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McAllen weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

McAllen has well-marked seasons, with 25.8°F between its warmest and coolest monthly means. The heavier rain months run from August to October. McAllen weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−0.7°Fhigh near average

85° / 72°Today
85° / 66°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+2.4°Faverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–491frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 1 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 1 in the 1940s237days above 86°F a year now (2016–2025) · 188 in the 1940sdays above 86°F · 188 in the 1940s+2.4°F vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 1.3 incheshigh 72°low 52°February, rain 1.2 incheshigh 76°low 56°March, rain 1.4 incheshigh 82°low 61°April, rain 1.8 incheshigh 88°low 68°May, rain 2.4 incheshigh 92°low 73°June, rain 2.1 incheshigh 95°low 77°July, rain 1.8 incheshigh 97°low 77°August, rain 2.0 incheshigh 97°low 77°September, rain 3.3 incheshigh 92°low 74°October, rain 2.0 incheshigh 87°low 68°November, rain 1.3 incheshigh 80°low 60°December, rain 1.2 incheshigh 74°low 55°wettest month September, 3.3 inches · 21.9 inches a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

79.5°

82°feels like
59%humidity
64°dew point
7 mphfrom E
UV index0.1
sunrise07:37sunset18:56day length11h 18m
TodayOvercast85°72°
MonOvercast87°69°
TueDrizzle83°70°
WedDrizzle87°74°
ThuOvercast85°73°
FriDrizzle85°72°
SatPartly cloudy86°75°

On this date: October 25

Today (forecast)
85° / 72°
Average for October 25
85° / 66°

High near average · −0.7°F

  • Highest since 1940: 96.1° · 2010
  • Lowest since 1940: 51.8° · 2005
  • One year ago: 93° / 74°

Every October 25 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 25 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for McAllen is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 26.20°N, 98.23°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
26.20°N, 98.23°W
Time zone
America/Chicago
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

26 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +3.6°F.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

August brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 97.3°F and nights around 77.3°F. On about 220 nights a year, the temperature never drops below 68°F. At the other extreme, January brings afternoon highs of about 72.1°F and typical overnight lows of 52.3°F.

The yearly total for McAllen comes to about 21.9 inches; monthly amounts range from 1.2 inches in February up to 3.3 inches in September.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, McAllen now averages 2.4°F warmer than it did in the 1940s. No period since 1940 has been warmer than the most recent decade.

Climate graph (climograph)

August is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 26°F. Wettest month: September (~3.3 in). Whole year averages ~21.9 inches of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 55 rainy days a year: most in September (~9), fewest in December (~3).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 0.08 in per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

McAllen month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January72.1°52.3°1.3 in410.5 h94.7° (1971)19.7° (1962)
February76.2°55.6°1.2 in411.1 h99.4° (2017)22.9° (1951)
March82.4°61.4°1.4 in311.8 h104.3° (2025)34.3° (1980)
April88.0°67.8°1.8 in412.6 h108.1° (1963)38.3° (2007)
May91.8°73.1°2.4 in513.3 h108.4° (1973)50.6° (2004)
June95.4°76.6°2.1 in513.6 h110.2° (1998)60.9° (1975)
July97.1°77.2°1.8 in413.5 h107.6° (2018)67.6° (1966)
August97.3°77.3°2.0 in512.9 h107.9° (2023)65.9° (1967)
September92.2°74.5°3.3 in912.1 h110.3° (2000)52.4° (1967)
October87.1°68.0°2.0 in511.4 h102.9° (2012)35.3° (1993)
November79.7°60.3°1.3 in410.7 h97.0° (1988)32.8° (1993)
December74.0°54.7°1.2 in310.4 h95.8° (1977)19.2° (1983)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +2.4°F.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.26°F per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Mar–May is warming fastest: +0.33°F per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 86°F per year: 187.6 early in the record → 237.4 recently. Frost days: 1 → 1.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2000, coldest in 1983: 110.3°F / 19.2°F.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~21.9 in/year on average. Last decade: −1% vs that average. Long-term trend: +0.41 in per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about McAllen

Which is the warmest month in McAllen?
On long-term average, the warmest month in McAllen is August (mean daily temperature of about 86.0°F) and the coolest is January (about 60.2°F).
How does today's temperature in McAllen compare to the historical average?
On October 25, 2026, McAllen is forecast to reach a high of 84.6°F and a low of 72.1°F. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 85.3°F and a low of 65.6°F, so today's high is about equal to that average.
How much has McAllen warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in McAllen is about 2.4°F warmer.
How much does it rain in McAllen?
McAllen receives about 21.9 inches of precipitation per year on long-term average, with September typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in McAllen?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in McAllen is about 74.8°F. The warmest month is August and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in McAllen by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in McAllen (°F, full record since 1940): January 72°/52°, February 76°/56°, March 82°/61°, April 88°/68°, May 92°/73°, June 95°/77°, July 97°/77°, August 97°/77°, September 92°/74°, October 87°/68°, November 80°/60°, December 74°/55°.
What is the weather like in McAllen in summer?
In summer, June through August, McAllen is really hot. Daytime highs sit at 95–97°F and nights at 77°F; August is the warmest month. Rain falls on about 5 days a month, adding up to around 1.9 inches.
What is the weather like in McAllen in winter?
Winter in McAllen (December to February) is pleasantly warm. Afternoons run 72–76°F and nights 52–56°F; January is the coldest month. Rain is steady at around 1.3 inches a month, spread over roughly 4 days. It is the driest season of the year.
What is the weather like in McAllen in spring?
March to May is spring in McAllen, and it is hot. March starts at 82°F by day and 61°F at night; by May it is 92°F and 73°F. Rain rises from 1.4 inches on 3 days in March to 2.4 inches on 5 days in May.
What is the weather like in McAllen in autumn?
Autumn in McAllen (September to November) is hot. It cools from 92°F by day and 74°F at night in September to 80°F and 60°F in November. Rain eases through the season: 9 rainy days and 3.3 inches in September, 4 days and 1.3 inches in November.
How many days a year does it rain in McAllen?
On long-term average, McAllen has about 55 days a year with at least 0.08 inches of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 21.9 inches.

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