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Probolinggo weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Probolinggo is warm in every month of the year; the seasonal dip amounts to just 1.3°C. Most of the year's rain is packed into the months from November to April. Probolinggo weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+6.4°Chigh well above average

37° / 27°Today
30° / 26°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.1°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49104days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 27 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 27 in the 1940s+1.1°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 272 mmhigh 28°low 25°February, rain 241 mmhigh 28°low 25°March, rain 207 mmhigh 28°low 26°April, rain 127 mmhigh 29°low 26°May, rain 73 mmhigh 29°low 26°June, rain 42 mmhigh 29°low 25°July, rain 22 mmhigh 29°low 24°August, rain 12 mmhigh 29°low 24°September, rain 18 mmhigh 29°low 25°October, rain 46 mmhigh 30°low 26°November, rain 120 mmhigh 30°low 26°December, rain 239 mmhigh 29°low 26°wettest month January, 272 mm · 1,418 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Clear

Right now

27.6°

30°feels like
70%humidity
22°dew point
18 km/hfrom S
UV index0.0
sunrise05:02sunset17:21day length12h 19m
ThuPartly cloudy37°27°
FriClear37°27°
SatPartly cloudy36°27°
SunOvercast34°27°
MonClear34°27°
TueClear35°27°
WedPartly cloudy35°27°

On this date: October 21

Today (forecast)
37° / 27°
Average for October 21
30° / 26°

High well above average · +6.4°C

  • Highest since 1940: 32.3° · 2003
  • Lowest since 1940: 24.5° · 1942
  • One year ago: 28° / 26°

Every October 21 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 21 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Probolinggo is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 7.75°S, 113.22°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
7.75°S, 113.22°E
Time zone
Asia/Jakarta
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

28 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +0.8°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in November, at around 29.5°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 26.2°C. In July, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 28.7°C and nights dip to 24.5°C.

The yearly total for Probolinggo comes to about 1,418 mm; monthly amounts range from 12 mm in August up to 272 mm in January.

The record here starts in 1940, and since then the annual mean in Probolinggo has climbed 1.1°C from the first ten years to the last ten. Days above 30°C have grown noticeably more frequent, from around 25 a year in the first decade to about 105 in the last.

Climate graph (climograph)

November is the warmest month, July the coolest: a yearly swing of 1°C. Wettest month: January (~272 mm). Whole year averages ~1,418 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Probolinggo month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightHighestLowest
January28.2°25.5°272 mm12.4 h31.7° (2020)23.6° (1967)
February28.1°25.4°241 mm12.2 h30.9° (2024)23.8° (1967)
March28.3°25.6°207 mm12.1 h31.2° (2024)23.3° (1943)
April28.7°25.9°127 mm11.8 h31.2° (2024)23.4° (1945)
May29.0°25.8°73 mm11.6 h31.5° (2018)22.8° (1943)
June28.8°25.2°42 mm11.6 h31.2° (2019)22.2° (1960)
July28.7°24.5°22 mm11.6 h31.1° (2021)21.9° (1965)
August28.8°24.3°12 mm11.7 h31.5° (1942)21.9° (1953)
September29.5°24.9°18 mm12.0 h32.2° (1983)21.8° (1961)
October29.9°25.8°46 mm12.2 h33.2° (2017)22.4° (1997)
November29.5°26.2°120 mm12.4 h32.8° (1962)23.6° (1970)
December28.7°25.8°239 mm12.4 h33.0° (2019)23.9° (1942)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.1°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.13°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Mar–May is warming fastest: +0.16°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 27.2 early in the record → 103.8 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2017, coldest in 1961: 33.2°C / 21.8°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~1,418 mm/year on average. Last decade: +12% vs that average. Long-term trend: +55 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Probolinggo

Which is the warmest month in Probolinggo?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Probolinggo is November (mean daily temperature of about 27.8°C) and the coolest is July (about 26.5°C).
How does today's temperature in Probolinggo compare to the historical average?
On October 21, 2026, Probolinggo is forecast to reach a high of 36.5°C and a low of 27.0°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 30.1°C and a low of 26.0°C, so today's high is 6.4°C warmer than that average.
How much has Probolinggo warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Probolinggo is about 1.1°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Probolinggo?
Probolinggo receives about 1,418 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with January typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Probolinggo?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Probolinggo is about 27.0°C. The warmest month is November and the coolest is July.
What are the average temperatures in Probolinggo by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Probolinggo (°C, full record since 1940): January 28°/25°, February 28°/25°, March 28°/26°, April 29°/26°, May 29°/26°, June 29°/25°, July 29°/24°, August 29°/24°, September 29°/25°, October 30°/26°, November 30°/26°, December 29°/26°.

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