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Shagamu weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Warmth in Shagamu is remarkably steady: only 3.1°C separates the warmest month from the coolest, so there is no cold season to speak of. The heavier rain months run from April to October. Shagamu weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+4.0°Chigh well above average

33° / 25°Today
29° / 23°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.7°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49220days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 114 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 114 in the 1940s+1.7°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 46 mmhigh 31°low 23°February, rain 73 mmhigh 32°low 24°March, rain 144 mmhigh 31°low 25°April, rain 195 mmhigh 30°low 25°May, rain 257 mmhigh 30°low 24°June, rain 279 mmhigh 28°low 23°July, rain 239 mmhigh 27°low 23°August, rain 170 mmhigh 27°low 22°September, rain 217 mmhigh 28°low 23°October, rain 215 mmhigh 29°low 23°November, rain 108 mmhigh 30°low 24°December, rain 53 mmhigh 31°low 23°wettest month June, 279 mm · 1,997 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Fog

Right now

25.3°

32°feels like
97%humidity
25°dew point
2 km/hfrom NW
UV index0.1
sunrise06:31sunset18:27day length11h 56m
TodayOvercast33°25°
FriOvercast31°26°
SatOvercast32°26°
SunOvercast33°26°
MonOvercast32°25°
TueShowers31°25°
WedPartly cloudy32°25°

On this date: October 22

Today (forecast)
33° / 25°
Average for October 22
29° / 23°

High well above average · +4.0°C

  • Highest since 1940: 31.1° · 2022
  • Lowest since 1940: 21.8° · 1946
  • One year ago: 30° / 25°

Every October 22 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 22 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Shagamu is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 6.85°N, 3.65°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
6.85°N, 3.65°E
Time zone
Africa/Lagos
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

30 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.5°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The warmest month is March, with typical afternoon highs of 31.2°C and nights around 24.7°C. In August, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 26.9°C and nights dip to 22.4°C.

The yearly total for Shagamu comes to about 1,997 mm; monthly amounts range from 46 mm in January up to 279 mm in June.

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Shagamu has risen by 1.7°C between its first decade and its last. Days above 30°C have grown noticeably more frequent, from around 115 a year in the first decade to about 220 in the last.

Climate graph (climograph)

March is the warmest month, August the coolest: a yearly swing of 3°C. Wettest month: June (~279 mm). Whole year averages ~1,997 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Shagamu month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightHighestLowest
January31.2°23.0°46 mm11.6 h36.0° (2020)16.4° (1957)
February31.8°24.1°73 mm11.8 h36.8° (2020)15.9° (1945)
March31.2°24.7°144 mm12.0 h36.3° (1998)19.2° (1963)
April30.4°24.6°195 mm12.2 h34.9° (1945)21.6° (1974)
May29.6°24.0°257 mm12.3 h33.3° (2023)21.5° (1967)
June28.2°23.3°279 mm12.4 h32.2° (2025)21.2° (1953)
July27.1°22.7°239 mm12.4 h30.8° (2023)18.8° (1954)
August26.9°22.4°170 mm12.2 h30.9° (2023)18.0° (1943)
September27.7°22.7°217 mm12.0 h31.7° (2024)19.9° (1943)
October28.8°23.1°215 mm11.8 h32.1° (2024)20.4° (1974)
November30.1°23.6°108 mm11.7 h34.7° (2024)20.1° (1973)
December30.7°23.2°53 mm11.6 h36.0° (2024)15.9° (1945)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.7°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.22°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Sep–Nov is warming fastest: +0.23°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 113.8 early in the record → 219.5 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2020, coldest in 1945: 36.8°C / 15.9°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~1,997 mm/year on average. Last decade: −9% vs that average. Long-term trend: −19 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Shagamu

Which is the warmest month in Shagamu?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Shagamu is March (mean daily temperature of about 27.3°C) and the coolest is August (about 24.2°C).
How does today's temperature in Shagamu compare to the historical average?
On October 22, 2026, Shagamu is forecast to reach a high of 33.1°C and a low of 25.3°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 29.1°C and a low of 23.2°C, so today's high is 4.0°C warmer than that average.
How much has Shagamu warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Shagamu is about 1.7°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Shagamu?
Shagamu receives about 1,997 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with June typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Shagamu?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Shagamu is about 25.9°C. The warmest month is March and the coolest is August.
What are the average temperatures in Shagamu by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Shagamu (°C, full record since 1940): January 31°/23°, February 32°/24°, March 31°/25°, April 30°/25°, May 30°/24°, June 28°/23°, July 27°/23°, August 27°/22°, September 28°/23°, October 29°/23°, November 30°/24°, December 31°/23°.

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