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Ontario weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Ontario has well-marked seasons, with 22.9°F between its warmest and coolest monthly means. Rainfall is on the low side overall. Ontario weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+8.3°Fhigh well above average

87° / 69°Today
79° / 58°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+3.7°Faverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–490frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 2 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 2 in the 1940s92days above 86°F a year now (2016–2025) · 83 in the 1940sdays above 86°F · 83 in the 1940s+3.7°F vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 3.5 incheshigh 64°low 45°February, rain 3.7 incheshigh 65°low 46°March, rain 2.9 incheshigh 67°low 48°April, rain 1.3 incheshigh 71°low 51°May, rain 0.5 incheshigh 75°low 55°June, rain 0.1 incheshigh 81°low 60°July, rain 0.1 incheshigh 88°low 65°August, rain 0.1 incheshigh 88°low 66°September, rain 0.3 incheshigh 86°low 64°October, rain 0.7 incheshigh 79°low 58°November, rain 1.6 incheshigh 71°low 50°December, rain 2.6 incheshigh 65°low 45°wettest month February, 3.7 inches · 17.3 inches a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Mostly clear

Right now

76.1°

68°feels like
19%humidity
31°dew point
9 mphfrom S
UV index0.0
sunrise06:57sunset18:14day length11h 16m
SatOvercast87°69°
TodayClear88°65°
MonClear86°63°
TueClear79°66°
WedOvercast74°62°
ThuDrizzle69°60°
FriClear73°60°

On this date: October 18

Today (forecast)
87° / 69°
Average for October 18
79° / 58°

High well above average · +8.3°F

  • Record high: 94.0° · 1958
  • Record low: 47.4° · 1971
  • One year ago: 84° / 56°

Every October 18 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 18 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Ontario is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 34.06°N, 117.65°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
34.06°N, 117.65°W
Time zone
America/Los Angeles
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

24 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +6.1°F.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

August brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 88.3°F and nights around 65.9°F. Roughly 90 days a year now top 86°F. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 64.0°F and overnight lows sit around 44.7°F. Frost is essentially unknown.

Ontario picks up roughly 17.3 inches a year, with a peak of 3.7 inches in February and as little as 0.1 inches in July.

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Ontario has risen by 3.7°F between its first decade and its last. The year-by-year charts below trace that shift in detail.

Climate graph (climograph)

August is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 23°F. Wettest month: February (~3.7 in). Whole year averages ~17.3 inches of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 32 rainy days a year: most in March (~6), fewest in July (almost none).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 0.08 in per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Ontario month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightRecord highRecord low
January64.0°44.7°3.5 in510.0 h87.8° (2021)24.6° (1949)
February65.3°46.1°3.7 in610.8 h87.9° (2016)30.1° (1990)
March67.3°48.3°2.9 in611.7 h92.4° (1988)30.9° (1951)
April71.4°51.3°1.3 in412.9 h98.5° (1989)37.0° (1945)
May75.4°55.4°0.5 in113.8 h104.1° (1984)42.9° (1964)
June81.4°60.0°0.1 in014.3 h109.6° (1990)46.8° (1988)
July87.7°65.1°0.1 in014.1 h111.6° (2018)53.7° (1948)
August88.3°65.9°0.1 in013.3 h106.8° (1981)54.5° (1949)
September86.2°63.9°0.3 in112.2 h112.1° (2020)50.3° (1986)
October79.3°57.8°0.7 in211.1 h102.9° (1991)36.5° (1971)
November71.2°50.4°1.6 in310.2 h93.3° (2010)33.3° (1964)
December64.8°45.3°2.6 in49.7 h86.6° (1958)27.7° (1978)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +3.7°F.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.41°F per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.54°F per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 86°F per year: 83.0 early in the record → 91.6 recently. Frost days: 2 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 2020, all-time low in 1949: 112.1°F / 24.6°F.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~17.3 in/year on average. Last decade: +3% vs that average. Long-term trend: −0.03 in per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Ontario

Which is the warmest month in Ontario?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Ontario is August (mean daily temperature of about 75.5°F) and the coolest is January (about 52.6°F).
How does today's temperature in Ontario compare to the historical average?
On October 18, 2026, Ontario is forecast to reach a high of 87.4°F and a low of 69.4°F. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 79.1°F and a low of 57.6°F, so today's high is 8.3°F warmer than that average.
How much has Ontario warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Ontario is about 3.7°F warmer.
How much does it rain in Ontario?
Ontario receives about 17.3 inches of precipitation per year on long-term average, with February typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Ontario?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Ontario is about 63.3°F. The warmest month is August and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Ontario by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Ontario (°F, full record since 1940): January 64°/45°, February 65°/46°, March 67°/48°, April 71°/51°, May 75°/55°, June 81°/60°, July 88°/65°, August 88°/66°, September 86°/64°, October 79°/58°, November 71°/50°, December 65°/45°.
What is the weather like in Ontario in summer?
June to August is summer in Ontario, and it is dry and warm. June starts at 81°F by day and 60°F at night; by August it is 88°F and 66°F. Hardly any rain falls.
What is the weather like in Ontario in winter?
December to February is winter in Ontario, and it is mild. Daytime highs sit at 64–65°F and nights at 45–46°F; January is the coldest month. Rain falls on about 5 days a month, adding up to around 3.2 inches. No season is wetter.
What is the weather like in Ontario in spring?
March to May is spring in Ontario, and it is mild. March is still 67°F in the afternoon and 48°F at night, May already 75°F and 55°F. Rain eases through the season: 6 rainy days and 2.9 inches in March, 1 day and 0.5 inches in May.
What is the weather like in Ontario in autumn?
In autumn, September through November, Ontario is warm. September still brings 86°F afternoons and 64°F nights, November only 71°F and 50°F. Rain picks up through the season: 1 rainy day and 0.3 inches in September, 3 days and 1.6 inches in November.
How many days a year does it rain in Ontario?
On long-term average, Ontario has about 32 days a year with at least 0.08 inches of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 17.3 inches.

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