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Nassau weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Warmth in Nassau is remarkably steady: only 10.0°F separates the warmest month from the coolest, so there is no cold season to speak of. Rainfall leans toward the stretch from August to October. Nassau weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+4.1°Fhigh above average

84° / 75°Today
80° / 77°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.1°Faverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49246days above 77°F a year now (2016–2025) · 214 in the 1940sdays above 77°F · 214 in the 1940s+1.1°F vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 1.9 incheshigh 74°low 71°February, rain 1.6 incheshigh 73°low 71°March, rain 1.5 incheshigh 74°low 72°April, rain 1.7 incheshigh 76°low 73°May, rain 3.2 incheshigh 78°low 76°June, rain 4.5 incheshigh 81°low 79°July, rain 3.2 incheshigh 83°low 80°August, rain 4.6 incheshigh 83°low 80°September, rain 5.9 incheshigh 83°low 80°October, rain 6.1 incheshigh 81°low 78°November, rain 2.9 incheshigh 78°low 75°December, rain 2.0 incheshigh 75°low 73°wettest month October, 6.1 inches · 39.2 inches a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Clear

Right now

75.6°

80°feels like
82%humidity
70°dew point
8 mphfrom N
UV index0.0
sunrise07:10sunset18:37day length11h 26m
TodayOvercast84°75°
ThuClear85°74°
FriDrizzle80°76°
SatDrizzle81°76°
SunLight rain80°77°
MonDrizzle81°79°
TueDrizzle81°80°

On this date: October 21

Today (forecast)
84° / 75°
Average for October 21
80° / 77°

High above average · +4.1°F

  • Highest since 1940: 83.2° · 2019
  • Lowest since 1940: 72.7° · 1961
  • One year ago: 81° / 80°

Every October 21 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 21 on record (n = 86). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Nassau is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 25.06°N, 77.34°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
25.06°N, 77.34°W
Time zone
America/Nassau
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

28 of the last 30 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +2.1°F.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

August brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 83.2°F and nights around 80.3°F. The coolest month is February, when afternoons reach about 73.4°F and overnight lows sit around 70.7°F.

The yearly total for Nassau comes to about 39.2 inches; monthly amounts range from 1.5 inches in March up to 6.1 inches in October.

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Nassau has risen by 1.1°F between its first decade and its last. You can follow the shift year by year in the charts below.

Climate graph (climograph)

August is the warmest month, February the coolest: a yearly swing of 10°F. Wettest month: October (~6.1 in). Whole year averages ~39.2 inches of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 106 rainy days a year: most in September (~16), fewest in February (~4).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 0.08 in per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Nassau month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January73.6°70.9°1.9 in510.6 h78.6° (2007)54.5° (1977)
February73.4°70.7°1.6 in411.2 h78.1° (1990)57.0° (1989)
March74.1°71.5°1.5 in411.8 h80.2° (2015)56.5° (1980)
April75.6°73.3°1.7 in412.6 h84.2° (2015)63.7° (1987)
May78.1°75.8°3.2 in813.2 h84.2° (2025)68.1° (1962)
June81.1°78.6°4.5 in1213.5 h85.4° (1998)72.9° (1955)
July82.7°80.0°3.2 in1113.4 h86.6° (2023)73.0° (1976)
August83.2°80.3°4.6 in1412.9 h87.9° (2023)74.7° (1996)
September82.5°79.6°5.9 in1612.1 h87.3° (2023)74.9° (1968)
October80.5°77.8°6.1 in1511.4 h86.3° (2023)69.5° (2008)
November77.6°75.2°2.9 in710.8 h82.4° (2002)63.0° (1950)
December75.1°72.6°2.0 in510.4 h79.9° (2009)56.5° (1989)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.1°F.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.15°F per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Jun–Aug is warming fastest: +0.16°F per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 77°F per year: 213.7 early in the record → 246.2 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2023, coldest in 1977: 87.9°F / 54.5°F.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~39.2 in/year on average. Last decade: +5% vs that average. Long-term trend: +0.35 in per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Nassau

Which is the warmest month in Nassau?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Nassau is August (mean daily temperature of about 81.9°F) and the coolest is February (about 71.9°F).
How does today's temperature in Nassau compare to the historical average?
On October 21, 2026, Nassau is forecast to reach a high of 84.0°F and a low of 75.4°F. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 79.9°F and a low of 77.4°F, so today's high is 4.1°F warmer than that average.
How much has Nassau warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Nassau is about 1.1°F warmer.
How much does it rain in Nassau?
Nassau receives about 39.2 inches of precipitation per year on long-term average, with October typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Nassau?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Nassau is about 76.9°F. The warmest month is August and the coolest is February.
What are the average temperatures in Nassau by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Nassau (°F, full record since 1940): January 74°/71°, February 73°/71°, March 74°/72°, April 76°/73°, May 78°/76°, June 81°/79°, July 83°/80°, August 83°/80°, September 83°/80°, October 81°/78°, November 78°/75°, December 75°/73°.
How many days a year does it rain in Nassau?
On long-term average, Nassau has about 106 days a year with at least 0.08 inches of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 39.2 inches.

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