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Ponce weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Ponce is warm in every month of the year; the seasonal dip amounts to just 5.3°F. Rainfall leans toward the stretch from August to November. Ponce weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+5.4°Fhigh well above average

89° / 80°Today
84° / 77°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.9°Faverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4972days above 86°F a year now (2016–2025) · 26 in the 1940sdays above 86°F · 26 in the 1940s+1.9°F vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 1.1 incheshigh 81°low 73°February, rain 1.2 incheshigh 81°low 73°March, rain 1.6 incheshigh 82°low 73°April, rain 2.7 incheshigh 82°low 74°May, rain 4.1 incheshigh 83°low 76°June, rain 2.5 incheshigh 85°low 77°July, rain 2.4 incheshigh 86°low 78°August, rain 3.4 incheshigh 86°low 78°September, rain 4.9 incheshigh 85°low 78°October, rain 4.7 incheshigh 84°low 77°November, rain 3.2 incheshigh 83°low 76°December, rain 1.4 incheshigh 82°low 74°wettest month September, 4.9 inches · 33.4 inches a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

81.9°

92°feels like
86%humidity
77°dew point
5 mphfrom E
UV index0.0
sunrise06:23sunset17:57day length11h 35m
SunPartly cloudy89°80°
TodayShowers88°80°
TueShowers87°80°
WedPartly cloudy90°78°
ThuOvercast90°77°
FriOvercast91°77°
SatShowers91°75°

On this date: October 26

Today (forecast)
89° / 80°
Average for October 26
84° / 77°

High well above average · +5.4°F

  • Highest since 1940: 87.1° · 2009
  • Lowest since 1940: 74.4° · 1981
  • One year ago: 84° / 79°

Every October 26 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 26 on record (n = 86). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Ponce is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 18.01°N, 66.62°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
18.01°N, 66.62°W
Time zone
America/Puerto Rico
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

29 of the last 30 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.8°F.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

August brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 85.8°F and nights around 78.3°F. In February, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 81.0°F and nights dip to 72.8°F.

In total, Ponce averages about 33.4 inches of precipitation a year; September is usually the wettest month (4.9 inches) and January the driest (1.1 inches).

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Ponce now averages 1.9°F warmer than it did in the 1940s. The count of days past 86°F has risen from roughly 25 a year to 70 between the record's first and last decades.

Climate graph (climograph)

August is the warmest month, February the coolest: a yearly swing of 5°F. Wettest month: September (~4.9 in). Whole year averages ~33.4 inches of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Ponce month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightHighestLowest
January80.9°73.1°1.1 in11.0 h85.0° (2014)66.2° (1955)
February81.0°72.8°1.2 in11.4 h85.6° (1964)66.1° (1951)
March81.6°73.2°1.6 in11.9 h88.2° (2005)66.5° (1951)
April82.4°74.3°2.7 in12.4 h86.9° (2005)68.2° (1976)
May83.1°76.0°4.1 in12.8 h88.5° (2007)69.3° (1950)
June84.5°77.5°2.5 in13.1 h89.4° (1952)71.9° (1945)
July85.5°78.0°2.4 in13.0 h90.1° (2007)74.7° (1941)
August85.8°78.3°3.4 in12.6 h91.5° (1995)74.9° (1943)
September85.1°78.0°4.9 in12.1 h91.5° (1997)74.3° (1953)
October84.3°77.4°4.7 in11.6 h89.4° (2024)72.8° (1954)
November83.1°76.1°3.2 in11.1 h87.2° (2009)69.7° (1952)
December81.8°74.4°1.4 in10.9 h85.9° (2019)68.1° (1952)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.9°F.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.23°F per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Sep–Nov is warming fastest: +0.28°F per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 86°F per year: 26.3 early in the record → 71.6 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 1997, coldest in 1951: 91.5°F / 66.1°F.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~33.4 in/year on average. Last decade: +10% vs that average. Long-term trend: +0.18 in per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Ponce

Which is the warmest month in Ponce?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Ponce is August (mean daily temperature of about 81.7°F) and the coolest is February (about 76.4°F).
How does today's temperature in Ponce compare to the historical average?
On October 26, 2026, Ponce is forecast to reach a high of 89.2°F and a low of 80.4°F. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 83.9°F and a low of 77.1°F, so today's high is 5.4°F warmer than that average.
How much has Ponce warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Ponce is about 1.9°F warmer.
How much does it rain in Ponce?
Ponce receives about 33.4 inches of precipitation per year on long-term average, with September typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Ponce?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Ponce is about 79.1°F. The warmest month is August and the coolest is February.
What are the average temperatures in Ponce by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Ponce (°F, full record since 1940): January 81°/73°, February 81°/73°, March 82°/73°, April 82°/74°, May 83°/76°, June 85°/77°, July 86°/78°, August 86°/78°, September 85°/78°, October 84°/77°, November 83°/76°, December 82°/74°.

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