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Thika weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Temperature-wise, the seasons in Thika are gentle: monthly means drift only 3.0°C over the whole year. The heavier rain months run from March to May. Thika weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+6.3°Chigh well above average

31° / 17°Today
25° / 15°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.2°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–496days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 2 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 2 in the 1940s+1.2°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 51 mmhigh 26°low 14°February, rain 44 mmhigh 27°low 15°March, rain 92 mmhigh 27°low 15°April, rain 205 mmhigh 25°low 16°May, rain 171 mmhigh 24°low 15°June, rain 65 mmhigh 23°low 14°July, rain 45 mmhigh 22°low 13°August, rain 42 mmhigh 23°low 13°September, rain 33 mmhigh 25°low 13°October, rain 94 mmhigh 25°low 15°November, rain 161 mmhigh 24°low 15°December, rain 81 mmhigh 24°low 14°wettest month April, 205 mm · 1,085 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Clear

Right now

30.3°

29°feels like
33%humidity
12°dew point
15 km/hfrom NE
UV index12.6
sunrise06:12sunset18:20day length12h 08m
TodayMostly clear31°17°
ThuMostly clear32°18°
FriMostly clear32°17°
SatPartly cloudy31°18°
SunOvercast31°18°
MonPartly cloudy30°15°
TueOvercast29°17°

On this date: October 21

Today (forecast)
31° / 17°
Average for October 21
25° / 15°

High well above average · +6.3°C

  • Highest since 1940: 27.4° · 2025
  • Lowest since 1940: 11.9° · 1976
  • One year ago: 27° / 14°

Every October 21 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 21 on record (n = 86). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Thika is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 1.03°S, 37.07°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
1.03°S, 37.07°E
Time zone
Africa/Nairobi
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

28 of the last 30 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.4°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The warmest month is March, with typical afternoon highs of 26.6°C and nights around 15.3°C. In July, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 22.1°C and nights dip to 13.0°C. Freezing temperatures almost never occur.

Thika picks up roughly 1,085 mm a year, with a peak of 205 mm in April and as little as 33 mm in September.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Thika now averages 1.2°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. Recent years have brought less rain as well. The last decade sits roughly 12% under the long-term average.

Climate graph (climograph)

March is the warmest month, July the coolest: a yearly swing of 3°C. Wettest month: April (~205 mm). Whole year averages ~1,085 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Thika month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightHighestLowest
January25.5°14.0°51 mm12.1 h30.6° (1968)8.3° (1968)
February26.8°14.5°44 mm12.0 h31.6° (1944)9.7° (1978)
March26.6°15.3°92 mm12.0 h31.9° (2019)11.0° (1979)
April25.0°16.0°205 mm12.0 h30.5° (2019)12.0° (1989)
May23.7°15.4°171 mm12.0 h28.0° (2022)9.4° (1978)
June22.8°13.8°65 mm11.9 h27.5° (2011)9.2° (1954)
July22.1°13.0°45 mm11.9 h28.4° (2007)7.8° (1944)
August22.7°13.0°42 mm12.0 h31.2° (2021)8.0° (1969)
September24.8°13.4°33 mm12.0 h30.3° (1944)8.0° (1970)
October25.2°14.6°94 mm12.0 h30.0° (2024)9.7° (1967)
November23.7°14.9°161 mm12.0 h28.8° (2021)10.3° (1975)
December24.1°14.3°81 mm12.1 h29.1° (1987)10.0° (1975)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.2°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.19°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Mar–May is warming fastest: +0.23°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 2.2 early in the record → 5.9 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2019, coldest in 1944: 31.9°C / 7.8°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~1,085 mm/year on average. Last decade: −12% vs that average. Long-term trend: −15 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Thika

Which is the warmest month in Thika?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Thika is March (mean daily temperature of about 20.4°C) and the coolest is July (about 17.3°C).
How does today's temperature in Thika compare to the historical average?
On October 21, 2026, Thika is forecast to reach a high of 31.2°C and a low of 17.0°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 24.9°C and a low of 15.0°C, so today's high is 6.3°C warmer than that average.
How much has Thika warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Thika is about 1.2°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Thika?
Thika receives about 1,085 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with April typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Thika?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Thika is about 18.9°C. The warmest month is March and the coolest is July.
What are the average temperatures in Thika by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Thika (°C, full record since 1940): January 26°/14°, February 27°/15°, March 27°/15°, April 25°/16°, May 24°/15°, June 23°/14°, July 22°/13°, August 23°/13°, September 25°/13°, October 25°/15°, November 24°/15°, December 24°/14°.

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