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Toamasina weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Warmth in Toamasina is remarkably steady: only 4.5°C separates the warmest month from the coolest, so there is no cold season to speak of. The heavier rain months run from January to May. Toamasina weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+3.3°Chigh well above average

27° / 21°Today
24° / 23°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+0.8°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49212days above 25°C a year now (2016–2025) · 167 in the 1940sdays above 25°C · 167 in the 1940s+0.8°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 316 mmhigh 27°low 25°February, rain 287 mmhigh 27°low 25°March, rain 332 mmhigh 27°low 25°April, rain 241 mmhigh 26°low 24°May, rain 205 mmhigh 25°low 23°June, rain 201 mmhigh 23°low 22°July, rain 201 mmhigh 23°low 21°August, rain 152 mmhigh 22°low 21°September, rain 93 mmhigh 23°low 21°October, rain 87 mmhigh 24°low 22°November, rain 109 mmhigh 25°low 24°December, rain 201 mmhigh 26°low 25°wettest month March, 332 mm · 2,424 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

21.6°

25°feels like
94%humidity
21°dew point
4 km/hfrom N
UV index0.0
sunrise05:09sunset17:44day length12h 35m
TodayMostly clear27°21°
WedClear29°22°
ThuPartly cloudy29°24°
FriPartly cloudy29°24°
SatOvercast28°24°
SunOvercast25°23°
MonPartly cloudy26°23°

On this date: October 20

Today (forecast)
27° / 21°
Average for October 20
24° / 23°

High well above average · +3.3°C

  • Highest since 1940: 26.1° · 2023
  • Lowest since 1940: 20.8° · 1966
  • One year ago: 25° / 24°

Every October 20 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 20 on record (n = 86). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Toamasina is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 18.15°S, 49.40°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
18.15°S, 49.40°E
Time zone
Indian/Antananarivo
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

25 of the last 30 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +0.8°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in February, at around 27.1°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 25.2°C. In August, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 22.5°C and nights dip to 20.7°C.

The yearly total for Toamasina comes to about 2,424 mm; monthly amounts range from 87 mm in October up to 332 mm in March.

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Toamasina has risen by 0.8°C between its first decade and its last. No period since 1940 has been warmer than the most recent decade.

Climate graph (climograph)

February is the warmest month, August the coolest: a yearly swing of 5°C. Wettest month: March (~332 mm). Whole year averages ~2,424 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Toamasina month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightHighestLowest
January27.0°25.1°316 mm13.0 h31.9° (2015)21.4° (1989)
February27.1°25.2°287 mm12.6 h32.3° (2004)23.2° (1972)
March26.8°24.9°332 mm12.1 h31.0° (2025)22.7° (1972)
April26.0°24.2°241 mm11.6 h28.7° (2019)21.7° (1974)
May24.8°23.0°205 mm11.1 h27.6° (2001)19.9° (1950)
June23.4°21.6°201 mm10.9 h26.7° (2010)18.9° (1965)
July22.6°20.8°201 mm11.0 h25.2° (2011)17.9° (2008)
August22.5°20.7°152 mm11.4 h24.7° (2023)17.9° (1950)
September22.9°21.2°93 mm11.9 h25.3° (2023)17.7° (1943)
October24.0°22.4°87 mm12.4 h26.5° (2023)18.2° (2006)
November25.2°23.6°109 mm12.9 h28.1° (1979)21.0° (2015)
December26.4°24.6°201 mm13.1 h29.6° (1978)22.3° (1965)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +0.8°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.11°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Jun–Aug is warming fastest: +0.12°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 25°C per year: 167.2 early in the record → 212.2 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2004, coldest in 1943: 32.3°C / 17.7°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~2,424 mm/year on average. Last decade: +6% vs that average. Long-term trend: +8 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Toamasina

Which is the warmest month in Toamasina?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Toamasina is February (mean daily temperature of about 26.2°C) and the coolest is August (about 21.7°C).
How does today's temperature in Toamasina compare to the historical average?
On October 20, 2026, Toamasina is forecast to reach a high of 27.4°C and a low of 21.4°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 24.1°C and a low of 22.6°C, so today's high is 3.3°C warmer than that average.
How much has Toamasina warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Toamasina is about 0.8°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Toamasina?
Toamasina receives about 2,424 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with March typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Toamasina?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Toamasina is about 24.1°C. The warmest month is February and the coolest is August.
What are the average temperatures in Toamasina by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Toamasina (°C, full record since 1940): January 27°/25°, February 27°/25°, March 27°/25°, April 26°/24°, May 25°/23°, June 23°/22°, July 23°/21°, August 22°/21°, September 23°/21°, October 24°/22°, November 25°/24°, December 26°/25°.

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