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Shymkent weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Shymkent swings through a wide annual range, with 28.4°C between the monthly means of its warmest and coldest months. The warm months are largely dry. Most of the year's rain arrives between November and May. Shymkent weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−3.7°Chigh well below average

16° / 14°Today
20° / 6°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+0.6°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4984frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 105 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 105 in the 1940s94days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 101 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 101 in the 1940s+0.6°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 74 mmhigh 3°low −6°February, rain 72 mmhigh 6°low −4°March, rain 99 mmhigh 12°low 1°April, rain 92 mmhigh 20°low 8°May, rain 53 mmhigh 25°low 12°June, rain 19 mmhigh 31°low 17°July, rain 8 mmhigh 34°low 19°August, rain 6 mmhigh 32°low 17°September, rain 8 mmhigh 27°low 12°October, rain 41 mmhigh 19°low 6°November, rain 65 mmhigh 11°low 0°December, rain 76 mmhigh 5°low −4°wettest month March, 99 mm · 613 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Showers

Right now

15.9°

17°feels like
83%humidity
13°dew point
2 km/hfrom NW
UV index0.5
sunrise06:30sunset17:45day length11h 15m
TodayShowers16°14°
TueClear21°11°
WedClear22°12°
ThuClear22°12°
FriClear21°10°
SatClear22°10°
SunOvercast20°14°

On this date: October 12

Today (forecast)
16° / 14°
Average for October 12
20° / 6°

High well below average · −3.7°C

  • Record high: 32.2° · 1945
  • Record low: −5.2° · 1985
  • One year ago: 24° / 10°

Every October 12 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 12 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Shymkent is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 42.31°N, 69.60°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
42.31°N, 69.60°E
Time zone
Asia/Almaty
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

25 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +2.2°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in July, at around 33.6°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 18.9°C. Roughly 95 days a year now top 30°C. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 3.2°C and overnight lows sit around −6.0°C. Around 85 days a year dip below freezing.

The yearly total for Shymkent comes to about 613 mm; monthly amounts range from 6 mm in August up to 99 mm in March.

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Shymkent has risen by 0.6°C between its first decade and its last. That last decade has also been the warmest in the record.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 28°C. Wettest month: March (~99 mm). Whole year averages ~613 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 68 rainy days a year: most in March (~11), fewest in August (~1).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Shymkent month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightRecord highRecord low
January3.2°−6.0°74 mm99.2 h19.7° (2002)−29.1° (1943)
February5.6°−4.2°72 mm910.3 h23.5° (2021)−27.5° (1969)
March12.1°1.5°99 mm1111.7 h30.6° (2002)−16.8° (1954)
April19.6°7.7°92 mm913.2 h33.6° (2025)−6.4° (1960)
May25.2°12.4°53 mm614.4 h37.1° (2025)−1.8° (1989)
June30.8°16.5°19 mm215.1 h43.0° (1941)6.4° (1970)
July33.6°18.9°8 mm114.8 h44.5° (1942)10.8° (1988)
August32.3°17.2°6 mm113.7 h44.3° (1944)5.5° (1968)
September26.9°11.7°8 mm112.3 h39.3° (1942)−1.3° (1973)
October19.0°5.7°41 mm510.8 h36.0° (1941)−16.7° (1987)
November10.9°0.1°65 mm79.5 h28.6° (2009)−25.5° (1954)
December4.8°−4.3°76 mm88.9 h23.7° (2021)−28.6° (1948)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +0.6°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.17°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Mar–May is warming fastest: +0.25°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 101.0 early in the record → 93.6 recently. Frost days: 105 → 84.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 1942, all-time low in 1943: 44.5°C / −29.1°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~613 mm/year on average. Last decade: −5% vs that average. Long-term trend: +11 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Shymkent

Which is the warmest month in Shymkent?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Shymkent is July (mean daily temperature of about 26.9°C) and the coolest is January (about −1.5°C).
How does today's temperature in Shymkent compare to the historical average?
On October 12, 2026, Shymkent is forecast to reach a high of 16.4°C and a low of 13.5°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 20.1°C and a low of 6.2°C, so today's high is 3.7°C cooler than that average.
How much has Shymkent warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Shymkent is about 0.6°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Shymkent?
Shymkent receives about 613 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with March typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Shymkent?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Shymkent is about 12.8°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Shymkent by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Shymkent (°C, full record since 1940): January 3°/−6°, February 6°/−4°, March 12°/1°, April 20°/8°, May 25°/12°, June 31°/17°, July 34°/19°, August 32°/17°, September 27°/12°, October 19°/6°, November 11°/0°, December 5°/−4°.
What is the weather like in Shymkent in summer?
Summer in Shymkent (June to August) is dry and hot. Daytime highs sit at 31–34°C and nights at 17–19°C; July is the warmest month. Rain eases through the season: 2 rainy days and 19 mm in June, 1 day and 6 mm in August. No season is drier.
What is the weather like in Shymkent in winter?
December to February is winter in Shymkent, and it is cold. Afternoons run 3–6°C and nights −6 to −4°C; January is the coldest month. Rain and snow are steady at around 74 mm a month, spread over roughly 9 days.
What is the weather like in Shymkent in spring?
March to May is spring in Shymkent, and it is mild. March is still 12°C in the afternoon and 1°C at night, May already 25°C and 12°C. Rain eases through the season: 11 rainy days and 99 mm in March, 6 days and 53 mm in May.
What is the weather like in Shymkent in autumn?
Autumn in Shymkent (September to November) is mild. September still brings 27°C afternoons and 12°C nights, November only 11°C and 0°C. Rain picks up through the season: 1 rainy day and 8 mm in September, 7 days and 65 mm in November.
How many days a year does it rain in Shymkent?
On long-term average, Shymkent has about 68 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 613 mm.

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