rain 203 mmhigh 26°low 20°July, rain 196 mmhigh 30°low 24°August, rain 147 mmhigh 31°low 24°September, rain 196 mmhigh 28°low 21°October, rain 151 mmhigh 22°low 14°November, rain 82 mmhigh 17°low 8°December, rain 50 mmhigh 12°low 3°wettest month June, 203 mm · 1,498 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Light rain

Right now

18.5°

20°feels like
96%humidity
18°dew point
7 km/hfrom NW
UV index0.5
sunrise06:07sunset17:04day length10h 57m
TodayLight rain20°18°
TueMostly clear23°16°
WedClear17°9°
ThuOvercast19°9°
FriOvercast17°14°
SatClear19°12°
SunMostly clear18°10°

On this date: October 26

Today (forecast)
20° / 18°
Average for October 26
20° / 12°

High near average · 0.0°C

  • Highest since 1940: 25.5° · 2016
  • Lowest since 1940: 5.8° · 1982
  • One year ago: 22° / 16°

Every October 26 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 26 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Tōkai is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 35.02°N, 136.91°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
35.02°N, 136.91°E
Time zone
Asia/Tokyo
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

26 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +2.0°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

August brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 31.1°C and nights around 24.4°C. Roughly 70 days a year now top 30°C. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 9.1°C and overnight lows sit around 1.0°C.

Tōkai picks up roughly 1,498 mm a year, with a peak of 203 mm in June and as little as 47 mm in January.

The record here starts in 1940, and since then the annual mean in Tōkai has climbed 3.3°C from the first ten years to the last ten. Frost days have thinned out, from around 65 a year in the first decade to about 12 now.

Climate graph (climograph)

August is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 23°C. Wettest month: June (~203 mm). Whole year averages ~1,498 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 103 rainy days a year: most in July (~13), fewest in January (~4).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Tōkai month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January9.1°1.0°47 mm49.9 h18.6° (1969)−7.2° (1981)
February10.0°1.5°61 mm510.7 h22.0° (2024)−10.2° (1968)
March13.6°4.6°100 mm811.7 h24.5° (2018)−4.0° (1941)
April18.8°10.1°122 mm912.9 h29.8° (2005)−0.3° (1965)
May23.0°15.0°144 mm913.8 h32.7° (1958)4.8° (1949)
June26.0°19.5°203 mm1214.3 h37.7° (2022)10.2° (1969)
July29.6°23.6°196 mm1314.1 h39.3° (1994)13.6° (1966)
August31.1°24.4°147 mm1213.3 h39.7° (1994)14.9° (1956)
September27.7°20.8°196 mm1212.2 h36.5° (1994)10.3° (1992)
October22.2°14.4°151 mm911.1 h31.9° (2013)4.4° (1949)
November16.9°8.4°82 mm610.1 h26.7° (2023)−0.5° (2013)
December11.6°3.3°50 mm49.7 h22.4° (2015)−4.2° (2014)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +3.3°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.37°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.38°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 17.0 early in the record → 69.5 recently. Frost days: 65 → 12.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 1994, coldest in 1968: 39.7°C / −10.2°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~1,498 mm/year on average. Last decade: +5% vs that average. Long-term trend: +21 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Tōkai

Which is the warmest month in Tōkai?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Tōkai is August (mean daily temperature of about 27.5°C) and the coolest is January (about 4.7°C).
How does today's temperature in Tōkai compare to the historical average?
On October 26, 2026, Tōkai is forecast to reach a high of 20.4°C and a low of 17.9°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 20.4°C and a low of 12.2°C, so today's high is about equal to that average.
How much has Tōkai warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Tōkai is about 3.3°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Tōkai?
Tōkai receives about 1,498 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with June typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Tōkai?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Tōkai is about 15.9°C. The warmest month is August and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Tōkai by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Tōkai (°C, full record since 1940): January 9°/1°, February 10°/1°, March 14°/5°, April 19°/10°, May 23°/15°, June 26°/20°, July 30°/24°, August 31°/24°, September 28°/21°, October 22°/14°, November 17°/8°, December 12°/3°.
What is the weather like in Tōkai in summer?
Summer in Tōkai (June to August) is wet and warm. June starts at 26°C by day and 20°C at night; by August it is 31°C and 24°C. Rain falls on about 12 days a month, adding up to around 182 mm. It is the wettest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Tōkai in winter?
In winter, December through February, Tōkai is on the cool side. Expect 9–12°C by day and 1–3°C at night, with January the coldest month. Rain is steady at around 53 mm a month, spread over roughly 5 days. It is the driest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Tōkai in spring?
March to May is spring in Tōkai, and it is wet and mild. March starts at 14°C by day and 5°C at night; by May it is 23°C and 15°C. Rain falls on about 9 days a month, adding up to around 122 mm.
What is the weather like in Tōkai in autumn?
In autumn, September through November, Tōkai is wet and pleasantly warm. September is still 28°C by day and 21°C at night; by November it is down to 17°C and 8°C. Rain falls off from 196 mm on 12 days in September to 82 mm on 6 days in November.
How many days a year does it rain in Tōkai?
On long-term average, Tōkai has about 103 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 1,498 mm.

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