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Paarl weather by month — averages, rainfall & climate trends

Average temperatures and rainfall by month, a climate graph, today's conditions versus the long-term average, and how the climate has shifted since 1940 — all on one page for Paarl, South Africa.

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

12.0°

10°feels like
79%humidity
dew point
9 km/hfrom N
sunrise07:42sunset17:58day length10h 16m
TodayLight rain13°
FriClear18°
SatClear23°
SunClear24°11°
MonOvercast18°11°
TueMostly clear19°13°
WedClear22°15°

On this date — July 23

Today (forecast)
13° /
Average for July 23
17° /

Cooler than usual · 4.2°C below the average high

  • Record high: 27.9° · 2018
  • Record low: -0.1° · 1970
  • One year ago: 23.2°

Every July 23 in history — coldest to hottest

Daily highsDaily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each July 23 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell — about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Paarl is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 33.73°S, 18.98°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
33.73°S, 18.98°E
Time zone
Africa/Johannesburg
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

19 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +0.5°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year — the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis — modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month — what a typical year looks like, from the full record.

Climate overview

Paarl has well-marked seasons, with 11.5°C between its warmest and coolest monthly means. The warmest month is February, with a daily mean around 23.4°C and typical afternoon highs of 30.4°C. In a typical recent year, around 85 days reach 30°C or more. The coolest month is July, when daily means fall to about 11.9°C and overnight lows sit around 7.1°C. Frost is essentially unknown.

Rain here skips the warm season: the bulk of it falls from May to September. In total, Paarl averages about 740 mm of precipitation a year; June is usually the wettest month (132 mm) and February the driest (19 mm).

The record here starts in 1940, and since then the annual mean in Paarl has climbed 1.2°C from the first ten years to the last ten. You can follow the shift year by year in the charts above.

Climate graph (climograph)

February is the warmest month, July the coolest — a yearly swing of 12°C. Wettest month: June (~132 mm). Whole year averages ~740 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre — a measured proxy for how sunny the month is.

Paarl month by month — what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightRecord highRecord low
January30.2°17.3°20 mm14.0 h41.6° (1948)9.7° (1961)
February30.4°17.7°19 mm13.2 h41.6° (2003)9.9° (1983)
March28.7°16.5°26 mm12.3 h42.1° (2015)8.2° (1983)
April25.1°13.5°52 mm11.2 h38.6° (2009)4.7° (1967)
May21.1°10.5°97 mm10.2 h33.2° (1941)2.2° (1992)
June18.4°8.1°132 mm9.8 h30.0° (2022)0.1° (1981)
July17.6°7.1°111 mm10.0 h29.9° (2017)-0.2° (2016)
August18.1°7.7°105 mm10.7 h32.2° (2023)-2.1° (1975)
September20.1°9.2°68 mm11.8 h36.4° (2005)0.6° (1970)
October23.0°11.5°47 mm12.9 h38.4° (2015)3.3° (2017)
November25.8°13.7°34 mm13.8 h41.8° (1972)5.9° (1976)
December28.3°15.9°28 mm14.2 h42.2° (2015)8.5° (1965)

How it has changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.2°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.17°C per decade.

One point per year — the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis — modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Sep–Nov is warming fastest: +0.21°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis — modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 64.3 early in the record → 83.8 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 2015, all-time low in 1975: 42.2°C / -2.1°C.

One point per year — the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~740 mm/year on average. Last decade ran +4% vs that average. Long-term trend: +42 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record — ~30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Paarl — Frequently asked questions

Which is the warmest month in Paarl?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Paarl is February (mean about 23.4°C) and the coolest is July (about 11.9°C).
How does today's temperature in Paarl compare to the historical average?
On 2026-07-23, Paarl is forecast to reach a high of 13.1°C and a low of 8.6°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 17.3°C and a low of 7.2°C — today's high is 4.2°C cooler than that average.
How much has Paarl warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Paarl is about 1.2°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Paarl?
Paarl receives about 740 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with June typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Paarl?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Paarl is about 17.7°C. The warmest month is February and the coolest is July.
What are the average temperatures in Paarl by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Paarl (°C, full record since 1940): January 30°/17°, February 30°/18°, March 29°/16°, April 25°/13°, May 21°/11°, June 18°/8°, July 18°/7°, August 18°/8°, September 20°/9°, October 23°/12°, November 26°/14°, December 28°/16°.
How many days a year does it rain in Paarl?
On long-term average, Paarl has about 82 days a year with measurable rain, totalling roughly 740 mm.

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