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Tula weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Seasons run to extremes in Tula: monthly means span 27.6°C between the coldest month and the warmest. Rainfall leans toward the stretch from May to October. Tula weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+10.9°Chigh well above average

21° / 11°Today
10° / 3°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+3.1°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49141frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 178 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 178 in the 1940s7days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 2 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 2 in the 1940s+3.1°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 49 mmhigh −6°low −12°February, rain 43 mmhigh −5°low −11°March, rain 43 mmhigh 0°low −6°April, rain 49 mmhigh 10°low 1°May, rain 61 mmhigh 18°low 7°June, rain 73 mmhigh 21°low 12°July, rain 88 mmhigh 23°low 14°August, rain 70 mmhigh 22°low 12°September, rain 61 mmhigh 16°low 7°October, rain 60 mmhigh 8°low 2°November, rain 55 mmhigh 1°low −4°December, rain 55 mmhigh −4°low −8°wettest month July, 88 mm · 706 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Mostly clear

Right now

16.5°

15°feels like
65%humidity
10°dew point
10 km/hfrom S
UV index1.1
sunrise06:52sunset17:40day length10h 48m
TodayMostly clear21°11°
TueOvercast16°10°
WedLight rain12°10°
ThuOvercast16°10°
FriMostly clear18°11°
SatOvercast15°10°
SunOvercast13°10°

On this date: October 12

Today (forecast)
21° / 11°
Average for October 12
10° / 3°

High well above average · +10.9°C

  • Record high: 19.2° · 2014
  • Record low: −5.6° · 1966
  • One year ago: 9° / 5°

Every October 12 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 12 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Tula is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 54.20°N, 37.62°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
54.20°N, 37.62°E
Time zone
Europe/Moscow
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

27 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +2.3°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The warmest month is July, with typical afternoon highs of 23.3°C and nights around 13.8°C. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about −6.2°C and overnight lows sit around −11.6°C. Around 140 days a year dip below freezing.

Tula picks up roughly 706 mm a year, with a peak of 88 mm in July and as little as 43 mm in March.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Tula now averages 3.1°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. No period since 1940 has been warmer than the most recent decade.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 28°C. Wettest month: July (~88 mm). Whole year averages ~706 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 100 rainy days a year: most in July (~11), fewest in March (~7).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Tula month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightRecord highRecord low
January−6.2°−11.6°49 mm87.6 h7.6° (2025)−42.7° (1940)
February−5.2°−11.4°43 mm79.5 h7.9° (2020)−34.5° (1956)
March0.2°−6.5°43 mm711.5 h18.7° (2024)−26.6° (1964)
April10.0°1.3°49 mm713.8 h28.2° (2012)−17.2° (1952)
May17.7°7.4°61 mm815.8 h32.3° (2007)−3.1° (1972)
June21.5°11.6°73 mm1016.9 h34.5° (2010)0.8° (1978)
July23.3°13.8°88 mm1116.4 h38.2° (2010)4.7° (2009)
August22.1°12.2°70 mm914.6 h38.9° (2010)0.2° (1966)
September16.1°7.3°61 mm812.4 h30.3° (2024)−5.6° (1996)
October8.5°2.0°60 mm810.2 h24.5° (1999)−15.8° (1968)
November0.9°−3.7°55 mm88.2 h17.0° (2013)−26.1° (1998)
December−3.5°−8.3°55 mm87.1 h9.2° (2015)−37.1° (1978)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +3.1°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.40°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.65°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 2.0 early in the record → 6.8 recently. Frost days: 178 → 141.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 2010, all-time low in 1940: 38.9°C / −42.7°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~706 mm/year on average. Last decade: +2% vs that average. Long-term trend: +9 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Tula

Which is the warmest month in Tula?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Tula is July (mean daily temperature of about 18.8°C) and the coolest is January (about −8.7°C).
How does today's temperature in Tula compare to the historical average?
On October 12, 2026, Tula is forecast to reach a high of 20.7°C and a low of 11.4°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 9.8°C and a low of 2.7°C, so today's high is 10.9°C warmer than that average.
How much has Tula warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Tula is about 3.1°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Tula?
Tula receives about 706 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with July typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Tula?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Tula is about 5.3°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Tula by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Tula (°C, full record since 1940): January −6°/−12°, February −5°/−11°, March 0°/−6°, April 10°/1°, May 18°/7°, June 21°/12°, July 23°/14°, August 22°/12°, September 16°/7°, October 8°/2°, November 1°/−4°, December −4°/−8°.
What is the weather like in Tula in summer?
In summer, June through August, Tula is pleasantly warm. Daytime highs sit at 21–23°C and nights at 12–14°C; July is the warmest month. Rain is steady at around 77 mm a month, spread over roughly 10 days. It is the wettest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Tula in winter?
December to February is winter in Tula, and it is cold, with afternoons close to freezing. Afternoons run −6 to −4°C and nights −12 to −8°C; January is the coldest month. Snow falls on about 8 days a month, adding up to around 49 mm of precipitation.
What is the weather like in Tula in spring?
In spring, March through May, Tula is on the cool side. It warms from 0°C by day and −6°C at night in March to 18°C and 7°C in May. Rain and snow are steady at around 51 mm a month, spread over roughly 7 days.
What is the weather like in Tula in autumn?
Autumn in Tula (September to November) is on the cool side. September still brings 16°C afternoons and 7°C nights, November only 1°C and −4°C. Rain and snow fall on about 8 days a month, adding up to around 58 mm.
How many days a year does it rain in Tula?
On long-term average, Tula has about 100 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 706 mm.

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